Download PDF Examining
Sideways Market Conditions and Investment Strategies Haven't we seen this before?
It's in
these sideways market conditions that traders do the most damage to themselves.
During choppy or
sideways market conditions a bearish crossover is less meaningful, since there is no trend in either direction present.
Not exact matches
This week the
market continued to trade in a
sideways pattern while the technical
conditions suggestive of a correction deepened.
Extremes in observable
conditions that we associate with some of the worst moments in history to invest include: Aug 1929 (with the October crash within 10 weeks of that instance), Aug - Oct 1972 (with an immediate retreat of less than 4 %, followed a few months later by the start of a 50 % bear
market collapse), Aug 1987 (with the October crash within 10 weeks), July 1999 (associated with a quick 10 %
market plunge within 10 weeks), another signal in March 2000 (with a 10 % loss within 10 weeks, a recovery into September of that year, and then a 50 %
market collapse), July - Oct 2007 (followed by an immediate plunge of about 10 % in July, a recovery into October, and another signal that marked the
market peak and the beginning of a 55 %
market loss), two earlier signals in the recent half - cycle, one in July - early Oct of 2013 and another in Nov 2013 - Mar 2014, both associated with
sideways market consolidations, and the present extreme.
Since then, the broad
market has essentially gone
sideways, though capitalization - weighted indices such as the S&P 500 have recently clawed to new highs on enthusiasm about negative interest rates abroad (which I believe actually reflect fresh deterioration in global economic
conditions across Britain, Europe, Japan, and China).
Specifically, strict trading rules will not work in all
market conditions; they may work great in a bull
market or in a bear
market, but fail miserably in
sideways markets.
Hopefully, this will provide you with the knowledge you need to make the best decisions for your trading account when the
market inevitably changes from a trending / easily - tradeable
condition to less favourable
sideways conditions...
Unfortunately, the
market is not always trending, in fact it's often said that
markets spend more time consolidating and moving
sideways than they do in trending
conditions.
Whether the stock
market is going up down or
sideways with options you can profit in all
market conditions.