New analyses of balloon - borne and satellite measurements of lower - and mid-tropospheric temperature
show warming rates that are similar to those of the surface temperature record and are consistent within their respective uncertainties, largely reconciling a discrepancy noted in the TAR.
Second, as pointed out above, the problems with the satellite data have been adjusted and now «
show warming rates that are similar to those of the surface temperature record and are consistent within their respective uncertainties»
The latest 25 - year period
shows a warming rate of 0.177 °C per decade versus the a rate of only 0.045 °C per decade over the 150 - year period.
I've simply
shown the warming rate presented by the data and half of that warming rate.
Not exact matches
Moving on to the latest employment report, released Friday, that
showed a slight decrease in the unemployment
rate widely attributed to a drop in the number of individuals looking for work, Gundlach said it was a bleed - off of the temporary increase in employment due to unseasonably
warm weather.
David Rendel, the former Lib Dem MP, received
warm applause when he told delegates he would be in favour of keeping the 50p top
rate of tax even if it were
shown that it raised no revenue for the Treasury.
But new models
show that at the current
rates of greenhouse gas emissions,
warming seas will push these foraging grounds much farther south.
The first predications of coastal sea level with
warming of two degrees by 2040
show an average
rate of increase three times higher than the 20th century
rate of sea level rise.
They
showed that when these cells experience
warmer temperatures and get more nutrients they can double or triple their cell division
rates, allowing them to potentially bloom into a large population fairly quickly at sea.
«
Warming in the Andes is occurring at a
rate nearly twice the global average and it's already impacting water resources as
shown in this research.
Complementary analyses of the surface mass balance of Greenland (Tedesco et al, 2011) also
show that 2010 was a record year for melt area extent... Extrapolating these melt
rates forward to 2050, «the cumulative loss could raise sea level by 15 cm by 2050 ″ for a total of 32 cm (adding in 8 cm from glacial ice caps and 9 cm from thermal expansion)- a number very close to the best estimate of Vermeer & Rahmstorf (2009), derived by linking the observed
rate of sea level rise to the observed
warming.
The results, presented here at the AAAS annual meeting on 14 February,
showed that when the sea surface
warmed off the coast of Peru in 1997 - 98, during El Niño, there was a marked increase in
rates of cholera infection in Lima and nearby cities.
Recent studies have
shown that the Arctic is
warming at around twice the
rate as the rest of the world, with permafrost already starting to thaw across large areas.
For global observations since the late 1950s, the most recent versions of all available data sets
show that the troposphere has
warmed at a slightly greater
rate than the surface, while the stratosphere has cooled markedly since 1979.
Above the surface, global observations since the late 1950s
show that the troposphere (up to about 10 km) has
warmed at a slightly greater
rate than the surface, while the stratosphere (about 10 — 30 km) has cooled markedly since 1979.
Fu himself adjusted his methodology in response /» rebuttal» and
showed results much closer to those of Christy and Spencer in a subsequent publication (although Christy and Spencer still think there are errors in the methodology) and still lower than surface
warming rates.
I'd say a
warming trend
showing - up in one set of data no later than 1850 (significant enough to cause measurably increase
rates of glacier melt) vs a
warming trend not
showing - up in another set of data until later than 1900 is a conflict that is well beyond a «bit silly.»
Climate models
show that the
rate of
warming is consistent with expectations (5).
This approach allowed them to compare the
rate and distribution of
warming predicted by models with those
shown in observations.
The blue area
shows the
rate of ocean
warming.
The 11 - year (132 - month) running mean temperature (Fig. 3b)
shows only a moderate decline of the
warming rate.
The scientists concluded in the paper that their findings, combined with projected ongoing
warming,
show that even if
rates of climate pollution are reigned in, that «may not be sufficient to avoid significant impacts» of acidification on coral reef regeneration.
Research has
shown that what you need pre-exercise is a
warm - up that gets your heart
rate up, sending blood to the muscles you will use in your workout.
Dr. Amy Muise *, a social psychologist, revealed a study that
showed offering a hot cup of coffee as opposed to an iced - coffee to someone, positively influenced the opinion of the receiver of the beverage... the person who was offered something
warm (soup, a beverage, whatever)
rated the person who offered the warmth as more «friendly» and «trustworthy» as opposed to the participants who were offered something cold.
In contrast, mid latitude glaciers, such as the South Cascade Glacier
shown in the photos is very
warm (ice temperature is about zero celcius all year round), and snowfall
rates are also high.
I'd say a
warming trend
showing - up in one set of data no later than 1850 (significant enough to cause measurably increase
rates of glacier melt) vs a
warming trend not
showing - up in another set of data until later than 1900 is a conflict that is well beyond a «bit silly.»
# 46 ZH I am merely pointing out that your commentary on the temperature record points out that 2010 is not significantly
warmer and is not an unamgiguous new record in the last decade, whereas the Foster and Rahmstorf while admitting their analysis
shows «no sign of a change in the
warming rate during the period of common coverage»
Some models actually
show a slight cooling of the southern oceans for a while, and all
show it not keeping up with the
rate at which the waters to the north
warm — for a somewhat longer period of time.
An analysis of GISS global tempertures
shows an increase of the linear
rate of
warming since 1980 up to 2007 (see red trace on graphic here — usually 2 clicks to download your attachment) which strongly suggests a global slowdown can not have begin before that time.
But the sheer
rate of increase over just the past 55 years
shows how fast global
warming could hit us in the future — and the present — and underscores how much we've failed as a planet to slow down carbon emissions.
While RealClimate has called into question the soundness of the paper's quite narrow conclusions of discrepancy between model predictions and measurements of the relative
rate of
warming of different levels of the atmosphere over the tropics, this paper is being touted by the deniers as
showing that the models are wrong to predict any
warming at all, and that predictions of future
warming and climate change can be entirely discounted.
Connolley and Bracegirdle (2007)
show that expected trends in a much larger sample of models are very varied (though the ensemble mean
warms at about the
rate seen in the Steig et al paper).
Since the satellites now clearly
show that the atmosphere is
warming at around the
rate predicted by the models, we will report on his no - doubt imminent proclamation of a new found faith in models as soon as we hear of it...
I agree that our paper did give the impression of weaker
warming on the Peninsula, and I agree that the
rate of
warming there
shown by O'Donnell — one of the fastest
rates of
warming anywhere on the planet — is almost certainly more accurate.
Yet O'Donnell et al.'s results — if correct — suggest that is is
warming quite fast at the surface there; at the
rate they
show, we could be seeing significant summer melting in that region within a few decades.
Climate models
show that the
rate of
warming is consistent with expectations (5).
Our own (as yet unpublished — so you don't need to believe me) simulations also
show NH oceans
warming at a slightly faster
rate than the SH including all of the forcings we have discussed.
In 1990 this key cause of global
warming was rising at a
rate of 1 ppm; by 1998 it was increasing by 2ppm; and by 2003 instruments at Mount Zeppelin
showed it was growing by 3ppm.
At any
rate, the GISS dataset *
shows 2007 was second -
warmest on record.
3) the Antarctic (with the notable exception of the West Antarctic peninsula)
shows low
rates of
warming, whereas the high Arctic is the most rapidly
warming part of the planet --
However, while most «skeptics» agree we are in a
warming trend, for most, the main challenges are (i) that it is not
shown to be at unprecedented levels or
rates (for the last millenium or so) and (ii) that it is not
shown to be principally manmade.
That said, the independent ocean and land data
show roughly consistent
warming rates.
Not really, the paleo has never
shown warming at the
rate we are currently experiencing.
(Tamino, 2009) clearly
shows that surface temperatures north of latitude 60o are
warming at an accelerated
rate in the past few decades.
Computer model simulations tend to capture the slow
rate of
warming in the western Pacific over the last few decades, but they
show the
warm pool heating rapidly in the future.
But the current paper
shows that the differences in midcentury
warming rates occurred much more rapidly than previously thought (over a few years, not a few decades).
Computer simulations of the atmosphere and ocean, when run with rising greenhouse gases,
show the
warm pool heating at the same
rate as other ocean regions, in contrast to what has been observed there so far, the researchers said.
Yet that dataset, which, like all the surface datasets, was recently adjusted to deliver the global
warming that measurements did not
show, now indicates a
warming trend over those same eight years at a
rate equivalent to more than 1.5 degrees / century.
But that's unphysical: basic physics
show that the anthropogenic
warming rate should be higher after 1950.
University of Alabama - Huntsville climate scientists John Christy and Richard McNider found that by removing the climate effects of volcanic eruptions early on in the satellite temperature record
showed virtually no change in the
rate of
warming since the early 1990s.