But with the Argos array
showing oceans cooling (see Josh Willis), his argument is being destroyed.
That probably stemmed from the fact that only the upper 700 metre layer data was available, and that seemed to
show ocean cooling - in contradiction to our understanding of Earth's energy imbalance.
Note that the only complaint about it (from the AGW crew) is that
it shows ocean cooling, not warming like their models insist.
In my forthcoming paper in E&E (yes, that journal again), the January 2009 issue,
I show ocean cooling over the past 4.5 years.
ARGO
showed ocean cooling but when that didn't jibe with OHC datasets constructed without ARGO then the ARGO data was pencil whipped into agreement.
Not exact matches
The data
showed that, in comparison to today, the Atlantic
Ocean surface circulation was much weaker during the Little Ice Age, a
cool period thought to be triggered by volcanic activity that lasted from 1450 - 1850.
Observations of upper
ocean heat
show some short term
cooling but measurements to greater depths (down to 2000 metres)
show a steady warming trend: However, the
ocean cooling myth does seem to be widespread so I'll shortly update this page to clarify the issue.
It is also not influencing increased
ocean heat content, melting ice caps and glaciers, satellites
showing tropospheric warming or strato
cooling, etc
In the lower left panel of Figure 1, which
shows temperature trends since 1979, the pattern in the Pacific
Ocean features warming and
cooling regions related to El Niño.
Early estimates of
ocean heat from the Argo
showed a
cooling bias due to pressure sensor issues.
However, Mercator
Ocean shows that the intermediate waters have
cooled under the
cool spot.
Rather, their analysis
shows that if you compare the LGM land
cooling with the model land
cooling, then the model that fits the land best has much higher GLOBAL climate sensitivity than you get for best fit if you use
ocean data.
One reconstruction of
ocean heat
show cooling since 2003 (Willis 2008).
The main point is that just as surface temperatures has experienced periods of short term
cooling during long term global warming, similarly the
ocean shows short term variability during a long term warming trend.
I have no
ocean beach to watch in my backyard (just the bike trail), no horses to ride in my front yard and no Harley to
show off in the garage (I do have some pretty
cool tools th...
After
showing us around the kitchen, we learn about some of the other
cool kit equipped on our California
Ocean campers.
[15] Through study of Pacific
Ocean sediments, other researchers have shown that the transition from warm Eocene ocean temperatures to cool Oligocene ocean temperatures took only 300,000 years, [11] which strongly implies that feedbacks and factors other than the ACC were integral to the rapid coo
Ocean sediments, other researchers have
shown that the transition from warm Eocene
ocean temperatures to cool Oligocene ocean temperatures took only 300,000 years, [11] which strongly implies that feedbacks and factors other than the ACC were integral to the rapid coo
ocean temperatures to
cool Oligocene
ocean temperatures took only 300,000 years, [11] which strongly implies that feedbacks and factors other than the ACC were integral to the rapid coo
ocean temperatures took only 300,000 years, [11] which strongly implies that feedbacks and factors other than the ACC were integral to the rapid
cooling.
You can park your lounge chair, let your feet get
cooled by the water, and watch the never ending
show of
ocean waves crashing in.
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2015 Current Location, Waiting Room, Minneapolis 10th Baltic Biennial of Contemporary Art, Szczecin Aquí hay dragones (Here be Dragons), La Casa Encendida, Madrid Regular Expressions, 221A, Vancouver
Ocean of Images: New Photography 2015, at MoMA, New York Bunting, Chemould Prescott Road, Mumbay Transparencies, Bielefelder Kunstverein and Kunstverein Nürnberg Triple Canopy presents Pattern Masters, Performance at Whitney Museum of American Art, New York HPSCHD 1969 > 2015 / Live Arts Week IV, Mambo, Bologna, Italy The Secret Life, Murray Guy, New York Night Begins the Day: Rethinking Space, Time, and Beauty, Contemporary Jewish Museum, San Francisco Im Inneren der Stadt, Künstlerhaus Bremen When we share more than ever, MKG Museum, Hamburg
Cool / As a state of mind, MAMO, Marseille Group presentation at Art Cologne, with Chert, Berlin Good luck with your natural, combined, attractive and truthful attempts in two exhibitions, Crac Alsace, Altkirsch Mijn Vlakke Land, FoMu, Antwerp more Konzeption, Conception now, Museum Morsbroich, Leverkusen Tongue Stones, Pioneer Works, Brooklyn, New York 2014 Requiem for the Bibliophile, Museum of Contemporary Art Santa Barbara, CA Scars of Our Revolution, Yvon Lambert, Paris Kochi - Muziris Biennal, Fort Kochi, India Crossing Brooklyn, Brooklyn Museum, Brooklyn, New York Ways of Working, According to an Office Desk, Upominki, Rotterdam AGITATIONISM, EVA International 2014, curated by Bassam El Baroni, Ireland's Biennial, Limerick City Unseen Presence, IMMA, Dublin #nostalgia, Glasgow International 2014, CCA, Glasgow To Meggy Weiss Lo Surdo, Happy Hours, CO2 gallery, Turin Canceled: Alternative Manifestations & Productive Failures, The Orseman Gallery, Smith College, Northampton, Massachusetts Simultáneo, La Tallera, Cuernavaca, México And I laid Traps for the Troubadours who get killed before they reached Bombay, Clark House Initiative, Bombay Flag Stavanger, curated by Randi Grov Berger and co-presented by Entrée, Kunsthall Stavanger, Norway video screening 25, ZERO, Milan 2013 Only to Melt, Trustingly, Without Reproach, curated by Tevz Logar, Skuc Gallery, Ljubljana Editionshow, Chert, Berlin I've Lost My Marbles, Totàl, Athens And So On And So Forth, curated by Margit Sade Lehni, Centre for Contemporary Art Riga, Latvia The Space Between Us, Courtesy, St - Ouen Please Come to the
Show: Part II (1980 — Now), organised by David Senior, MoMA Library, New York Canceled: Alternative Manifestations & Productive Failures, Freedman Gallery, Albright College, Reading, PA Stranded Travelers, Atelier 35, Bucharest Just what is it that makes today so familiar, so uneasy?
I particularly enjoyed the slides that, when combined (1) provided an overview of hotter and
cooler CO2 molecules as it relates to how they are seen from outer space and from profile — because this will make it easier for me to explain this process to others; (2) walked through the volcanic and solar activity vs assigning importance to CO2 changes — because this another way to help make it clearer, too, but in another way; (3) discussed CO2 induced warming and
ocean rise vs different choices we might make — because this helps point out why every day's delay matters; and (4)
showed Figure 1 from William Nordhaus» «Strategies for Control of Carbon Dioxide» and then super-imposed upon that the global mean temperature in colors
showing pre-paper and post-paper periods — because this helps to
show just how far back it was possible to make reasoned projections without the aid of a more nuanced and modern understanding.
Some models actually
show a slight
cooling of the southern
oceans for a while, and all
show it not keeping up with the rate at which the waters to the north warm — for a somewhat longer period of time.
My research
shows that heat comes first, like heating the
ocean, then the CO2 emitted from the
ocean cools the earth back down.
«Borehole temperatures in the ice sheets spanning the last 6000 years
show Antarctica repeatedly warming when Greenland
cooled, and vice versa... The phenomena has been called the polar see - saw... Attempts to account for it have included the hypothesis of a south - flowing warm
ocean current with a built in time lag... There is (however) no significant delay in the Anarctica climate anomaly...
What the independent — ERBS and ISCCP - FD — data
shows is strong
cooling in IR and strong warming in SW — associated with
ocean states and cloud cover — in the 80's and 90's.
Abstract:... Here we
show that a pronounced strengthening in Pacific trade winds over the past two decades — unprecedented in observations / reanalysis data and not captured by climate models — is sufficient to account for the
cooling of the tropical Pacific and a substantial slowdown in surface warming through increased subsurface
ocean heat uptake.
As for the deniers who tried to jump on purported
ocean cooling, I suggest you call in to the Rush Limbaugh
show, or blog on far right sites.
Here we
show the existence of a distinctive seasonal cycle of subsurface
cooling via mixing in the equatorial Pacific cold tongue, using multi-year measurements of turbulence in the
ocean.
After JANUARY 2005, they all
show a
cooling LINEAR trend for the land +
ocean anomaly.
As I said before with exception of GISS, the other four organizations who measure global temperatures [land +
ocean]
show the same
cooling trend from 2002.
Data from 3,000 scientific robots in the world's
oceans show there has been slight
cooling in the past five years, never mind that «80 % to 90 % of global warming involves heating up
ocean waters,» according to a report by NPR's Richard Harris.
One of the reasons they need this new idea that global warming takes a break for a decade or two is because the
oceans are
showing every sign of
cooling.
Study of Greenland ice provides a 2500 year perspective indicating we headed into a mini-ice-age as happened from the mid 1300's to the mid 1800's; and the data from the 1200 or so floating buoys around the world's
oceans are likewise
showing a
cooling trend, and have been for some time.
The post (maybe part of the press release) states: «The simulations
showed that diminishing Arctic sea ice induced a significant surface warming in the Arctic
Ocean /... and
cooling over northern North America.
And the lower troposphere temperatures also
show warming in the Southern
Ocean (latitudes 65S - 55S) while the surface temperature - based datasets both
show cooling.
By contrast, there is quite a lot of data now telling us that CO2 is not a climate driver: We did the experiment of adding a large slug of CO2 to the air and the temperature stopped rising in 1997, the stratosphere stopped
cooling in 1995 and the
oceans showed no warming down to 700m when we replaced guesswork with accurate measurement in 2003.
The
cooling from 1950 to 1970 is due to the
cooling phase of the
ocean cycle as
shown in the following paper (Figure 4): http://bit.ly/nfQr92
I also suspect that a good portion of the additional warming
shown in the hybrid version of the Cowtan and Way (2013) data (versus their Krig data) comes from the Southern
Ocean surrounding Antarctica, where sea surface temperatures are
cooling and lower troposphere temperatures are warming.
Ocean surface heat and anomalous warmth at the poles were deciding factors for the new September record with very few regions of the global ocean surface showing cooler than average temps and with extraordinary heat at the poles, especially in Antarc
Ocean surface heat and anomalous warmth at the poles were deciding factors for the new September record with very few regions of the global
ocean surface showing cooler than average temps and with extraordinary heat at the poles, especially in Antarc
ocean surface
showing cooler than average temps and with extraordinary heat at the poles, especially in Antarctica.
Such a massive increase seems incredibly unlikely because the ARGO buoy system
shows the
oceans getting
cooler.
Seafloor sediments
show that during past ice ages, more iron - rich dust blew from chilly, barren landmasses into the
oceans, apparently producing more algae in these areas and, presumably, a natural
cooling effect.
Also, wouldn't there need to be data
showing much more
ocean cooling if the AMO PDO were a significant factor in recent warming?
NASA thought this to be erroneous, so they simply removed from the data set those buoys that were
showing the greatest amount of
cooling, and hey presto ARGO suggested
ocean warming.
Empirical experiment consistently
shows that incident LWIR emitted from the atmosphere has no effect on the
cooling rate of the
oceans.
Since ARGO measurements started in 2003 the first estimate in 2008
showed slight upper
ocean cooling; the corrected and extended estimate
shows around 2 x10 ^ 22 Joules warming = around 0.02 C (0 - 700m)
Map of air temperature anomalies for December 2009, at the 925 millibar level (roughly 1,000 meters [3,000 feet] above the surface) for the region north of 30 degrees N,
shows warmer than usual temperatures over the Arctic
Ocean and
cooler than normal temperatures over central Eurasia, the United States and southwestern Canada.
The upper figure
shows changes in
ocean heat content since 1958, while the lower map
shows ocean heat content in 2017 relative to the average
ocean heat content between 1981 and 2010, with red areas
showing warmer
ocean heat content than over the past few decades and blue areas
showing cooler.
My suspicion is that there is a bias in interpretation of XBT data to maintain the idea that the warming of the upper
ocean since 1976 is due to increased co2, and the rescaling of XBT data works to reduce the impact of the ARGO data, which
shows a «slight
cooling» according to Craig Loehle and Josh WIllis (before his arm was twisted), and only a very slight increase according to Levitus 2010.
Map of sea level pressures (SLP) for July 1 - 19
showing low SLP over the central Arctic
Ocean, a pattern that brought
cooler and cloudier conditions.
To point out just a couple of things: —
oceans warming slower (or
cooling slower) than lands on long - time trends is absolutely normal, because water is more difficult both to warm or to
cool (I mean, we require both a bigger heat flow and more time); at the contrary, I see as a non-sense theory (made by some serrist, but don't know who) that
oceans are storing up heat, and that suddenly they will release such heat as a positive feedback: or the water warms than no heat can be considered ad «stored» (we have no phase change inside
oceans, so no latent heat) or
oceans begin to release heat but in the same time they have to
cool (because they are losing heat); so, I don't feel strange that in last years land temperatures for some series (NCDC and GISS) can be heating up while
oceans are slightly
cooling, but I feel strange that they are heating up so much to reverse global trend from slightly negative / stable to slightly positive; but, in the end, all this is not an evidence that lands» warming is led by UHI (but, this effect, I would not exclude it from having a small part in temperature trends for some regional area, but just small); both because, as writtend, it is normal to have waters warming slower than lands, and because lands» temperatures are often measured in a not so precise way (despite they continue to give us a global uncertainity in TT values which is barely the instrumental's one)-- but, to point out, HadCRU and MSU of last years (I mean always 2002 - 2006) follow much better waters» temperatures trend; — metropolis and larger cities temperature trends actually
show an increase in UHI effect, but I think the sites are few, and the covered area is very small worldwide, so the global effect is very poor (but it still can be sensible for regional effects); but I would not run out a small warming trend for airport measurements due mainly to three things: increasing jet planes traffic, enlarging airports (then more buildings and more asphalt — if you follow motor sports, or simply live in a town / city, you will know how easy they get very warmer than air during day, and how much it can slow night - time
cooling) and overall having airports nearer to cities (if not becoming an area inside the city after some decade of hurban growth, e.g. Milan - Linate); — I found no point about UHI in towns and villages; you will tell me they are not large cities; but, in comparison with 20-40-60 years ago when they were «countryside», many small towns and villages have become part of larger hurban areas (at least in Europe and Asia) so examining just larger cities would not be enough in my opinion to get a full view of UHI effect (still remembering that it has a small global effect: we can say many matters are due to UHI instead of GW, maybe even that a small part of measured GW is due to UHI, and that GW measurements are not so precise to make us able to make good analisyses and predictions, but not that GW is due to UHI).