But this stocktake of countries» contributions did yield some insights into
shifting global climate trends.
Not exact matches
If as suggested here, a dynamically driven
climate shift has occurred, the duration of similar
shifts during the 20th century suggests the new
global mean temperature
trend may persist for several decades.
What we find is that when interannual modes of variability in the
climate system have what I'll refer to as an «episode,»
shifts in the multi-decadal
global mean temperature
trend appear to occur.
The
climate system appears to have had three distinct «episodes» during the 20th century (during the 1910's, 1940's, and 1970's), and all three marked
shifts in the
trend of the
global mean temperature, along with changes in the qualitative character of ENSO variability.
As the modes keep on synchronizing and the coupling strength keeps on increasing, at some coupling threshold the synchronized state is destroyed and
climate shifts into a new state characterized by a reversal in
global temperature
trend.
It's hard to see anything
shifting these coal
trends unless and until other energy choices become as cheap and convenient, or countries are kicked so hard by
climate disruption that they realize the value of a
global push to limit the human contribution to warming exceeds the economic value of abundant fossil energy.
The 1976 divide is the date of a widely acknowledged «
climate shift» (e.g. Trenberth, 1990) and seems to mark a time (see Chapter 9) when
global mean temperature began a discernable upward
trend that has been at least partly attributed to increases in greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere (see the TAR; IPCC 2001).
This latest
climate shift is characterized by increased frequency of La Nina events and a break in the
global mean temperature
trend.
We should be able to predict changes in
global temperature
trends from the net latitudinal position of all the air circulation systems and regional
climate changes follow from those latitudinal
shifts.
The 1976 divide is the date of a widely acknowledged «
climate shift» (e.g. Trenberth, 1990) and seems to mark a time (see Chapter 9) when the
global mean temperatures began a discernable upward
trend that has been at least partly attributed to increases in greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere... The picture prior to 1976 has essentially not changed and is therefore not repeated in detail here.