A. Unless there are
significant changes in atmospheric circulation and cooling during the winter, it is unlikely that the Arctic ice thickness would recover.
Anomalies in the volcanic - aerosol induced global radiative heating distribution can force
significant changes in atmospheric circulation, for example, perturbing the equator - to - pole heating gradient (Stenchikov et al., 2002; Ramaswamy et al., 2006a; see Section 9.2) and forcing a positive phase of the Arctic Oscillation that in turn causes a counterintuitive boreal winter warming at middle and high latitudes over Eurasia and North America (Perlwitz and Graf, 2001; Stenchikov et al., 2002, 2004, 2006; Shindell et al., 2003b, 2004; Perlwitz and Harnik, 2003; Rind et al., 2005; Miller et al., 2006).
Beginning in June there was
a significant change in the atmospheric circulation over the Arctic.
Not exact matches
This «would create a persistent layer of black carbon particles
in the northern stratosphere that could cause potentially
significant changes in the global
atmospheric circulation and distributions of ozone and temperature,» they concluded.
Tropical widening is associated with several
significant changes in our climate, including shifts
in large - scale
atmospheric circulation, like storm tracks, and major climate zones.
Something that goes along with this
change in atmospheric circulation is reduced sea ice
in the region (while sea ice
in Antarctica has been increasing on average, there have been
significant declines off the West Antarctic coast for the last 25 years, and probably longer).
Precipitation
changes might be
significant in particular localities, especially where precipitation is affected by
atmospheric circulation changes, as seems recently to have been the case with southern Scandinavian glaciers (Oerlemans, 1999).
It is not clear that the world is warming post the 1998/2001 climate shift — that involved a climatically
significant step
change in albedo as a response to abrupt
changes in ocean and
atmospheric circulation.
«The authors write that North Pacific Decadal Variability (NPDV) «is a key component
in predictability studies of both regional and global climate
change,»... they emphasize that given the links between both the PDO and the NPGO with global climate, the accurate characterization and the degree of predictability of these two modes
in coupled climate models is an important «open question
in climate dynamics» that needs to be addressed... report that model - derived «temporal and spatial statistics of the North Pacific Ocean modes exhibit
significant discrepancies from observations
in their twentieth - century climate... conclude that «for implications on future climate
change, the coupled climate models show no consensus on projected future
changes in frequency of either the first or second leading pattern of North Pacific SST anomalies,» and they say that «the lack of a consensus
in changes in either mode also affects confidence
in projected
changes in the overlying
atmospheric circulation.»»
One last point related to my last post, is the extent / degree of magnitude of a more meridional
atmospheric circulation pattern (N.H. especially) could influence snow cover, cloud cover, and precipitation amounts which could set up stronger positive climatic feedbacks, which could then result
in an even more
significant climatic
change going forward.
The most likely candidate for that climatic variable force that comes to mind is solar variability (because I can think of no other force that can
change or reverse
in a different trend often enough, and quick enough to account for the historical climatic record) and the primary and secondary effects associated with this solar variability which I feel are a
significant player
in glacial / inter-glacial cycles, counter climatic trends when taken into consideration with these factors which are, land / ocean arrangements, mean land elevation, mean magnetic field strength of the earth (magnetic excursions), the mean state of the climate (average global temperature), the initial state of the earth's climate (how close to interglacial - glacial threshold condition it is) the state of random terrestrial (violent volcanic eruption, or a random
atmospheric circulation / oceanic pattern that feeds upon itself possibly) / extra terrestrial events (super-nova
in vicinity of earth or a random impact) along with Milankovitch Cycles.
In both the tropics and extratropics, it is difficult to discern significant long - term trends in the patterns of climate variability from natural variability, never mind abrupt (threshold) changes in the atmospheric circulatio
In both the tropics and extratropics, it is difficult to discern
significant long - term trends
in the patterns of climate variability from natural variability, never mind abrupt (threshold) changes in the atmospheric circulatio
in the patterns of climate variability from natural variability, never mind abrupt (threshold)
changes in the atmospheric circulatio
in the
atmospheric circulation.
Variations
in ocean
circulation speeds account for
significant instances of climate
change,
changing the hydrological cycle and altering
atmospheric circulation patterns as well.