Dr. Gavin Schmidt, director of NASA's Goddard Institute of Space Studies, tweeted last week «Is there evidence that there is
a significant change of trend from 1998?
Not exact matches
Venture capital firms, in particular, have long been overwhelmingly averse to funding female - run enterprises, «and I don't see a
trend line for any
significant change,» added Trish Costello, CEO and founder
of Portfolia, a platform designed to help women invest in entrepreneurial enterprises.
The behavior
of the long - term and the short - term GMMA is usually sustained with
significant changes in the
trend direction.
Longer - term moving averages typically are better predictors
of significant trend changes.
As noted in The Price
of Climate
Change, my colleagues and I believe these
trends will not only encourage
significant growth in clean technologies, energy efficiency and renewable infrastructure, but also greater transparency and reporting on sustainability and the carbon footprints
of corporations around the globe.
The movement
of price provides evidence
of the current
trend, but the MACD is flagging up
changes in momentum which can sometimes precede a
significant price reversal.
The megatrends illustrated in Figure 1 represent five
significant trends in the global sector which are already
changing the F&A products demanded by consumers and the business models
of F&A companies.
«Quenching Australia's thirst: a
trend analysis
of water - based beverage sales from 1997 to 20111 published in Nutrition & Dietetics has revealed
significant changes in what Australians are drinking.
Most indicators
of the state
of biodiversity (covering species» population
trends, extinction risk, habitat extent and condition, and community composition) showed declines, with no
significant recent reductions in rate, whereas indicators
of pressures on biodiversity (including resource consumption, invasive alien species, nitrogen pollution, overexploitation, and climate
change impacts) showed increases.
For Japan, the results are again mixed with similar proportions
of sites showing
significant positive and negative
trends for SOMO35 and AVGMDA8, but more
significant negative
trends for 3MMDA1 (~ 30 %), in addition to a large fraction
of sites showing weak or no indication
of change for both site types.
Mean annual minimum relative humidity showed a weak but
significant trend of − 0.127 % per decade but showed no
significant changes in affected area.
The study highlighted
significant impacts
of this
trend, including land clearing for farming, logging and settlement; introduction
of invasive species; carbon emissions leading to climate
change and ocean acidification; and toxins that poison the ecosystem.
Decades
of observation and analysis reveal
significant trends of change.
We assess the heat content
change from both
of the long time series (0 to 700 m layer and the 1961 to 2003 period) to be 8.11 ± 0.74 × 1022 J, corresponding to an average warming
of 0.1 °C or 0.14 ± 0.04 W m — 2, and conclude that the available heat content estimates from 1961 to 2003 show a
significant increasing
trend in ocean heat content.
No
significant change in the intake
of dietary fiber was seen after the various interventions; however, a strong
trend toward a decrease was seen in the LF group (18.7 ± 5.4 g, P = 0.015).
Associate Superintendent Judy Park and the Utah State Office
of Education's data analysts created this telling report showing overall proficiency in English Language Arts is
trending upward despite
significant demographic
changes, steady enrollment growth and reduced literacy funding.
When analyzing interest coverage
trend over several accounting periods, it is important to consider
significant changes in the level
of borrowings since the full extent
of such
changes on future interest cover may not be entirely revealed due to the effect
of additional borrowings or repayments
of loans close to end
of accounting periods.
[1] And the
trend couldn't be explained by the population
of swallows living nearby (which increased over the study period), traffic volume (which «either did not
change significantly or increased, depending on the metric used»), or the number
of avian scavengers in the area («as none showed
significant increases in our study area»).
Selections from the Ella Fontanals - Cisneros Collection, curated by Osbel Suárez, showcases a cross section
of the collection and presents to the public a compilation
of works by over 60 artists from North America, Latin America, Africa, Europe and Asia, who have witnessed and played key roles in
changes that have occurred in the most
significant trends in art over the last fifty years.
Firstly, there's no
significant change in
trend (given ARMA (1,1) noise), and secondly it ignores knowledge about what the climatological temperature is at the beginning
of the
trend.
As should be clear, there is no evidence
of any
significant change in
trend post-1997.
For instance, in your scenario
of a 20 - yr temperature
change of 0.3 ºC + / - 0.18 ºC, assuming a natural noise level (observed standard deviation
of detrended annual global temperatures from 1977 - 2004)
of 0.085 ºC, a statistically
significant difference in the
trend that leads to the lowest end
of your range (a
change of 0.12 ºC) and the
trend that leads to the highest end
of your range (0.48 ºC) doesn't begin to rise above the level
of noise until around year 16 or 17.
For periods where there is a
significant trend you can't simply use an ensemble over this period to estimate random variation since part
of the
change over that period is due to the (genuine)
trend rather than to random variation.
It presents a
significant reinterpretation
of the region's recent climate
change origins, showing that atmospheric conditions have
changed substantially over the last century, that these
changes are not likely related to historical anthropogenic and natural radiative forcing, and that dynamical mechanisms
of interannual and multidecadal temperature variability can also apply to observed century - long
trends.
«We caution that the question
of when a statistically robust
trend can be detected in damage time series should not be confused with the question
of when climate - induced
changes in damage become a
significant consideration...
Interestingly, the paper «Climate
Trends and Global food production since 1980» (Lobell, Schlenker, Costa - Roberts, in Sciencexpress, 5 May, Science 1204531) confirms my finding
of the absence
of climate
change in the USA: «A notable exception to the [global] warming pattern is the United States, which produces c. 40 %
of global maize and soybean and experienced a slight cooling over the period... the country with largest overall share
of crop production (United States) showed no [adverse] effect due to the lack
of significant climate
trends».
During 1976 — 2004, global
changes in surface RH are small (within 0.6 % for absolute values), although decreasing
trends of − 0.11 % − 0.22 % decade − 1 for global oceans are statistically
significant.
The CLAs advised against including this statement in the SPM, noting that: the research is currently inconclusive; overestimation
of the models is too small to explain the overall effect and not statistically
significant; and it is difficult to pinpoint the role
of changes in radiative forcing in causing the reduced warming
trend, with Co-Chair Stocker referring to this issue as an «emerging science topic.»
In describing their findings, Do et al. report that across all three subsets
of data, «more stations showed statistically
significant decreasing
trends [in streamflow] than statistically
significant increasing
trends,» which finding held regardless
of whether the stations were filtered by the presence
of dams or
changes in forest cover.
We assess the heat content
change from both
of the long time series (0 to 700 m layer and the 1961 to 2003 period) to be 8.11 ± 0.74 × 1022 J, corresponding to an average warming
of 0.1 °C or 0.14 ± 0.04 W m — 2, and conclude that the available heat content estimates from 1961 to 2003 show a
significant increasing
trend in ocean heat content.
And many regions have shown no
significant net
changes or
trends in either direction relative to the last few hundred to thousands
of years.
If this is so, how can we expect reliable verbals from focus groups, some
of whom have not had a
significant exposure to temperature
change trends in their adult lifetime?
They explain how, overall, Antarctic sea ice cover (frozen sea surface), for separate reasons involving wind
changing in relation to the location
of certain warming sea water currents, shows a slight upward
trend, though it also shows
significant melting in some areas.
... incomplete and misleading because it 1) omits any mention
of several
of the most important aspects
of the potential relationships between hurricanes and global warming, including rainfall, sea level, and storm surge; 2) leaves the impression that there is no
significant connection between recent climate
change caused by human activities and hurricane characteristics and impacts; and 3) does not take full account
of the significance
of recently identified
trends and variations in tropical storms in causing impacts as compared to increasing societal vulnerability.
Among the aspects
of that variation that we can isolate are probably factors that have produced a general «global» warming
trend since the deepest part
of the «Little Ice Age», long before any «mainstream» estimate
of anthropogenic
changes to pCO2 would have been
significant.
With 2010 over, we now have 16 observations starting in 1995, and (unsurprisingly to anyone who followed the argument thus far) the upward
trend is now statistically
significant at the 5 per cent level [1] That is, if climate
change since 1995 (the time
of the first IPCC report, and well after Lindzen announced himself as a sceptic) had been purely random, the odds against such an upward
trend would be better than 20 to 1 against.
Trends in the peak magnitude, frequency, duration and volume
of frequent floods (floods occurring at an average
of two events per year relative to a base period) across the United States show large
changes; however, few
trends are found to be statistically
significant.
«Positive
trends in the numbers
of 945 hPa and 950 hPa TCs in the SIO are
significant but appear to be influenced to some extent by
changes in data quality.»
A global catalogue
of catastrophe losses was constructed (MuirWood et al., 2006), normalised to account for
changes that have resulted from variations in wealth and the number and value
of properties located in the path
of the catastrophes... Once the data were normalised, a small statistically
significant trend was found for an increase in annual catastrophe loss since 1970
of 2 % per year.
A
change in sign
of the temperature
trend is a
significant result.
There are plenty
of ways
of looking at the surface air temperature record that all show no statistically
significant change in
trend from earlier decades, so any study that concludes sensitivity is different just with the addition
of the past decade must be automatically suspect, and that's not even taking into account the heat going into the oceans.
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change reported in its most recent scientific assessment that «[n] o robust
trends in annual numbers
of tropical storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes... have been identified over the past 100 years in the North Atlantic basin,» and that there are «no
significant observed
trends in global tropical cyclone frequency.»
NIPCC scientists concluded the IPCC was biased with respect to making future projections
of climate
change, discerning a
significant human - induced influence on current and past climatic
trends, and evaluating the impacts
of potential carbon dioxide - induced environmental
changes on Earth's biosphere.
The simulations also produce an average increase
of 2.0 °C in twenty - first century global temperature, demonstrating that recent observational
trends are not sufficient to discount predictions
of substantial climate
change and its
significant and widespread impacts.
I'm also curious to see if the new version
of UAH temperatures has a
significant effect on the Cowtan and Way temperature reconstruction - the
changes in the UAH V6 Arctic temperature
trend (by a factor
of almost 2) is quite
significant.
Eg, even over a 30 - year period (statistically
significant WRT climate
change), the range
of decadal
trends starts at -0.05 C for the South pole, and is greatest at 0.45 C at the North pole.
Peter317 Fixed yours too: Moral
of the story: on spans too short to have a
significant confidence interval you can put your start points and end points wherever you like, and the
trend line
changes.
It is the 30 - year
significant downward
trend in Arctic sea ice extent, which has accelerated in recent years, that is the important indicator
of climate
change.
The most likely candidate for that climatic variable force that comes to mind is solar variability (because I can think
of no other force that can
change or reverse in a different
trend often enough, and quick enough to account for the historical climatic record) and the primary and secondary effects associated with this solar variability which I feel are a
significant player in glacial / inter-glacial cycles, counter climatic
trends when taken into consideration with these factors which are, land / ocean arrangements, mean land elevation, mean magnetic field strength
of the earth (magnetic excursions), the mean state
of the climate (average global temperature), the initial state
of the earth's climate (how close to interglacial - glacial threshold condition it is) the state
of random terrestrial (violent volcanic eruption, or a random atmospheric circulation / oceanic pattern that feeds upon itself possibly) / extra terrestrial events (super-nova in vicinity
of earth or a random impact) along with Milankovitch Cycles.
As the spring warming over west Antarctica represents the only
significant trend in the interior
of Antarctica (excluding Peninsula) for 1979 - present, it deserves consideration in studies that seek to understand and model Antarctic climate
change.