Sentences with phrase «showing hurricane forecasts»

«There are pros and cons for each method of showing hurricane forecasts.

Not exact matches

On the bright side, forecasts show that Hurricane Maria is weakening, with sustained wind speeds of 80 miles per hour, and is expected to be downgraded to a tropical storm by Tuesday.

The so - called «Spaghetti model» from the European Centre for Medium - Range Weather Forecasts shows a northerly path moving up East Coast for Hurricane Irma.

The 2017 hurricane season has highlighted the critical need to communicate a storm's impact path and intensity accurately, but new research from the University of Utah shows significant misunderstandings of the two most commonly used storm forecast visualization methods.

This type of risk assessment is inaccurate because forecast scientists choose how many lines they want to show — meaning that ensemble forecasts rarely show all the possible paths the hurricane could take.

Gabriel Vecchi, head of the climate variations and predictability group at NOAA's Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Lab and another author on the paper, says decades of weather prediction data show that forecasts have improved — and will improve — as scientists learn more about hurricanes.

So far, these early results showed that physical conditions where the air and the ocean interact must be a vital part of any successful hurricane forecasting model and would help explain, and predict, how a storm might intensify as it moves through across the water based on the physical stress at the ocean's surface.

NOAA also forecasts a high hurricane activity for the remainder of the season, and time will show if this season will match the 2004 in terms of number of tropical cyclones.

A fresh round of government and private hurricane forecasts show Tropical Storm Gustav, which is now heading west between Jamaica and Cuba, growing into a dangerous hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico over the weekend and hitting the Gulf Coast around Labor Day.

With hurricane Arthur headlining the news as throwing a possible wet blanket on 4th of July fireworks shows along the Northeast coast and with a new record being set each passing day for the longest period between major (Category 3 or greater) hurricane landfalls anywhere in the U.S. (3,173 days and counting), we thought that now would be a good time to discuss a new paper which makes a tentative forecast as to what we can expect in terms of the number of Atlantic hurricanes in the near future (next 3 - 5 years).

As to the projected decline in hurricane damage as a fraction of GDP, an even casual reading of the relevant paper shows that while actual damage is predicted to increase in most places, GDP is forecast to go up even faster, so that the ratio declines.

More Details about this video animation The video animation shows the near surface (10m) winds and rainfall intensity over the Gulf of Mexico and the surrounding land areas during the main development phase of Hurricane Katrina, August 24 - 30, 2005, based on NCEP - GFS forecast model analyses.

Chan and Au - Yeung say that their research shows the importance of including land - surface variation in hurricane forecasting in the future.

Forecasting Katrina: The above plot shows a snapshot from a GFDL forecast of Hurricane Katrina.

Retrospective decadal predictions with DePreSys show improvements over uninitialised forecasts, including global average temperature and Atlantic hurricane frequency.