He is a prominent critic of scientific studies of temperature records of the past 1000 years that
show increasing global temperatures.
Not exact matches
His figures from 147 weather stations around the world
showed that average
global temperatures increased by 0.59 F from 1880 to 1935 — double what he had predicted based on
increasing carbon dioxide.
The study
shows that by century's end, absent serious reductions in
global emissions, the most extreme, once - in -25-years heat waves would
increase from wet - bulb
temperatures of about 31 C to 34.2 C. «It brings us close to the threshold» of survivability, he says, and «anything in the 30s is very severe.»
The team's research
shows that in addition to contributions from natural forcings and
global warming,
temperature differences between the Atlantic and Pacific oceans play a role in causing drought and
increasing wildfire risks.
Ice cores
show CO2
increases lag behind
temperature rises, disproving the link to
global warming
The findings
show a slight but notable
increase in that average
temperature, putting a dent in the idea that
global warming has slowed over the past 15 years, a trend highlighted in the most recent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report.
Daily records from Manhattan's Central Park
show that average monthly
temperatures already
increased by 3.6 degrees Fahrenheit from 1901 to 2000 — substantially more than the
global and U.S. trends.
February 2008
shows a
global temperature increase of 0.14 °C from January 2008.
Global mean
temperatures averaged over land and ocean surfaces, from three different estimates, each of which has been independently adjusted for various homogeneity issues, are consistent within uncertainty estimates over the period 1901 to 2005 and
show similar rates of
increase in recent decades.
Overall, the new study
shows that «relatively small rises in
global temperature translate into large
increases in the likelihood of extremes,» Stott says.
http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00148.1
Global satellite observations
show the sea surface
temperature (SST)
increasing since the 1970s in all ocean basins, while the net air — sea heat flux Q decreases.
Since the mid 1970's,
global estimates of the potential destructiveness of hurricanes
show an upward trend strongly correlated with
increasing tropical sea - surface
temperature.
Gagliano says that as - yet - unpublished work
shows that exposing adult reef fish to higher water
temperatures and increasingly acid water — both of which are associated with
global warming —
increases the percentage of offspring born with asymmetrical otoliths.
If greenhouse gases were responsible for
global temperature increases in recent decades, atmospheric physics require that higher levels of our atmosphere would
show greater warming than lower levels.
Recent
temperature measurements over the past 165 + years based on satellite, marine and land instruments obtained and analyzed by HadCrut, GISS, and Berkeley indicate
global temperatures have
increased by approximately 1 degree C
shown on Figure 7.
Firstly a search of «historic
global temperatures» reveals oodles of info
showing an
increase from the little ice age and middle ages warm period that precede it and we still have a way to go to get back to the warmer times.
Figure 1a
shows how the
global temperature has
increased by 1.4 ◦ C since1880 [7], whereas Figure 1b depicts the
temperature variation in the state as compared to that of
global temperatures.
Yes, and we now have about 120 years of pretty good data against which to evaluate the models, and they
show unequivocally that GHGs are driving
global temperature increases.
If greenhouse gases were responsible for
global temperature increases in recent decades, atmospheric physics require that higher levels of our atmosphere would
show greater warming than lower levels.
No climate model has ever
shown a year - on - year
increase in
temperatures because of the currently expected amount of
global warming.
We also
show that observed solar variations can not account for observed
global temperature increase.»
Even if you leave climate science completely out of it and just measure extreme
temperatures, the statistical record of
global temperatures shows that three - standard deviation events have
increased from 0.25 % of the time (from 1951 - 1980) to 10 % of the time now.
Terrell Johnson, reporting on a recent NASA publication concluding that deep ocean
temperatures have not
increased since 2005 (http://www.weather.com/science/environment/news/deep-ocean-hasnt-warmed-nasa-20141007): «While the report's authors say the findings do not question the overall science of climate change, it is the latest in a series of findings that
show global warming to have slowed considerably during the 21st century, despite continued rapid growth in human - produced greenhouse gas emissions during the same time.»
Global models that combine precipitation,
temperature, and CO2 effects for the A2 scenario generally
show reduced yields in the tropics and
increased yields in temperate zones (26).
climate scientists should not expect everyone to be as concerned as they are when they
show a plot of
increasing global temperatures.
If only enough problems can be found,
global warming will go away «David Stockwell: if removing the contaminated stations reduced the 20th century
increase to the point there was no
increase in
temperature, how could that possibly improve model fit, when the models
show an
increase of 0.5 deg?»
It can firstly be debunked by
showing the
temperature trend up to the present day and
show increase, by admitting that indeed they haven't
increased at the rate they did in the 1990's, explain that there is a lot of noise in the results and finally that some quite well understood non-human caused forcings such as el - nino can cause temporary amplifications or suppressions of the
global temperature.
Both
show the same
increase from 1999 (mean 1994 - 2004) to 2005 (mean 2000 - 2010) and both
show constant
global temperature from 2005 to 2010.
In a paper circulated with the anti-Kyoto «Oregon Petition,» Robinson et al. («Environmental Effects of
Increased Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide,» 1998) reproduced K4B but (1) omitted Station S data, (2) incorrectly stated that the time series ended in 1975, (3) conflated Sargasso Sea data with
global temperature, and (4) falsely claimed that Keigwin
showed global temperatures «are still a little below the average for the past 3,000 years.»
This animation
shows how the present (year 2000)
global mean surface
temperature change of 0.8 Â °C
increases to 7.8 Â °C by 2300.
For example, if this contribution were to grow linearly with
global average
temperature change, the upper ranges of sea level rise for SRES scenarios
shown in Table SPM - 3 would
increase by 0.1 m to 0.2 m. Larger values can not be excluded, but understanding of these effects is too limited to assess their likelihood or provide a best estimate or an upper bound for sea level rise.
The researchers used a climate - vegetation model that
showed (like several similar studies) a clear
increase in Amazonian drought following a
global average
temperature rise — leading to a large - scale die - back of rainforest, switching to grassland and savanna climate suitability.
But the evidence
shows this can't be true;
temperature changes before CO2 in every record of any duration for any time period; CO2 variability does not correlate with
temperature at any point in the last 600 million years; atmospheric CO2 levels are currently at the lowest level in that period; in the 20th century most warming occurred before 1940 when human production of CO2 was very small; human production of CO2
increased the most after 1940 but
global temperatures declined to 1985; from 2000
global temperatures declined while CO2 levels
increased; and any reduction in CO2 threatens plant life, oxygen production, and therefore all life on the planet.
Figure 1: If climate skeptics are right about climate sensitivity (green), then
global average
temperature increases will be more moderate this century,
shown here for RCP6 (left) and RCP8.5 (right).
The
global temperatures have not
increased 2 °C so I did not
show that magnitude change.
If climate skeptics are right about climate sensitivity (green), then
global average
temperature increases will be more moderate this century,
shown here for RCP6 (left) and RCP8.5 (right).
Obviously there is, but as I tried to say before, there are probably a million different ways you could go about calculating a «
global temperature» and some climate scientists (with possible financial encouragement from ExxonMobil or others intent on creating uncertainly as a stalling tactic) have apparently found a few of those million ways that don't happen to
show much
increase in
temperature.
My understanding of the viewpoint of the majority of experts in related fields is that analysis
shows that relative to 50 years ago, and the LIA, and the MWP, average
global temperatures are warmer, and
increasing in warmth at an anomalous rate than indicated by the data on previous time periods, including the MWP.
Ultimately, the IPCC «concluded that the
global surface
temperature «has
shown a much smaller
increasing linear trend over the past 15 years [1998 - 2012] than over the past 30 to 60 years.»»
In this new study, the researchers
showed that
increasing the albedo of a 1m2 surface by 0.01 would have the same effect on
global temperature, over the next 80 years, as decreasing emissions by around 7 kg of CO2.
I present a graph from NOAA of change in average
global temperature from 1880 to today and then
show the graph of the U.S.
increase in heavy precipitation days from 1950 to today.
Laboratory experiments
show coral bleaching with
increased temperature, but the Red Sea example, the paleo record, the variety of corals and alga, the other factors with bleaching, lack of a
global coral biomas measurment and many other factors mean we should keep our panties on.
Ultimately, we
show that present
temperature abnormalities are given undue weight and lead to an overestimation of the frequency of similar past events, thereby
increasing belief in and concern for
global warming.
Most of the rural cities in my state
show no warming at all since 1890 - 1895 when the records began but this is but one area and maybe it has some special properties that protect it, or shield it, from this assumed
increase in accumulated
global energy (therefore a raising of
temperature) but in physics I learned that is not possible over a century of time even in a system even as large as the entire Earth.
««Removing the annual emissions traced to 90 major carbon producers from the best estimate full historical forcing case
shows that the combustion of their products from 1880 to 2010 led to a 0.4 (± 0.01) °C
increase in [
global mean standard
temperature]...» This claim is absolutely bogus.
For example produce data which
shows a
global temperature trend
increase during a prolonged solar minimum period.
Thermometer
shows the
global - mean
temperature increase above pre-industrial by 2100, with an uncertainty range originating from carbon - cycle and climate modelling.
The most reliable sets of
global temperature data we have, using satellite microwave sounding units,
show no appreciable
temperature increases during the critical period 1978 - 1997, just when the surface station data
show a pronounced rise.
This observation
shows increased CO2 concentration is accompanied by decrease in
global mean
temperature.
On balance the evidence
shows that solar and oceanic variations are more likely the cause of recent observations of warming in the air than
increasing CO2 in the air but the issue can soon be resolved by observing the
global air
temperature changes that occur during and after the extended cycle 23 and the probable weak cycle 24.