While theoretical and model experiments
show warmer seas drive more intense storms in the future, the total number isn't expected to increase.
Not exact matches
Evidence from the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)
shows that global
sea levels in the last two decades are rising dramatically as surface temperatures
warm oceans and...
But new models
show that at the current rates of greenhouse gas emissions,
warming seas will push these foraging grounds much farther south.
The findings were not a total surprise, with future projections
showing that even with moderate climate
warming, air temperatures over the higher altitudes increase even more than at
sea level, and that, on average, fewer winter storm systems will impact the state.
Changes in three important quantities — global temperature,
sea level and snow cover in the Northern Hemisphere — all
show evidence of
warming, although the details vary.
The finding surprised the University of Arizona - led research team, because the sparse instrumental records for
sea surface temperature for that part of the eastern tropical Pacific Ocean did not
show warming.
Dr Svetlana Jevrejeva from the NOC, who is the lead author on this paper, said «Coastal cities and vulnerable tropical coastal ecosystems will have very little time to adapt to the fast
sea level rise these predictions
show, in scenarios with global
warming above two degree.
«Fossil coral reefs
show sea level rose in bursts during last
warming: Reefs near Texas endured punctuated bursts of
sea - level rise before drowning.»
The first predications of coastal
sea level with
warming of two degrees by 2040
show an average rate of increase three times higher than the 20th century rate of
sea level rise.
Scientific observations
show that in the Arctic,
warming temperatures have led to a 75 % loss in
sea ice volume since the 1980s, and recent reports suggest the Arctic Ocean will be nearly free of summer
sea ice by 2050, said Sullivan.
At the same time, the El Niño event brought
warmer sea - surface temperatures, which have been
shown to correlate with outbreaks of mosquito - transmitted diseases.
The geologic record
shows that the differences in ice cover,
sea level and precipitation as well as in plant and animal populations were quite dramatic between the ice ages and the
warm interglacials.
«But the deeper ocean
shows no slowing in
warming, and
sea levels continue to rise — which we believe is still mostly down to thermal expansion,» says Rintoul.
They
showed that when these cells experience
warmer temperatures and get more nutrients they can double or triple their cell division rates, allowing them to potentially bloom into a large population fairly quickly at
sea.
The visualization
shows how the 1997 event started from colder - than - average
sea surface temperatures — but the 2015 event started with
warmer - than - average temperatures not only in the Pacific but also in in the Atlantic and Indian Oceans.
The study also
showed that 4,000 years later — so, 125,000 years ago —
sea surface temperatures had
warmed up to nearly match today's readings.
A March study
shows that one large swath of the ice sheet sits on beds as deep as 8,000 feet below
sea level and is connected to
warming ocean currents.
Records of
sea surface temperature from oceanic sediment cores, for example,
show that the magnitude of
warming following several previous glaciations are well - correlated (www.ncdc.noaa.gov/paleo/recons.html).
When the AMO is in its positive phase and the
sea surface temperatures are
warmer, the study has
shown that the main effect in winter is to promote the negative phase of the NAO which leads to «blocking» episodes over the North Atlantic sector, allowing cold weather systems to exist over the eastern US and Europe.
Sure enough, the fossil record
shows that
warm - blooded mammals and birds tended to enter the
sea in temperate regions.
It
shows that changes in Earth's climate and
sea level are closely linked, with only small amounts of
warming needed to have a significant effect on seal levels.
The report also
shows that
warmer seas have resulted in a significant loss of ice in the Arctic region.
Complementary analyses of the surface mass balance of Greenland (Tedesco et al, 2011) also
show that 2010 was a record year for melt area extent... Extrapolating these melt rates forward to 2050, «the cumulative loss could raise
sea level by 15 cm by 2050 ″ for a total of 32 cm (adding in 8 cm from glacial ice caps and 9 cm from thermal expansion)- a number very close to the best estimate of Vermeer & Rahmstorf (2009), derived by linking the observed rate of
sea level rise to the observed
warming.
The results, presented here at the AAAS annual meeting on 14 February,
showed that when the
sea surface
warmed off the coast of Peru in 1997 - 98, during El Niño, there was a marked increase in rates of cholera infection in Lima and nearby cities.
A new modeling study to be published in the Journal of Climate
shows that stronger polar winds lead to an increase in Antarctic
sea ice, even in a
warming climate.
Combining the two techniques
showed that deep -
sea creatures dealt with a
warmer climate long before their surface brethren did, they report in the online edition of Science.
The fact that ice sheets will respond to
warming is not in doubt (note the 4 - 6 m
sea level rise during the last interglacial), but the speed at which that might happen is highly uncertain, though the other story this week
shows it is ongoing.
Co-author Dr Ivan Haigh, lecturer in coastal oceanography at the University of Southampton and also based at NOCS, adds: «Historical observations
show a rising
sea level from about 1800 as
sea water
warmed up and melt water from glaciers and ice fields flowed into the oceans.
The CTD sections
show that the deeper layers are also
warmer and slightly saltier and the observed
sea level can be explained by steric expansion over the upper 2000 m. ENSO variability impacts on the northern part of the section, and a simple Sverdrup transport model
shows how large - scale changes in the wind forcing, related to the Southern Annular Mode, may contribute to the deeper
warming to the south.
«What this study
shows is that summer
sea ice in the Antarctic might not be particularly sensitive to a
warming climate compared to the Arctic, however it does leave open the possibility that there has been a decrease in ice extent of at most 14 %.»
Sea surface temperatures above 78 degrees,
shown here in yellow, orange and red, are sufficiently
warm to fuel hurricanes.
Once Balog learned that tree rings,
sea floor sediments, and ice core data were
showing that the climate is
warming on average, he changed his mind.
Figure 3
shows the
sea level not to have been high during the Roman
Warm Period and Medieval
Warm Period.
The whale tale forms the center of the story but, for me, it was the bit players that stole the
show - the rays wallowing in the
warm water under the pier, the sun fish snoozling close to the legs of the oil rig, the green
sea turtles «carrying their homes along with them like aquatic RVs» and the herd of dolphins vying with each other to perform the most dare - devilish tricks (I thought the collective noun for dolphins was pod, but Lynne refers to them as a herd, and I'm not the landlubber to question her!)
While there are those who still don't believe in global
warming, hard scientific data
shows the
seas are rising.
Avista Hideaway's Jacuzzi Suites are set to raise the bar on elevated elegance with a generous 70 sq m of space where guests can spread their wings and stylishly
warm contemporary Thai design to complement the spectacular
sea and skyscapes on
show.
A climate scientist at University of Reading
shows you how bad Arctic
sea ice is melting, so maybe stop listening to those claiming global
warming is fake.
The scenarios
show a
warming of 1.9 — 3.8 K.
Sea ice extent is distinctly reduced in the scenarios.
Thus you should look at the Vermeer & Rahmstorf (2009) study linked above, which correlates the tide gauge record with global mean temperature since 1880 and
shows that the modern acceleration of
sea level rise is closely related to modern global
warming.]
A fresh analysis of thousands of temperature measurements from deep - diving Argo ocean probes
shows (yet again) that Earth is experiencing «unabated planetary
warming» when you factor in the vast amount of greenhouse - trapped heat that ends up in the
sea.
Remember also that the US is only about 2 % of the globe and the global surface record corresponds closely with satellite measurements of the lower troposhere, and also the
sea surface temperatures
show a strikingly similar pattern of
warming.
In the context of
warming and
sea levels, Nye can't resist pulling out a flask to
show how heated water expands.
graphs that «
show» things, I particularly like the supposed correlation between global
warming and piracy on the high
seas:
If you truly believe there is a significant rise in
sea level (and compensation required by «glacial rebound») then certainly these classified datasets should
show the impact of 50 years of
warming.
I also remember Myles in a rather vivid phrase saying that we had to remember that we could still take actions to avert the worst
warming and that we shouldn't assume «that our children will stand by and watch as the
seas boil around them»,
showing that the worst case wasn't necessarily the most likely outcome.
4) The only other major difference in the findings, compared with our paper, is that we
show significant
warming over the eastern Ross
sea region, while O'Donnell et al.
show cooling, particularly in winter.
Irreversible
Warming Will Cause
Sea Levels to Rise for Thousands of Years to Come, New Research
Shows http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2012/10/121001191531.htm (In case you had any doubts.)
The quest for the «single figure» that
shows anthropogeneic
warming ignores the fact that (with the possible major exception of
sea level) the direct impact of climate change will vary between regions and climatic zones.
The drilling
showed a
warming in the Pliocene ca 3 million years ago (see the Thiede and Myhre summary), but good indications of
sea ice both before and since then.
== Post # 65 by Dan: == ==» The
warming trends are
shown by ocean temperatures,
sea - level rise, glacier retreats, satellite measurements, etc..