Some sharper early money is clearly taking Georgia Tech as a double - digit dog, and the public will likely keep this line in between -8 and -10.
This indicates
some sharper early money coming down on the Draw, and that'll be my first value play of the weekend at +230 odds.
Right now spread tickets are fairly even around the market in this game, too, but obviously
some sharper early money took Michigan above the +10.
Not exact matches
For the record, it is still
early and very few bets have come down on this game, however, two Steam Moves (BetUS and CRIS) have already been triggered, indicating
sharp money already likes one side of this matchup.
That line movement would seem to indicate that
early sharp money likes the road dog.
This reverse line movement would indicate that
early sharp money likes the home dog.
That reverse line movement indicates that
early sharp money hammered the under.
This reverse - line movement indicates that
early sharp money has taken the road Huskies.
Judging by the
early bets,
sharp money appears to be on the Falcons and Patriots to cover the spread, but you'll definitely want to track throughout the week as the market is subject to change 24/7.
This would indicate some
sharper money on the Rays and Cardinals but it's still very
early around the market so these lines and %'s are subject to change at any second.
We have already seen
early sharp money taking the over on Oakland's win total, which indicates that I'm not alone in my adoration of the silver and black.
However, the very
early line moves on the Falcons indicated some
sharper money to move the line up to -5.5, which the public then bet back down again to -4:
This reverse - line movement indicates that
early sharp money has taken the Buckeyes.
According to our Bet Signals data,
sharp money steamed this game late Monday morning and is largely responsible for the
early line movement.
Again,
early spread tickets are pretty even, so
sharper money has been taking the Cardinal to cover at home.
Bets are fairly evenly split, but some
early sharp money has taken Hawaii, with the line declining slightly.
That reverse line movement is an excellent indicator that
early sharp money likes NC State.
All the
early sharp money was on Michigan +10, driving the line to +6.5 by game time, but the Wolverines couldn't get the backdoor cover.
As noted in an
earlier article, the Pinnacle MLB steam move has been incredibly profitable for bettors and it's one of the best identifiers of
sharp money.
Pinnacle opened at Seattle -6 but took a lot of
early «
Sharp»
money on Carolina that forced the line down to Seattle -3.5.
These are
early signs that
sharp money are on the Vikings.
There's definitely been some
sharp money on the Red Raiders since tickets are split
early on.
I like the value and the fact
early Sharp money is coming in on NYJ.
Early sharp money pushed Ohio State from -3 to -3.5, but public
money on Clemson has caused that line to drop.
Former Baylor head coach Art Briles, who was fired in May following revelations of misconduct by Baylor football players, saw his odds improve from 50/1 to 15/1 based on
early sharp money.
Despite
early sharp money on Briles, his odds of being the Tigers» head coach for Week 1 of the 2017 season have dropped from +1500 to +5400.
«
Early in the week,
sharp money is generally the reason you will see a line move.
I like the value and the fact
early Sharp money has pushed this line from 9.5 to 8.5.
This reverse line movement indicates that
early sharp money likes the road dogs in this marquee matchup.
--
Earlier this season we published an article detailing how bettors could track MLB
sharp money based on reverse line movement.
You can see that
early public
money on the White Sox caused the Tigers to move from +120 to +127 before
sharp money hammered Detroit.
Tennessee has only covered in 2 of the last 8 games vs. Alabama and an
early move from -14 to -16.5 is almost entirely due to
sharp money, but there may be value on the Volunteers if they reach +17.
This is a decent indicator that
early sharp money prefers the chalk.
Betting market: Not only are the ticket percentages in this game relatively even (see chart below), but
sharp money come down on both sides
earlier in the week, with Steam Moves triggered at Alabama -3 and Clemson +3.
It's also evident that public
money pounded Alabama
early this week; however, more recent
sharp money has been taking Clemson.
This type of schism between the ticket count and handle indicates that
early sharp money has been taking the Terrapins.
You may notice the line moved from Bills -7.5 to -9 on Monday morning and, according to Cooley, that was caused by
early sharp money.
This indicates some of the
sharper,
early money has come in on Syracuse.
In
early betting, one - sided action drove Kansas from -2 to -4.5 for tonight's showdown with Kentucky, but
sharp money had yet to make an appearance.
Not only did
sharp money take a position on the College Football Playoff National Championship spread
earlier in the week, but now professionals have targeted the total as well.
Perhaps the public is expecting a letdown after they crushed the Irish 41 - 8 last weekend, but
early sharp money was definitely on Miami.
This is shaping up to be very similar to last week's Virginia Tech / Miami game where
early line movement was all over VT, but late
sharp money pounded Miami to move the line from «Canes +2.5 to -3 by close.
Although the limits are lower
early in the week, these steam moves were a strong indicator that
early sharp money liked Louisville.
Early sharp money and tickets pounded the Wolverines on the road and for good reason — unless you're Alabama, it's extremely difficult to stay undefeated through the season.
Currently betting percentages are pretty split for the game but it's obvious some
early,
sharp money was pounding the Wildcats.
That indicates that
sharp money actually liked the under in their
earlier matchup.
By comparing the public betting trends from our contributing sportsbooks and from the Las Vegas based William Hill sportsbook (@WilliamHillUS on twitter), we're able to identify
sharp money and explain why factors have caused
early line movement.
This indicates that
early sharp money likes the home favorite in this matchup.
This reverse line movement indicates that
early sharp money has been pounding the under.
This reverse line movement is an excellent indicator that
early sharp money is pounding Ohio State.