Not only did
sharp money take a position on the College Football Playoff National Championship spread earlier in the week, but now professionals have targeted the total as well.
The 2017 NBA Playoffs begin this weekend and we've already seen
sharp money take a side in one of the more exciting Western Conference matchups.
We still haven't seen
sharp money take a side, but this free line value is a hallmark of the contrarian betting strategy.
Bettors lose value taking the Spurs +9, if
sharp money took the Spurs +10.
We have already seen early
sharp money taking the over on Oakland's win total, which indicates that I'm not alone in my adoration of the silver and black.
Line movement that contradicts our public betting trends is known as reverse line movement, and it's an excellent indicator that
sharp money took Florida State -11.5.
New Mexico has moved 5.5 points since opening despite getting just 40 % of tickets, so clearly
sharp money taking the Lobos on the road.
Sharp money took Alabama at -2 and -2.5 and even at -3.
For example, if several sportsbooks adjust the spread from Notre Dame +14 to +13 within a short window, you would know that
sharp money took the Fighting Irish getting two touchdowns.
Not a great omen for the Badgers, and on Friday afternoon they dropped to the key number of -7 after more
sharp money took the Wolverines.
For example, if several sportsbooks adjust the spread from New York Jets +14 to +13.5 within a short window, you would know that
sharp money took the Jets getting two touchdowns.
Here's a look from our Live Odds page showing
some sharper money taking the draw here:
Early
sharp money taking NYJ +3.5.
Since opening at -108 we've definitely seen
some sharp money taking Toronto FC (29 % of bets), moving the line up to -127 before settling at -120 where it currently sits.
There is also some reverse - line movement in this game which suggests
some sharp money taking Temple as a home dog.
Bettors lose value taking Duke -6 if
sharp money took Duke -5.
Sharp Money taking the Marlins In today's Seattle Mariners at Miami Marlins game, the Marlins have moved from -105 to -132 at CRIS, despite receiving only 34 % of moneyline bets.
That reverse line movement indicates that
sharp money took Wisconsin +6 immediately after the line opened.
Not exact matches
However, Ohio State has moved from -13.5 to -17 around the market despite just 33 % of tickets, a clear indication that
sharper money is
taking the Buckeyes.
This reverse line movement is a strong indicator that
sharp money has
taken the host Vikings.
Honest question: How can it be considered the «
sharp»
money or «smart»
money if they're
taking FSU -10.5 today when they could have bet yesterday or the day before and given only 8.5 points?
We recently introduced a new
sharp action report for all Sportsbook Insider subscribers and, although there are several games where
sharp money has hammered the total, this is the only spread where
sharp money has
taken a side.
This is the third time that Irish steam has hit the market, and we've seen
sharp money come in to
take Miami at +3.5 every time they've reached that number.
This is one of our best
sharp money indicators, and it's clear that
sharps were eager to
take Nashville at that price.
Every sport book today is computerized, Back in my day
money always moved the line if a player was respected, and if the squares tossed enough
money on a game most books would move the line a little, However the big books would just sit and even
take layoffs from the small stores, They knew even if the squares got hot in the end the juice would eat em up.Gone are the days when Billy Walters and his crew would move the line 3 and 4 points, I'm talking sides not totals, Forget about what they did to the horseshoe with totals in the NBA, Back then you could catch small non computerized stores with bad lines to begin with, imagine a three point move and the small store or corner bookie is off on the line a few points to begin with, I could catch some game with 6 and seven point advantages, with computers today if you can catch a half or one point advantage your lucky.Even if you know the group moving the line most of these store move the lines on air, when I say air they just watch the screen from D.B. And move the line before they even get hit, Hell even the big stores have the
sharps on small limits per call.
We'll show how analyzing betting trends data and line movement can help you identify which games the
sharp money (wagers placed by
sharps, wiseguys or betting syndicates) is
taking.
This reverse - line movement indicates that early
sharp money has
taken the road Huskies.
This reverse - line movement indicates that early
sharp money has
taken the Buckeyes.
While our Bet Signals data have not triggered any
sharp money indicators, the line ticking down from Michigan State +2 to +1.5 indicates that the larger wagers have
taken the points so far in this matchup.
In David Purdum's recent article at ESPN Chalk, he reports that large bets by square bettors
taking the short trip from California have been on the Dodgers, but sportsbooks expect
sharp money to come in on the Astros for both game 1 and the series.
Sharp money hasn't
taken a side in this matchup, but one - sided public betting appears to have created some contrarian value on the Boilermakers.
Again, early spread tickets are pretty even, so
sharper money has been
taking the Cardinal to cover at home.
Bets are fairly evenly split, but some early
sharp money has
taken Hawaii, with the line declining slightly.
As always, if you like either side, feel free to
take it, but there hasn't been many
sharp money indications to make us feel strongly about either team.
This reverse line movement indicates that
sharp money has
taken the under.
Parlay percentage is another excellent indicator of square
money since you won't find many
sharp bettors
taking parlays.
Still, even after receiving 60 % of spread bets the Packers saw the line drop from 7 to 6 indicating that
sharp money was
taking the Niners.
This reverse line movement indicates that
sharp money is
taking the road Bulldogs.
Around 60 % of tickets have
taken FSU so far and that appears to be both public and
sharp money.
Since Alabama is the clear - cut favorite to win the title this season, it makes some sense that bigger and
sharper money is
taking the Crimson Tide to
take care of business.
It's also worth noting that oddsmakers respect the opinion of their
sharpest bettors, and won't adjust based on public
money if those
sharps have
taken a side.
If you're wary about betting on a sport like the WNBA,
take a look at our recent post on how you can use the software to follow the
sharp money and create profitable systems.
Right now 64 % of tickets and 77 % of the
money wagered is on Chicago, which means that both
sharp and public bettors are
taking the Hawks.
It's also interesting to note that when these teams faced off last season, the majority of tickets were
taking Alabama and the
sharp money was
taking Clemson.
Line movement that contradicts our public betting trends is known as reverse line movement, and it's an excellent indicator that
sharp money has
taken the Athletics.
We're
taking Chicago as a +3 pt Home Underdog, and laying our
money once again with the
Sharp money.
With balanced public betting, limited line movement and no betting systems triggered, it doesn't look like
sharp money has
taken a side on tonight's spread.
That
sharp money has been enough for books to
take notice and drop the spread to 6, though they've now juiced up the Dallas side, perhaps an indicator that we could see this line move back to 6.5 before game time.
Pinnacle opened at Seattle -6 but
took a lot of early «
Sharp»
money on Carolina that forced the line down to Seattle -3.5.
That indicates oddsmakers have
taken sharp money on Florida State, and they're comfortable with their current level of liability.