Not exact matches
The line has remained unchanged over the last two days, but it's quite clear that
sharp bettors were responsible for
initial 1.5 - point line
move.
Public money was responsible for the
initial three - point line
move, and
sharp money on Washington caused the line to drop from 16.5 to 14.
Following that
initial move,
sharp money continued to hammer Penn State which caused the Nittany Lions to
move from +3 to +1.5.
In other words, injuries were responsible for the
initial 1 - point line
move and
sharp action was responsible for the subsequent 1.5 - point
move.
Both of these
moves yielded profitable returns in the first week of the season, and they validate our
initial assertion that
sharp bettors have pounded the road underdog in this matchup.
The line graph below shows a perfect illustration of
initial sharp money on Boise before an influx of public money to
move the line back down:
With the line movement correlating directly with our public betting percentages, it would appear that public money was responsible for the
initial 1.5 - point line
move on the spread; however,
sharp bettors were happy to take this artificially inflated line and bet Ole Miss back to +4.5.
You will notice that I have highlighted two steam
moves triggered on Saint Mary's, which validates my
initial claim that
sharp money was responsible for this 1.5 - point line
move.