This one -
sided betting moved the line off the key number of 14 down to 12.5.
Not exact matches
Next, we will look at the other
side of the popular market analysis techniques commonly employed by spread
betting traders when they are looking to forecast future price
moves and place trades that are based on those forecasts.
This one -
sided public
betting has caused Philadelphia to
move from -2.5 to -3.
This one -
sided public
betting caused the spread to
move from Cavs -8.5 to -10 before there was finally buyback on the Celtics.
If the general public (based on
Betting Percentage) is on one
side of the game, but the point spread
moves in the opposite direction, it is often an indicator that «big money» (and most likely «smart money») is taking a position in the direction of the line movement (and opposite to the Public).
This one -
sided public
betting caused the line to
move from Houston -7 to -7.5 at Pinnacle.
For the record, it is still early and very few
bets have come down on this game, however, two Steam
Moves (BetUS and CRIS) have already been triggered, indicating sharp money already likes one
side of this matchup.
Despite this one -
sided betting percentage, the line has barely
moved and currently sits at -156.
Despite this lop -
sided betting percentage, the line at Cris has
moved to -2.5.
Sports Insights MLB
Betting Systems have yet to trigger a
move on either
side of this game, indicating the line - movement is likely attributed to the influx of public money on St. Louis.
This one -
sided public
betting has caused Alabama to
move from -9.5 to -11.
Indeed Bale himself may well hold off on any potential exit from the North London
side IF Champions League football is secured, if it is not then it would take a brave man to
bet against a potential
move to join the Spanish
side.
For those who are unfamiliar, reverse line movement occurs when the line
moves against the public
betting percentages and it is typically an indicator that big money has come down on one
side.
Using
Bet Labs, we examined how NFL lines
move throughout the week to show how one -
sided public
betting affects line movement.
Despite this one -
sided betting, UCLA had
moved to a pick»em at Pinnacle at the time of publication.
During the regular season, sportsbooks almost always adjust their lines based on the action of their sharpest bettors, and they won't
move the number based on public money unless there's a marquee matchup with one -
sided public
betting and limited sharp action on the other
side.
Those strong winds along with the one -
sided public
betting have caused this 3 - point line
move.
This one -
sided public
betting has
moved the line from PSU -13.5 to -15 at Pinnacle.
This influx of
bets and public money on one
side ends up creating value on the other
side; the line may
move and sharps will come in to grab it, or the line won't
move and sportsbooks will end up with more liability on the public
side.
Sports Insights»
Betting Systems have triggered one positive Steam
Move and one positive Smart Money Play on this game, so make sure to login to your account and check the day's plays before taking a
side in this game.
This one -
sided public
betting caused the line to
move from Michigan -26 to -27.5.
However, a positive Steam
Move or Smart Money play could trigger at any time so make sure to log in to your Sports Insights account, check the
Betting System Plays and shop for the best line before taking a
side.
Despite this one -
sided public
betting, Auburn has
moved from -7.5 to -10 at Pinnacle.
With this degree of one -
sided betting, one would imagine that the line would be
moving towards UCLA.
Despite this one -
sided betting, the Lightning have
moved to -127.
This lop -
sided betting has
moved the line a full - point to -5.
That means in addition to targeting heavily
bet games with one -
sided public
betting, contrarian bettors need to make sure there have been no sharp money indicators (like steam
moves and / or reverse line movement) on their opponent.
I
bet that was from the coaches, as Gibson, as I watched him further, clearly has problems
moving from
side to
side right now.
For example if 90 % of the public is
betting on Miami -3 to win, but the line
moves to Miami -2, you'll know Sharp Money came in on the other
side.
In order for
betting against the public to be an effective strategy, oddsmakers need to take enough action on one
side to warrant a line
move.
When there hasn't been a Pinnacle steam
move triggered on the public
side, teams receiving less than 30 % of moneyline tickets have produced a -0.2 % ROI in smaller games and a 1.5 % ROI in heavily
bet games.
Florida Gulf Coast
moved from +11.5 to +12 within 90 minutes of opening on Sunday evening, and the line has remained unchanged all week despite this one -
sided public
betting.
This one -
sided public
betting has caused New York to
move from -3.5 to -4.5.
This ridiculously one -
sided betting has
moved New England from -7 to -10, meaning the line is now 11 - points off from preseason expectations.
This one -
sided public
betting has already
moved Mayweather's price 95 - cents from -330 to -235.
Despite this one -
sided action, Golden State has actually
moved to -6 across the sports
betting marketplace.
Despite this one -
sided public
betting, the line hasn't
moved since opening.
Betting market: Not only are the ticket percentages in this game relatively even (see chart below), but sharp money come down on both
sides earlier in the week, with Steam
Moves triggered at Alabama -3 and Clemson +3.
Instead of trying to decipher which
side is stronger, sometimes laying off and not placing a
bet is the real sharp
move.
This one -
sided public
betting has caused the Raptors to
move from -6.5 to -7.5 at Pinnacle.
Heavy one -
sided public
betting has caused this game to
move from a pick»em to -3.
This one -
sided public
betting has caused Golden State to
move from -6 to -8.
«Public still
siding with Golden State sans Durant, and we've even taken a few smart
bets on the Warriors thus far, which has
moved the number to -8.»
This one -
sided public
betting has
moved the line from Kansas City -3 to -3.5.
Once this occurred, they'd then
bet $ 150K on the
side they wanted, usually getting a 1.5 - point to 2 - point
move in their favor.
At the time of publication, zero positive
Betting System Plays have been triggered, so be sure to login to your Sports Insights account Sunday afternoon, check the plays and shop for the best line (some books have already
moved the line to -4) before taking a
side in this game.
There haven't been any profitable
bet signals triggered on San Antonio, which indicates that one -
sided public money is largely responsible for this one - point line
move.
There are rare occasions in which sharps and squares are on the same
side, but typically these instances can be tracked by monitoring steam
moves — i.e. sudden drastic and uniform line movement across the entire sports
betting marketplace.
For the Cin / Ind game, the Bengals +3 (receiving 16 % of spread
bets) have value due to our 80/20
betting system, but it looks like oddsmakers must be receiving a fairly even distribution of money since that line hasn't
moved despite this one -
sided betting.
There are times due to the nature of line movement when Sports Insights»
Betting Systems will trigger
moves on opposite
sides of the same game.