The Earth has experienced
several periods of warming in the past 200 years.
This temperature reconstruction identifies
several periods of warming and cooling relative to its long - term mean (1897 - 2012).
Not exact matches
For example, the ice ages during the last
several million years — and the
warmer periods in between — appear to have been triggered by no more than a different seasonal and latitudinal distribution
of the solar energy absorbed by the Earth, not by a change in output from the sun.
Much
of this change has occurred over the last
several decades indicating that the
warming trend accelerated over the 1925 — 2016
period.
Over what time
period might this savannization process release carbon «equivalent to
several years
of worldwide carbon emissions», and how does that affect the assessment offered by Gore, Hansen and others that we have perhaps ten years in which to substantially reduce CO2 emissions to avoid irreversible catastrophic
warming?
The whole
of the last
several million years has been a classic two state climate, oscillating between ice ages and
warm periods, with sudden changes between the two.
In geological time, the balance
of the system has changed
several times, and just like any system can have a resonance at certain points, the climate can reach a resonant point where it is teetering between two states (our current 100,000 year ice age
warm period cycle).
Ocean temperatures experience interannual variability and over the past 3 decades
of global
warming have had
several short
periods of cooling.
If these scenarios are correct, then the settlement pattern in the Monte Verde area during this
period was probably just one
of several with small groups
of people seasonally adapted to cold parkland and boreal environments, most likely during the
warmer months.
Tumeric!I never out
of it, I once had a painful feet, that once made me cried, after a visit to my doctor, I was given some pain killer, which work for a
period, I was advised to use tumeric with some
warm milk before bedtime, about three nights, after that
period the pain was gone.on my date to see to doctor, After a few Questions and checks, I was told it was a kidney problem I had, after
several visits I was discharged, and now free from pains.
Further, since you agree with us that the
warming rate during the next
several decades will be below 0.325 ºC / decade, then, as I have pointed out, due to the level
of natural variability, a 20 - yr time
period is too short to really differentiate between your beliefs and ours (if there exist any).
It is possible that we are on the brink
of a
several - decades - long
period of rapid
warming.
The Hockeystick theory & indeed part 4
of your defined consensus, that things are so bad that serious action is required, requires that there was not a
period (the medieval
warming) when average temperatures were
several degrees
warmer than now.
In the posts, Stephen McIntyre questions sets
of tree - ring data used in, or excluded from, prominent studies concluding that recent
warming is unusual even when compared with past
warm periods in the last
several millenniums (including the recent Kaufman et al. paper discussed here).
Burning all fossil fuels, if the CO2 is released into the air, would destroy creation, the planet with its animal and plant life as it has existed for the past
several thousand years, the time
of civilization, the Holocene, the
period of relative climate stability,
warm enough to keep ice sheets off North America and Eurasia, but cool enough to maintain Antarctic and Greenland ice, and thus a stable sea level.
In geological time, the balance
of the system has changed
several times, and just like any system can have a resonance at certain points, the climate can reach a resonant point where it is teetering between two states (our current 100,000 year ice age
warm period cycle).
The whole
of the last
several million years has been a classic two state climate, oscillating between ice ages and
warm periods, with sudden changes between the two.
And, as the satellite observations
of Spencer and Braswell showed, as the planet
warms over a
period of several months, clouds act as a net negative feedback (the reflecting low - altitude clouds increase more than the absorbing high - altitude clouds with
warming).
Now to the second point: Satellite observations by Spencer and Braswell showed that, as the planet over the tropics
warmed over a
period of several months, the net feedback from clouds was strongly negative.
As has been noted in
several articles in The New American in recent years, not only has the threat
of global
warming been exaggerated, the Earth may actually be facing a
period of global cooling.
The MWP was so far as is known a
period of several hundred years during which different places on the earth were
warmer than average for a while.
It is the last
of several multi-century
warming periods that have happened during the Neoglacial cooling
of the past 3000 years.
So if the second half
of the 20th century had the highest average absolute levels
of solar activity for «
several thousand years» (Solanki) and at least 350 + years (Lean), then this could well have been a significant cause
of late 20th century
warming (building in all the «time lags» one might envision), despite the fact that the absolute level
of solar activity was declining over this
period.
My opinion expressed elsewhere is that almost all the temperature changes we observe over
periods of less than a century are caused by cyclical changes in the rate
of energy emission from the oceans with the solar effect only providing a slow background trend
of warming or cooling for
several centuries at a time.
If we assume that the LIA was caused mostly by naturally forced variability, then we have
several periods in the 20th century
of cooling and
warming associated with modest unforced variability: The AMO's effect on GMST (0.25 degC peak to trough) isn't big enough to invalidate the IPCC's attribution statement.
If we have real - world evidence that temperatures were
warmer than today during most
of the past 10,000 years (and also during
several interglacial
warm periods during the past few million years), and if we also have real - world evidence that human civilization thrived during these
warmer temperatures and the
warmer temperatures did not trigger so - called «tipping points» sending the planet into a climate catastrophe, then we have very little reason to believe that our presently and moderately
warming temperatures are now poised to send the planet into a climate catastrophe.
In the begin
period of RC, there were
several interesting discussions, where
warmers and sceptics both could have their view.
It is also worth noting that the use
of both modes
of Geo - E in a Troika strategy can not entirely guarantee a benign outcome, however long the R&D
period, since we have no firm information on how large the response the Methane Hydrates Melt feedback will be to the sum
of ocean
warming that is already penetrating the seabed plus that from the
several decades
of further
warming as the natural sea temperatures are slowly restored.
The 800 year lag is not that fixed, the lag is 800 years at the end
of a cold
period, but
several thousands
of years at the end
of a
warm interglacial.
Internal variability can only account for ~ 0.3 °C change in average global surface air temperature at most over
periods of several decades, and scientific studies have consistently shown that it can not account for more than a small fraction
of the global
warming over the past century.
Ferdinand Engelbeen said: The 800 year lag is not that fixed, the lag is 800 years at the end
of a cold
period, but
several thousands
of years at the end
of a
warm interglacial.
By process
of elimination, there is net flow
of CO2 into vegetation / land (with emissions from them being overall negative aside from fuel combustion), which is unsurprising in contexts ranging from a multitude
of studies on co2science.org to how satellite - measured global net terrestrial primary production increased by
several percent per decade during the
period of global
warming (Nemani et al. 2003, for instance).
We have a solid 10,000 years
of recent climate change to consider, and it shows
several periods of greater
warming than present, none explained by increased atmospheric CO2, or more obviously, by human activity.
Furthermore, by the mid-1900s we were, to the best
of our knowledge, passing the
warmest temperatures
of the Medieval
Warm Period that preceded the Little Ice Age by
several centuries.
And, this addresses the issue
of the synchronicity
of the
warm events in different locations during the broadly - defined several hundred year period called the Medieval Warm Period how exac
warm events in different locations during the broadly - defined
several hundred year
period called the Medieval Warm Period how ex
period called the Medieval
Warm Period how exac
Warm Period how ex
Period how exactly?
By that standard, last week in Rochester we should have stopped preparing for winter given that we had
several days
of warm temperatures that surely made the temperature trends over some reasonable time
period of a week or more positive rather than negative, as would be expected if this seasonal cycle theory was real.
We found that the world naturally switches between
periods of global
warming and
periods of global cooling, with each
period lasting
several decades.
If polar bears have been around for, say, half a million years this means that they've survived
several ice ages, including all the sudden
warming periods at the beginning
of each interglacial, many
of which will have been
warmer than now.
Did the CO2 contribute to the
several thousand years
of subsequent
warming, making the
warming period longer and / or making the total temperature increase higher?
In other words, global temperatures seem to alternate between
periods of global
warming and
periods of global cooling, lasting
several decades.
Global mean temperature during the Eemian interglacial
period (120,000 years ago) is constrained to be 2 °C
warmer than our pre-industrial (1880 — 1920) level based on
several studies
of Eemian climate [52].
We consider
several important climate impacts and use evidence from current observations to assess the effect
of 0.8 °C
warming and paleoclimate data for the effect
of larger
warming, especially the Eemian
period, which had global mean temperature about +2 °C relative to pre-industrial time.
In addition and to visualize the impacts
of climate
warming on species diversity, we documented the mean location
of February (the coldest month
of the year in the Mediterranean) sea surface isotherms (°C) for the
period 1985 to 2006, integrating
several data sources.
Just that plus 0.8 C over that
period - with
several clearly distinct ups and down in the graph - including crucially the ongoing 16 year flat lining is not a reason to jump out the window screaming nor change the socio economic make up
of the world to stop «catastrophic man - made global
warming».
We had the
warm ENSO
period of the 1980s / 1990s (which led to the all - time record
warm year 1998), an observed decrease in late 20th C cloud cover (and albedo), the highest solar activity for
several thousand years, etc..
The third is less widely known but should be front - and - center: It is well - known among people who study such things that, human civilization has seen
several warm periods and
several cold
periods all within the span
of recorded history and the archeological record timeframe, so we have a pretty good understanding
of what each kind
of climate change bodes for mankind.
Most
of the evidence is that species thrive in
warmer weather, and polar bears have survived
several inter-glaciation
periods where the north pole melted entirely in the summer.
That assumption conflicts with studies finding that the Northern Hemisphere was
warmer than present for
several decades during the Medieval
Warm Period and Roman
Warm Period and for thousands
of years during Holocene Optimum.
My arithmetic for a 2x C02 would be: Present
Warming: 0.75 deg C Current warming Rate 0.15 deg C per decade Time to 2x C02 (BAU scenario) approx 100 years So 0.15 x 10 +0.75 = 2.25 deg C Further warming due to time lag at end of 100 year period ~ 0.75 deg, probably over several d
Warming: 0.75 deg C Current
warming Rate 0.15 deg C per decade Time to 2x C02 (BAU scenario) approx 100 years So 0.15 x 10 +0.75 = 2.25 deg C Further warming due to time lag at end of 100 year period ~ 0.75 deg, probably over several d
warming Rate 0.15 deg C per decade Time to 2x C02 (BAU scenario) approx 100 years So 0.15 x 10 +0.75 = 2.25 deg C Further
warming due to time lag at end of 100 year period ~ 0.75 deg, probably over several d
warming due to time lag at end
of 100 year
period ~ 0.75 deg, probably over
several decades.
As it turns out, there were
several warming periods BEFORE the MWP, all
of the
warmer than the MWP, and each
warmer than the later ones.