Not exact matches
Amid
predictions the Tories may fall
short of a majority, May said: «At this time more
than anything else, this country needs a period of stability.
«Pushing for legislation to restrict food and beverage marketing to children and youth may seem like a bold measure, but given experts»
prediction that today's children may be the first generation to have poorer health and
shorter lifespans
than their parents, we need to be bold.»
In my post I was careful to note the following: «I assume that many climate scientists will say that there is no significance to what has happened since 2000, and perhaps emphasize that
predictions of global temperature are more certain in the longer term
than shorter term.»
This ought to be chapter three in a series of
prediction entries no longer
than the amount of time it takes the orchestra to cut off the acceptance speeches of the winners in the
short film categories.
On more
than 1,100 interrupted math tests and more
than 280 English tests, students scored
short enough of Hill's
prediction that the New Hampshire - based testing expert asked state education officials to invalidate the scores.
If somebody was to redo The Escalator animation, http://www.skepticalscience.com/graphics.php?g=47 — using a series of overlapping 17 year trends, it might be a good visual aid to show that specified time span is maybe a little better at
prediction than the original sequence of
shorter 6 - 8 year periods, but just as prone to cherry picking.
Re # 104 — «Well, weather
prediction is much less certain
than climate
prediction, since even small «butterflies beating their wings in South America» can effect change in
short - term atmospheric processes.»
Well, weather
prediction is much less certain
than climate
prediction, since even small «butterflies beating their wings in South America» can effect change in
short - term atmospheric processes.
It seems that you completely missed my point, which is essentially avoided too by Judith Curry's intention to do a post hoc analysis of this year's temperature record, rather
than to attempt a trivial statistical
prediction of
short - term trend, and to offer a covering explanation of the interpretation of such.
They are no good for making projections,
predictions over
short (less
than 30 year) periods.
As far as weather (and hence climate)
predictions are concerned, it is difficult to achieve better results
than the persistence
prediction in the
short term
Future coupling of demography with existing global land model
predictions could enable assessment of these potentially important die - off responses [44], as well as implementation of more realistic reductions in tree loss to drive scenarios (i.e., enabling assessments of ecological changes less drastic or occurring on
shorter time - scales
than conversion from forest to grassland biomes).
You've not shown anything other
than the longer term
predictions, along with explicit recognition that there are expected to be unpredictable
short term variation, on the scale of decades.
Obviously, there are even more numerous and greater magnitude differences between model
predictions and observations over even
shorter periods
than 10 years.
Weather
predictions, while less
than perfect, average to a reasonable accuracy in the
short term after decades of tweaking.
Over similar time periods and similar areas,
shorter - term
predictions will be better
than long - term (though maybe not much better).
I don't know about your «Mr. Spock», but if you really want to know why a longer - term
prediction has a lower confidence level
than a
shorter - term one, read Nassim Taleb's The Black Swan.
(Explains why longer - term
predictions will be more wrong
than shorter - term ones)(Ch.10)
In my post I was careful to note the following: «I assume that many climate scientists will say that there is no significance to what has happened since 2000, and perhaps emphasize that
predictions of global temperature are more certain in the longer term
than shorter term.»
«I assume that many climate scientists will say that there is no significance to what has happened since 2000, and perhaps emphasize that
predictions of global temperature are more certain in the longer term
than shorter term.»
Here's a
short look at the story so far, plus five factors that will determine if this year's patent reform effort will fare any better
than 2011 and 2014 — and a
prediction of how it will all turn out.
Earlier
predictions pointed to a
short supply until 2018, but better -
than - expected production rate and probably weaker demand have led to a point where a next - day delivery for iPhone X is possible.
The last but not undoubtedly the least of all Cardano price
predictions refer to the peaking of prices earlier
than updates, trends and current developments offering numerous opportunities for
short - term trading.