One reason for this is that many impacts of climate change are expected to be proportional to the amount of global average warming that occurs over the next
several decades to centuries.
Deep ocean temperature, sea level, salinity, and AMOC have relaxation time of
several decades to a century.
This is a much weaker statement telling little or nothing on the possibility of significant additional natural processes on the time scale from
several decades to centuries.
These glacier and lacustrine data indicate a period of
several decades to century length when climate conditions (cool summers, wet winters or both) favoured glacier nourishment and advance across western Canada.
He also emphasized that the climate chronology drawn from the corals was very fragmentary, representing only about a dozen «windows on climate,» each covering
several decades to a century, spread over the last 130,000 years.
Not exact matches
«Most communities have aging and crumbling water and sewer infrastructure - much of which dates back
several decades, and even
to the early 20th
century,» she wrote in the letter.
Since you need the passage of
several decades, at least, between the destruction of one city and the erection of another, this would make it impossible for Solomon
to be involved in the construction of the tel's monumental ashlar palaces — now dated by Finkelstein
to the 800s (the ninth
century B.C.) and linked
to the reign of King Omri of the north.
Late - summer water temperatures near the Florida Keys were warmer by nearly 2 degrees Fahrenheit in the last
several decades compared
to a
century earlier, according
to a new study by the U.S. Geological Survey.
Months with waters warmer than 85 F have become more frequent in the last
several decades compared
to a
century ago, stressing and in some cases killing corals when temperatures remain high for too long.
Terrestrial permafrost emissions of CH4 and CO2 likely can occur on a time scale of a few
decades to several centuries if global warming continues [215].
With rudimentary laboratories, one could argue that more was accomplished with regards
to the effect of diet on cancer in the former half of the
century, as revolutionary researchers like Tannenbaum, Rous, and their colleagues provided us with dozens of animal studies linking diet and cancer by exposing mice
to free radical - laden vegetable oils.32, 33
Several decades later, two other researchers, Dayton and Pearce, provided one of the few studies revealing what happens when we give humans vegetable oils and their accompanying free radicals when they randomized men
to a corn oil solution and a similar rise in cancer followed.34 It is no surprise that corn oil is often used in animal studies
to cause cancer, as the ingestion of damaging free radicals predictably hastens cancer development.35 Furthermore, these scientists were the first
to show that fasting, restricting calories, and cutting carbohydrates could lower the chance of cancer in animals exposed
to dangerous chemicals and carcinogens.
It is long past time
to move
to the next level of reform and accountability — the extrinsic type — and this is the trend we must and will see over the next
several decades in what I believe will be the civil rights revolution of the 21st
century, which I think will play out simultaneously on the two tracks I have just mentioned: the delivery system for education and the means by which we prepare and compensate educators, primarily teachers.
The first of
several market bubbles
to burst in this first
decade of the 21st
century, which has paved the way for subsequent housing and credit bubbles.
It became home
to the Bishop of Truro at the turn of the 20th
century for 15 years before providing a convalescent home for Great Western Railwaymen for
several decades into the middle of the last
century.
Adnan's unique career — spanning
several decades and including as wide a range of media as it does traditions and continents — has made a significant contribution
to the artistic, cultural and political landscape of the 20th and 21st
centuries.
Toward the end of the
decade he made
several trips
to Italy
to study the art of the sixteenth and seventeenth
centuries.
Working in the mid-twentieth
century, Neo-Dada artists applied a wry sense of humor
to their work, which echoed the sensibility of the Dada artists from
several decades earlier.
The pages in these volumes document Davidson's passionate and progressive vision, a vision that bears witness
to several decades of volatile change in twentieth -
century America.
A pioneering entrepreneur and philanthropist, Morton Mandel, together with his wife Barbara, amassed an enviable collection over
several decades, which spans many of the most important artistic movements of the 20th
century: from Surrealism and Abstract Expressionism;
to Minimalism and Pop, with an equal emphasis on paintings, works - on - paper and sculpture.
A
century long struggle
to gain full control of its natural resources and refining capacities has been punctuated by many events: from the exploits of the Anglo - Persian Oil company (later
to be known as British Petroleum or BP), in the early part of last
century;
to the CIA backed overthrow of the first democratically elected government in the 1950s, after it nationalized the country's oil fields;
to the destruction toll of
several oil installations during the
decade long Iran - Iraq war;
to current pressures by large international firms
to negotiate contracts for the exploitation rights of oil and gas.
«This uncertainty is illustrated by Pollard et al. (2015), who found that addition of hydro - fracturing and cliff failure into their ice sheet model increased simulated sea level rise from 2 m
to 17 m, in response
to only 2 °C ocean warming and accelerated the time for substantial change from
several centuries to several decades.»
Paleo - evidence suggests that temperatures rose
several degrees in a matter of
decades to centuries, which compare
to our current rate of contemporary warming.
In my opinion, climate behaves in a far from linear way, with loads of factors
to take into account, so in most cases it would be very difficult
to find climate records react consistently (over
several solar cycles /
decades /
centuries) in the same way
to say a solar change (see the Hoyt & Schatten 1998 book).
Kopp goes on
to demonstrate that the big climatological impact of TSI (the 17th
century Maunder Minimum) is «generally - accepted (
to) have been about 0.04
to 0.08 % lower in irradiance for
several decades» relative
to «current levels.»
Granted, it is «slow» right now, but the melting has been increasing quite substantially, and whereas the IPCC had been speaking in the neighborhood of a sea level increase of 50 cm, figures between one
to two meters are becoming common as the result of observed changes, and with the nonlinear processes and resulting positive feedback, Jim Hansen has suggested that a sea level doubling per
decade and increase of
several meters (up
to 5 m) by the end of the
century is more realistic.
Granted, it is «slow» right now, but the melting has been increasing quite substantially, and whereas the IPCC had been speaking in the neighborhood of a sea level increase of 50 cm, figures between one
to two meters are becoming common as the result of the observed higher rates since, and with the nonlinear processes and resulting positive feedback, Jim Hansen has suggested that a sea level doubling per
decade and increase of
several meters (up
to 5 m) by the end of the
century is more realistic.
These compounds remain in the atmosphere only days
to decades — versus
centuries for the CO2 perturbation — so cutting their emissions can appreciably slow the rate of warming over the next
several decades.
The decisive truth
to recognise is that in the last two
centuries, and more likely the last
several decades, there has been a break or rupture in both Earth history and human history, one that demands a wholesale rethinking of the modernist concepts and categories that most of us take for granted.
In fact, the latest scientific research suggests that what would almost certainly happen at those concentrations of CO2 is that, in the second half of this
century, sea levels would start rising
several inches a
decade, which would quickly become 6
to 12 inches a
decade.
From the Vostok Ice Core, it is clear that the Earth is subjected
to many levels of NATURAL «warmings»: JUST one «category «10» warming of 9 + with an ~ 12000y duration every 120,000 y;
several category «6» warmings of 5 - 6C peaking ~ every 7500y after each category «10» event; many category «3» warmings of 2 - 3C peaking ~ every 5000y; and a multitude of category «2» warmings of 1 - 2C peaking on
decade and
century scales.
Health eff ects from changes
to the environment including climatic change, ocean acidification, land degradation, water scarcity, overexploitation of fisheries, and biodiversity loss pose serious challenges
to the global health gains of the past
several decades and are likely
to become increasingly dominant during the second half of this
century and beyond.
A
century of mass change measurements for
several Swiss glaciers allow us
to more finely resolve changes between
decades.
The IPCC uses
several time constants: the constant for the exchange rate of ~ 8 years, and
several time constants for the decay rates in different compartiments, ranging from less than a year (ocean surface)
to decades (deep oceans)
to centuries and millennia (rock weathering, sedimentation).
Their analysis period varied from region
to region, but within each region it generally spanned at least the last
several decades, and for some regions much of the 20th
century (Australia, United States, Norway, and South Africa).
In many rivers fed by glaciers, there will be a «meltwater dividend» during some part of the 21st
century, due
to increasing rates of loss of glacier ice, but the continued shrinkage of the glaciers means that after
several decades the total amount of meltwater that they yield will begin
to decrease (medium confidence).
Depending where you look and in which
decade they advance and retreat, but now with sea level rising twice as fast as in the last
century, you may be able
to figure out that glaciers are melting more quickly, and that with
several more degrees of warming they would be on a downward trend.
They say nothing about any man - made GW prior
to 1950, rather they speak of, «the last 1/2
century,» «since the middle of the 20th
century,» but with the majority referenced the beginning point as, since the 1970's,» or simply, «over the past
several decades.
Terrestrial permafrost emissions of CH4 and CO2 likely can occur on a time scale of a few
decades to several centuries if global warming continues [215].
If IPCC models can not even predict the temperature of the next
decade, why are we
to put any confidence whatsoever in their ability
to project temperatures for the next
several decades — or even
century?
A normal observer would say, «if they can't get one
decade right, why are we
to believe that they can get
several decades or even
centuries right?»
The climate is a messy system and traditional attribution looking for the reasons for a warming of
several tenths of a degree over a
century can only reach the conclusion that it is «very likely», what chance, consequently, does anyone have
to confidently attribute changes of a hundredth of a degree over a
decade?
Several authors suggest that the extinction crisis is already so severe, even without climate change included as a driver, that a mass extinction of species is plausible within
decades to centuries.
Developing metrics
to set short - term changes observed over
decades or
centuries in the context of long - term (
several hundreds
to thousands of years or more) variation in specific ecosystems
Vincentrj # 28 you are unclear re the division of your opinions / inferences between the 3 basic sub-topics (1) heat is entering the oceans due
to radiative imbalance due
to humans burning carbon fuels (2) the heat rate coupled with its estimated duration (based on its cause) will make it within a few
decades become unprecedented during the last
several thousand years and same for the surface temperature rise that will be required
to stop it (3) the effects on flora & fauna will be highly negative even within this
century and more so for
centuries and millenia thereafter, in particular the human species which has softened much and expects much more since the days when a mammoth tusk through the groin was met with «well Og's had it, press on».
Fraedrich & Blender find persistence up
to decades, Kiraly et al. find persistence lasting
several years, so even if their analysis applied
to temperature time series (which it doesn't) rather than fluctuations (which it does), those time scales aren't long enough
to explain the trend on a
century time scale in observed temperature time series.
Someone responded with
several papers from one
decade (first of 21st) which are not relevant
to the entire
century.
Yet modeling and theoretical studies suggest only small anthropogenic changes
to tropical cyclone intensity
several decades into the future [an increase on the order of ~ 5 % near the end of the 21st
century (4, 5)-RSB-.
Several analyses of ring width and ring density chronologies, with otherwise well - established sensitivity
to temperature, have shown that they do not emulate the general warming trend evident in instrumental temperature records over recent
decades, although they do track the warming that occurred during the early part of the 20th
century and they continue
to maintain a good correlation with observed temperatures over the full instrumental period at the interannual time scale (Briffa et al., 2004; D'Arrigo, 2006).
Significant short - term (
decades to century - scale) temperature and sea levels fluctuations (
several degrees and many meters) during the last ice age (about 110 — 15 thousand years ago) imply great instability of the Greenland and west Antarctic ice sheets.