On the long term, a climate, with all it's
shorter term fluctuations, may be near equilibrium (in the sense that the patterns can be expected to recur — not exactly like a tesselation, but generally like the same texture (is climate a glass?)-RRB-.
This would create
shorter term fluctuations in the bias but this would tend to cancel out in the longer term.
Climate variations are made up of both long - term trends, such as in response to greenhouse gases and aerosols, and
shorter term fluctuations due to natural variability, such as the El Nino Southern Oscillation.
In light of the above, you have to make sure you can survive
the short term fluctuations to achieve high long - term returns.
I used smoothed silver prices over the last century to filter out
short term fluctuations to highlight the basic trend of silver prices.
Bonds often experience
short term fluctuations but usually generate higher long term returns.
This is why scientists normally discuss trends — 30 years or more — so that
short term fluctuations can be seen as part of a greater pattern.
By weight loss plateau, I don't mean
a short term fluctuation but a long - lasting stall.
By weight loss plateau, I don ' t mean
a short term fluctuation but a long - lasting stall.
You might see
short term fluctuations in weight due to water retention, particularly if you're a woman (yep, it's hormone - related).
This creates a conflict of interest where investors are incentivized to hope for
short term fluctuations upward so they can sell their stake and decrease their interest in a company.
It is important that we keep long term goals in mind, and not get caught up focusing on
any short term fluctuations over a given year.
Because of this, I try to make my investing decisions based on
short term fluctuations.
Because if most
short term fluctuations are random, then it's very hard to significantly outperform 0 % a year!
In addition, investors must be careful about where they set a stop order for it may be harsh if it is turned on by
a short term fluctuation in the stock's price.
So, take advantage of
short term fluctuations or bad news, and use that to profit over the long run.
I don't spend much time worry about
short term fluctuations.
While investors typically put away their money into an asset, ride out
short term fluctuations and wait to reap the long term rewards, traders have a shorter term focus, profiting from rises and falls in the short term.
Therefore it cant drive long term temperature increases over century timescales, only
short term fluctuations.
Dr. Meier's reminder to us that
short term fluctuations in temperatures don't change the big picture forecast which is that of an ice free Arctic.
There is little that can be validly noticed from the «hockey stick» plot, the methodology to produce it was flawed, showing clear indications of predetermination in it's consideration of «data» dropping «outrider points» when those very points are strongly indicative of
short term fluctuations of temperature in an «experiment» looking for «the casual process» only shows that the «casual process» had already been decided on beforehand.
Never - the-less, it does mean your result is primarilly the product of
a short term fluctuation.
Using the Foster and Rahmstorf adjusted GISTEMP trend of 0.17 C / decade, we get a temperature increase over three decades of 0.51 C, with
short term fluctuations eliminated.
I suspect that, in practice, fridges and freezers will be useful for balancing
the short term fluctuations in generation from sustainable sources such as solar photovoltaics affected by intermittent cloud cover while water heating, electric car charging, and municipal water pumping will more nearly match the time spans involved in wind farm generation.
Longer term sea ice in Antarctica has been increasing, except for a recent
short term fluctuation.
The utility of climate averaged over long periods is that it removes
short term fluctuations from consideration, the same point as in Example 2d.
To make it clearer, some / many believe that the earth is in a long term cooling trend that will have
short term fluctuations that will result in warming.
There is no trend in net energy in CERES — although with large
short term fluctuations.
Also the effort to produce «temperature proxy» ignores the overall effect productions of Turbulent processes presents in
short term fluctuation of REAL measure of «temperature» as presenting a measure of the residual Kinetic Energy within a System.
Please realise the difference tween fluctuations in temperature from
short term fluctuations within processes of Turbulence (generally «atmospheric») and the release of Kinetic Energy from the slow & longer term reversion of Turbulent Cooling and the attached release of Kinetic Energy from the Masses seen at * (above and principally Oceanic).
Turbulent processes will alter residual Kinetic Energy within a System, this residual is presented within measures of Temperature and so «observations» show
short term fluctuations of «temperature» un-associated to alteration of total Kinetic Energy induction.
However, my impression is the emperical evidence for the relationship between solar magnetic activity and atmospheric temperature is a correlation between
their short term fluctuations.
The natural variations consist mainly of
short term fluctuations (less than a decade) due to ENSO and other chaotic elements, plus longer term climate «oscillations» — mainly the AMO and PDO, with total «cycle» lengths in the neighborhood of about 60 years.
In regards to ocean cycles, clearly these also play their role, as
short term fluctuations on top of a longer term trend.
I know of no reason why the apparent averaging out of
short term fluctuations over longer timescales dominated by forcing was an inevitable result that could have been derived without reference to the actual data.
If you use too short a time period the trends can be very sensitive to
short term fluctuation in the monthly data — particularly near the beginning or the end of the time period.
Short term fluctuations in the weather such as North Atlantic high or an El Nino will affect climate figures for a year or two — but not averages over the 10 - 15 year scale.
Apart from the small number of observations on which Salby bases his theory, the main error is in jumping from showing a correlation between temperature and
short term fluctuations in CO2 to concluding that the long term trend must also be attributable to temperature.
(ii) as to
the short term fluctuations, these are also fairly predictable as the mostly follow ENSO, and are only minor purtabations about the long term trend (and hence are of no significance in a discussion of climate change, as they cancel out to zero in the longer term).
When it happens to fit their perspective, such
short term fluctuations are framed as a «recovery» on certain blogs, or the decrease in Arctic sea ice is downplayed in other ways.
So by applying the SOI to the up - to - the - moment data, the vast majority of
the short term fluctuations are removed and only the long term trend remains.
Not exact matches
The company claims a 30 - day snapshot makes little sense, as it makes it difficult to tease out real sales trends from
short -
term fluctuations, caused by things like discount programs.
The high income households have nice broad, diversified safety nets that can allow them to withstand shocks (oil prices, housing prices, employment
fluctuations, unexpected illness) by shifting through
short, medium and long -
term forms of saving.
McCredie also notes that those in the market for a luxury home are less likely to be deterred by
short -
term fluctuations.
Doing this can help you smooth out any
short -
term price
fluctuations and ensure that you're not getting the worst price of the day.
The Fund's investments in smaller - company stocks carry an increased risk of price
fluctuation, especially over the
short term.
Though it's not typical, to the extent that the
short -
term fluctuations in Strategic Growth have tracked this spread recently, I see it as a positive that this spread is trading at the lower band.
I would like to say a little more about it today and will divide the subject into two aspects: the
shorter -
term cyclical
fluctuations in household credit growth, and the fact that various debt ratios have trended upwards over time.
Do not react to
short -
term minor
fluctuations up or down.
Premier Li Keqiang on Wednesday said China can meet the major economic goals this year and policymakers will not be distracted by
short -
term fluctuations of individual indicators.