While Mora's models, based on yearly average temperatures, don't forecast monthly highs, lows or precipitation changes, they do
show warming trends.
Peter Stott, the head of climate monitoring at the U.K. Met Office, agreed, noting in an email that, «The slowdown hasn't gone away, however, the results of this study still
show the warming trend over the past 15 years has been slower than previous 15 year periods.
If Manny is consistent with his methodolgy, at the end of this year he should drop 1998 (which will then be the eighth year) from his 7 - year plot and
show a warming trend from 1999 to 2005.
which
shows warming trends resulting from the cooling of early 20th century volcanism is still ongoing to a significant but diminishing extent into the 1950s.
The Idsos would ignore both old and recent data, corrections, and the overwhelming majority of USHCN stations which
showed warming trends.
The ad was illustrated with a doctored version of Lloyd's graph (the inconvenient modern temperature data
showing a warming trend had been removed).
Some measurement sites
show warming trends and others cooling trends and, therefore, the non-uniform distribution of measurement sites may provide a preponderance of measurement sites in warming (or cooling) regions.
Has been adjusted upwards substantially to
show a warming trend that is not in the raw data.
The IPCC actually cites measurements of stratospheric cooling as evidence against the hypothesis that global warming would be caused by increased solar activity, as in such case the entire atmosphere would have to
show a warming trend, including the stratosphere.
Figure A below, which graphs the global annual average temperature from 1861 to the present, does indeed seem to
show a warming trend.1 But such data must be interpreted carefully.
Independent non-thermometer data (so - called proxies, like tree rings, ice cores, ocean sediments, stalagmites, etc.) also
show no warming trend between 1978 and 2000.
The surface temperature data, though, has been widely criticized as unreliable — and deliberately manipulated to
show a warming trend.
As for a secular warming trend, the Berkeley Earth analysis
shows a warming trend back to 1800, with considerable variability in the late 18th century.
The blue dashed line
shows the warming trend when the method is used correctly.
They are under the influence of James Hansen, who has a strong personal interest in
showing a warming trend.
Even this cherry - picked duration
showed a warming trend.
Like the late John Daly noted, rural reporting stations
show no warming trend going back 100 years.
The temperature trend calculator
shows a warming trend in all data sets in 19 years.
How much cooling would you estimate occurred in the sites that exhibited a cooling trend, if the average of all sites is +.65 C and the 2/3 of sites that
showed a warming trend were on average between +1 - 2C?
Homewood found that all three operational rural thermometers in Paraguay had been adjusted by NASA to
show a warming trend where one did not exist before.
But unlike the land surface, the atmosphere has
shown no warming trend, either over land or over ocean — according to satellites and independent data from weather balloons.
An analysis of the figures will show why — NASA GISSTEMP
shows a warming trend since 2000, whereas HADCRUT3 does not.
Mosh, «anomalous» only in the context of the twice as many stations
showing a warming trend.
Getting back to your bet in 2008, GISS data had
showed a warming trend of 0.0182 C / yr from 1975 through 2007.
Here's the abstract: Analyses of maximum temperature data from 49 stations in Nepal for the period 1971 — 94 reveal warming trends after 1977 ranging from 0.068 to 0.128 C yr21 in most of the Middle Mountain and Himalayan regions, while the Siwalik and Terai (southern plains) regions
show warming trends less than 0.038 C yr21.
Dr. Judith Curry recently compared five data sets of global temperatures and found that all but one
show the warming trend has been essentially flat for various periods exceeding 10 years in length during the past 18 years.
I have often browsed the GISS ST datasets and it's actually pretty hard to find any stations of decent length that do
show a warming trend during the 20th century.
Nevertheless, almost all model ensemble members
show a warming trend in both LT and MT larger than observational estimates (McKitrick et al., 2010; Po - Chedley and Fu, 2012; Santer et al., 2012).
Tellingly, Jones also noted (but was not quoted by the denial movement) that the probability of the 15 - year period
showing a warming trend that refuted a null hypothesis was 0.94, and further that another year would likely increase to significance the power to discern signal from noise.
Radiosonde - based observations (with near global coverage since 1958) and satellite - based temperature measurements (beginning in late 1978)
show warming trends in the troposphere and cooling trends in the stratosphere.
Yah, it cools a bit, then it warms a bit, then it cools... as Dr Courtney reminds us, the classic averaging period to discern the long term climate signal is thirty years and over this period all the global temperature series
show a warming trend in line with that predicted by AGW.
However, from 1949 to 2009 many of these locations
show a warming trend.
All three groups measuring temperatures of the troposphere
show a warming trend.
Helmholtz Center in Germany: Antarctic temperatures
show no warming trend in 20th century.
Red dots
show a warming trend and blue dots cooling.
In the last 48 hours, Steve Macintyre has discovered: 1) That the Steig study is based on data from just six ground stations, only one of which
shows a warming trend.
The very high significance levels of model — observation discrepancies in LT and MT trends that were obtained in some studies (e.g., Douglass et al., 2008; McKitrick et al., 2010) thus arose to a substantial degree from using the standard error of the model ensemble mean as a measure of uncertainty, instead of the ensemble standard deviation or some other appropriate measure for uncertainty arising from internal climate variability... Nevertheless, almost all model ensemble members
show a warming trend in both LT and MT larger than observational estimates (McKitrick et al., 2010; Po - Chedley and Fu, 2012; Santer et al., 2013).
So for example if a station
shows a warming trend of 7 degC / century then it will be shown as a «dark red» dot.
Implication: As SST - SH has been showing a cooling trend for 17 years, whereas SST - NH
shows a warming trend, the global SST trend should be a (slight) cooling but not a flat / slightly warming one.
RSS
shows a warming trend of 0.18 per decade over the same period, while UAH
shows a warming trend of 0.14.
But this is blatantly false: every major temperature record
shows a warming trend since 1997.
Brandon, if you can show that BEST
shows a warming trend for Georgia, where my map shows that GISS clearly doesn't, go ahead.
With how many people have complained about the effects of UHI, why would anyone think it means anything that a single, urban station
shows a warming trend not present in the trend of its area?
At the beginning of the discussion, Rapley agrees with Lawson that the 21st century
shows no warming trend.
«[U] nlike the land surface, the atmosphere has
shown no warming trend, either over land or over ocean — according to satellites and independent data from weather balloons.»
«BEST's preliminary results
show a warming trend of 0.7 degrees Celsius since 1957.
Pick a cool base year like 2001, and you can
show a warming trend.
LOS ANGELES — The climate on Mars is
showing a warming trend and recent images have shown the first evidence of seismic activity on Earth's neighbor planet, scientists said today.
Some place may
show warming trends, the Antarctic peninsula.
They show a warming trend that, if continued for several centuries at least, may lead to a big chunk melting.