Thermometers dropped deep in the ocean and in holes bored in permafrost
show warming patterns that do not match up with natural influences like changes in the sun's brightness.
Not exact matches
An analysis of influenza
patterns show that
warmer - than - average winters coincided with more severe outbreaks, bad news for a
warming world
Although scientists hesitate to draw a direct relationship between weather and climate, observation of weather
patterns shows a definite correlation between extreme weather events and a
warming climate.
While the
pattern for Central and Western Europe was one of a consistent increase in flood risk, the study also found that flood risk may actually decrease with
warmer temperatures in some countries in Eastern Europe, but those results also
show a high degree of uncertainty.
The thinness of the fibers and the
pattern of the scales on them
showed they were cashmere, the extraordinarily fine,
warm wool from cashmere goats.
Using climate models to understand the physical processes that were at play during the glacial periods, the team were able to
show that a gradual rise in CO2 strengthened the trade winds across Central America by inducing an El Nino - like
warming pattern with stronger
warming in the East Pacific than the Western Atlantic.
«The
pattern and magnitude of
warming shown in this [Geophysical Research Letters] study is alarming,» said Nick Golledge, a Victoria University of Wellington researcher who led the Nature Communications study.
They
showed that temperatures
warmed in both the North Pacific and Greenland, likely due to changes in ocean circulation
patterns.
The
patterns typically
show lower numbers of wasps after cold, wet springs, and higher numbers after
warm, dry springs,» says lead author Professor Phil Lester from Victoria's School of Biological Sciences.
The north - south gradient of increasing glacier retreat was found to
show a strong
pattern with ocean temperatures, whereby water is cold in the north - west, and becomes progressively
warmer at depths below 100m further south.
the Arctic has
shown a
pattern of strong low - level atmospheric
warming over the Arctic Ocean in autumn because of heat loss from the ocean back to the atmosphere....
The findings, published yesterday in the journal Nature,
show that during the past 11,000 years, wind
patterns have driven relatively
warm waters from the deep ocean onto Antarctica's continental shelf, leading to significant and sustained ice loss.
For the change in annual mean surface air temperature in the various cases, the model experiments
show the familiar
pattern documented in the SAR with a maximum
warming in the high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere and a minimum in the Southern Ocean (due to ocean heat uptake)(2)
In the lower left panel of Figure 1, which
shows temperature trends since 1979, the
pattern in the Pacific Ocean features
warming and cooling regions related to El Niño.
Thompson and Solomon (2002)
showed that the Southern Annular Mode (a
pattern of variability that affects the westerly winds around Antarctica) had been in a more positive phase (stronger winds) in recent years, and that this acts as a barrier, preventing
warmer air from reaching the continent.
First is the ocean
warming pattern in the top 100 metres of ocean
shown in panel 3 (a).
(2) Climate models
show a «cold blob» in the subpolar Atlantic as well as enhanced
warming off the US east coast as a characteristic response
pattern to a slowdown of the AMOC.
This may demonstrate that the impact of
warming on precipitation
patterns was localized, with different regions
showing a range of effects.
While weather
patterns have a big impact on monthly temperatures — as the cooler weather of early August
shows — the overall
warming of the planet is tipping the odds in favor of record heat.
While a strong El Niño and other climate
patterns are playing a role in regional and global temperatures, the vast majority of the excess heat this year comes from manmade global
warming, a Climate Central analysis
showed.
Research from all over the world, in fact,
shows that suicides are actually more prevalent in
warm, summer months — a
pattern that scientists can't quite explain.
«The observed
pattern of
warming, comparing surface and atmospheric temperature trends, doesn't
show the characteristic fingerprint associated with greenhouse
warming,» wrote lead author David Douglas, a climate expert from the University of Rochester, in New York state.
Remember also that the US is only about 2 % of the globe and the global surface record corresponds closely with satellite measurements of the lower troposhere, and also the sea surface temperatures
show a strikingly similar
pattern of
warming.
Dr. Easterling said that the new analysis
shows that the adjustments that are made to account for shifting
patterns of climate - data collection (the same adjustments are among the targets of those challenging global
warming evidence) are robust.
Using (i) a state - of - the - art global climate model and (ii) a low - order energy balance model, we
show that the global climate feedback is fundamentally linked to the geographic
pattern of regional climate feedbacks and the geographic
pattern of surface
warming at any given time.
Therefore, in order to come up with an alternative explanation, one has to simultaneously
show why GHGs are not causing the
warming they would be expected to based on physical principles, and at the same time come up with a natural source of temperature change that can match the magnitude and
patterns of the observed change.
In terms of the gold that a climate science denier might find in the paper, at the very least, they could argue that the fact that the troposphere isn't
warming more quickly than the surface
shows that the climate models are unreliable — even though the models predict just the
pattern of
warming that we see — with the troposphere
warming more quickly than the surface over the ocean but less quickly than the surface over land.
Winter 2009 - 2010
showed a new connectivity between mid-latitude extreme cold and snowy weather events and changes in the wind
patterns of the Arctic; the so - called
Warm Arctic - Cold Continents
pattern.
Even if it could be
shown that climate is more sensitive to solar variability than the strict radiative forcing would suggest (along the lines of Shindell et al) one would still have to contend with the fact that we know the solar variability for the past fifty years quite well, and it does not do the kind of things necessary to give the present
warming pattern.
Your single PDO - related link in # 65 provides a single reference that apparently supports the idea that most CGCMs
show global
warming inducing an anomaly
pattern similar to that of the
warm phase of ENSO.
There was an interesting study in Nature Geoscience last Sunday
showing pretty clearly that the accelerating flow of the Jacobshavn glacier in recent years was most likely driven by an influx of
warm deep seawater, and that shift was likely due to changes in pressure and wind
patterns over the North Atlantic Ocean.
Thus, modeling exercises have for decades now
shown some pretty persistent
patterns of recurrence, such as drying trends under
warming in certain areas (notably the Mediterranean basin, including the Middle East) and the American Southwest —
patterns we see in the real world.
However, to support the assertion that global
warming is responsible for a great deal of damage from such events, it is sufficient to
show that such events have the «signature» of global
warming — for example, that specific global
warming - related factors such as abnormally high sea surface temperatures, elevated water vapor levels, and altered jet stream
patterns contributed to making Hurricane Sandy what it was — even if those factors can not be precisely quantified.
Assuming the spatial
patterns of the
warming shown by the GISS LOTI data are close to being correct, then the differences with the lower troposphere data appear to
show that lower troposphere temperature data would be of questionable value for infilling the HADCRUT4 data.
Typical temperature reconstructions for the late Pliocene however [see one at the top of this story - 3.3 - 3.0 Ma] already
show an Earth in which a
warmer climatic state is indeed [through for instance ice albedo feedbacks] relatively strong around the poles, and (on average) weaker around the equator, exactly the
pattern that is monitored under the current climate
warming.
We are just in the
warming phase of the climate
pattern and this increased the sea level and the CO2 concentration in the atmosphere as
shown:
Interestingly, the paper «Climate Trends and Global food production since 1980» (Lobell, Schlenker, Costa - Roberts, in Sciencexpress, 5 May, Science 1204531) confirms my finding of the absence of climate change in the USA: «A notable exception to the [global]
warming pattern is the United States, which produces c. 40 % of global maize and soybean and experienced a slight cooling over the period... the country with largest overall share of crop production (United States)
showed no [adverse] effect due to the lack of significant climate trends».
The thick line in figure A
shows the underlying trend in global average temperatures obtained using such a «
pattern - recognizing» statistical technique.2 It isn't a straight line, but it clearly indicates a
warming trend.
This single
pattern has a long - term global
warming rate of 0.06 deg C per decade and an oscillation due to ocean cycles (http://bit.ly/nfQr92) of 0.5 deg C every 30 years as
shown in the following two graphs.
«These findings
show that climate change can have dramatic effects on human societies and highlight the necessity to understand the effect of global
warming on rainfall
patterns in China and all over the world,» the authors write.
Nares Strait Recent ice advection
patterns;
warm water advances into the Arctic from the Atlantic; ice distribution
patterns: all of these things
show that conditions continue to be advantageous for export of ice through Fram Strait.
It's hard to find an explanation for the global temperature record in the El Niño / La Niña Southern Oscillation (ENSO), although that climatic oscillation did play a major role in influencing weather
patterns worldwide throughout 2010, as ENSO switched from a
warm El Niño in early 2010 to a powerful La Niña somewhere from July —
showing little interest in the intermediate.
It is not known if the BoM's testing paramaters which establish a 1972 metrication
warming anomaly around.1 C in Australia are applicable to New Zealand's temperature records, which
show similar whole degree rounding
patterns caused by weather station observers not recording fractions in the Fahrenheit era and software communication errors in the Celsius era.
2) Even if the satellite data contradicted the remainder of the data, is it more likely that one data set depending on the calibration of one instrument is correct, or dozens of data sets using dozens of methods all
showing the same
pattern of
warming?
The paleo record
shows the same
pattern of
warming which we are now experiencing has occurred cyclically and correlates with solar cycle changes.
And remember, the satellite data are one small part of a vast amount of data that overwhelmingly
show our planet is
warming up: retreating glaciers, huge amounts of ice melting at both poles, the «death spiral» of arctic ice every year at the summer minimum over time, earlier annual starts of
warm weather and later starts of cold weather,
warming oceans, rising sea levels, ocean acidification, more extreme weather, changing weather
patterns overall, earlier snow melts, and lower snow cover in the spring...
The surrogate record also
shows the historical
pattern is for temperatures to rise first, and CO2 to rise centuries later, reversing the notion that increased CO2 causes increased
warming.
Stations ranked as «poor» in a survey by Anthony Watts and his team of the most important temperature recording stations in the U.S., (known as the USHCN — the US Historical Climatology Network),
showed the same
pattern of global
warming as stations ranked «OK.»
This is based on the high correlation (r = 0.88) of the observed Global Mean Temperature Anomaly (GMTA) to be represented by cyclic global mean temperature
pattern with an overall linear
warming rate of 0.6 deg C per century as
shown below:
Yet, the data for Abilene [Texas]
shows the same
pattern from... above, that is, much colder winter temperatures from 1976 to 1985, but not
warmer summers.