Hence, relatively small exchanges of heat between the atmosphere and ocean can cause
significant changes in surface temperature.
Hence, relatively small exchanges of heat between the atmosphere and ocean can cause
significant changes in surface temperature.
Yes, if the sentence is taken to refer to statistically
significant change in surface temperature up to present.
Not exact matches
As world leaders hold climate talks
in Paris, research shows that land
surface temperatures may rise by an average of almost 8C by 2100, if
significant efforts are not made to counteract climate
change.
For
significant periods of time, the reconstructed large - scale
changes in the North Pacific SLP field described here and by construction the long - term decline
in Hawaiian winter rainfall are broadly consistent with long - term
changes in tropical Pacific sea
surface temperature (SST) based on ENSO reconstructions documented
in several other studies, particularly over the last two centuries.
The
significant difference between the observed decrease of the CO2 sink estimated by the inversion (0.03 PgC / y per decade) and the expected increase due solely to rising atmospheric CO2 -LRB--0.05 PgC / y per decade) indicates that there has been a relative weakening of the Southern Ocean CO2 sink (0.08 PgC / y per decade) due to
changes in other atmospheric forcing (winds,
surface air
temperature, and water fluxes).
Temperature tends to respond so that, depending on optical properties, LW emission will tend to reduce the vertical differential heating by cooling warmer parts more than cooler parts (for the surface and atmosphere); also (not significant within the atmosphere and ocean in general, but significant at the interface betwen the surface and the air, and also significant (in part due to the small heat fluxes involved, viscosity in the crust and somewhat in the mantle (where there are thick boundary layers with superadiabatic lapse rates) and thermal conductivity of the core) in parts of the Earth's interior) temperature changes will cause conduction / diffusion of heat that partly balances the differenti
Temperature tends to respond so that, depending on optical properties, LW emission will tend to reduce the vertical differential heating by cooling warmer parts more than cooler parts (for the
surface and atmosphere); also (not
significant within the atmosphere and ocean
in general, but
significant at the interface betwen the
surface and the air, and also
significant (
in part due to the small heat fluxes involved, viscosity
in the crust and somewhat
in the mantle (where there are thick boundary layers with superadiabatic lapse rates) and thermal conductivity of the core)
in parts of the Earth's interior)
temperature changes will cause conduction / diffusion of heat that partly balances the differenti
temperature changes will cause conduction / diffusion of heat that partly balances the differential heating.
The key points of the paper are that: i) model simulations with 20th century forcings are able to match the
surface air
temperature record, ii) they also match the measured
changes of ocean heat content over the last decade, iii) the implied planetary imbalance (the amount of excess energy the Earth is currently absorbing) which is roughly equal to the ocean heat uptake, is
significant and growing, and iv) this implies both that there is
significant heating «
in the pipeline», and that there is an important lag
in the climate's full response to
changes in the forcing.
This means that the «pause,» or whatever you want to call it,
in the rise of global
surface temperatures is even more
significant than it is generally taken to be, because whatever is the reason behind it, it is not only acting to slow the rise from greenhouse gas emissions but also the added rise from
changes in aerosol emissions.
These include solar - related chemical - based UV irradiance - related variations
in stratospheric
temperatures and galactic cosmic ray - related
changes in cloud cover and
surface temperatures, as well as ocean oscillations, such as the Pacific Decadal Oscillation and the North Atlantic Oscillation that
significant affect the climate.
That suggests that the 1940s tropical warming could have started the
changes in the Amundsen Sea ice shelves that are being observed now... He emphasized that natural variations
in tropical sea -
surface temperatures associated with the El Niño Southern Oscillation play a
significant role.»
The increase
in the global average
temperature anomaly and the divergence of land and sea
surface temperatures also coincided with two
significant changes in global average cloud cover.
There are plenty of ways of looking at the
surface air
temperature record that all show no statistically
significant change in trend from earlier decades, so any study that concludes sensitivity is different just with the addition of the past decade must be automatically suspect, and that's not even taking into account the heat going into the oceans.
«Climate science» as it is used by warmists implies adherence to a set of beliefs: (1) Increasing greenhouse gas concentrations will warm the Earth's
surface and atmosphere; (2) Human production of CO2 is producing
significant increases
in CO2 concentration; (3) The rate of rise of
temperature in the 20th and 21st centuries is unprecedented compared to the rates of
change of
temperature in the previous two millennia and this can only be due to rising greenhouse gas concentrations; (4) The climate of the 19th century was ideal and may be taken as a standard to compare against any current climate; (5) global climate models, while still not perfect, are good enough to indicate that continued use of fossil fuels at projected rates
in the 21st century will cause the CO2 concentration to rise to a high level by 2100 (possibly 700 to 900 ppm); (6) The global average
temperature under this condition will rise more than 3 °C from the late 19th century ideal; (7) The negative impact on humanity of such a rise will be enormous; (8) The only alternative to such a disaster is to immediately and sharply reduce CO2 emissions (reducing emissions
in 2050 by 80 % compared to today's rate) and continue further reductions after 2050; (9) Even with such draconian CO2 reductions, the CO2 concentration is likely to reach at least 450 to 500 ppm by 2100 resulting
in significant damage to humanity; (10) Such reductions
in CO2 emissions are technically feasible and economically affordable while providing adequate energy to a growing world population that is increasingly industrializing.
My personal views are: (1) Yes, it is true that increasing greenhouse gas concentrations will tend to warm the Earth's
surface and atmosphere; (2) Yes, human production of CO2 is producing
significant increases
in CO2 concentration; (3) The rates of
change of
temperature in the previous two millennia are uncertain because proxies have been misapplied by the hockey stick crowd.
Recently, Willis (2010) used satellite observations of sea
surface height and sensor buoy observations of velocity, salinity and
temperature of the Atlantic Ocean at 41oN and found no
significant change in the AMOC strength between 2002 and 2009.
Scientists generally supporting the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change (IPCC) findings on climate change see this correction of the UAH temperature analyses as a significant vindication of their findings on this issue and, as such, as a major rebuttal to climate contrarians who long had pointed to the differences in surface and upper atmosphere warming trends as supporting their viewp
Change (IPCC) findings on climate
change see this correction of the UAH temperature analyses as a significant vindication of their findings on this issue and, as such, as a major rebuttal to climate contrarians who long had pointed to the differences in surface and upper atmosphere warming trends as supporting their viewp
change see this correction of the UAH
temperature analyses as a
significant vindication of their findings on this issue and, as such, as a major rebuttal to climate contrarians who long had pointed to the differences
in surface and upper atmosphere warming trends as supporting their viewpoints.
The 1976 — 1977 climate shift
in the Pacific, associated with a phase
change in the PDO from negative to positive, was associated with
significant changes in ENSO evolution (Trenberth and Stepaniak, 2001) and with
changes in ENSO teleconnections and links to precipitation and
surface temperatures over North and South America, Asia and Australia (Trenberth, 1990; Trenberth and Hurrell, 1994; Power et al., 1999a; Salinger et al., 2001; Mantua and Hare, 2002; Minobe and Nakanowatari, 2002; Trenberth et al., 2002b; Deser et al., 2004; Marengo, 2004).
If we regress the annual rate of CO2
change against
temperature, we are likely to see a
significant short term
temperature effect as warming reduces the solubility of CO2
in the
surface ocean layers (with effects on terrestrial sinks as well).
Changes in their areal extent or reflective properties can result in significant changes to Earth's surface tempe
Changes in their areal extent or reflective properties can result
in significant changes to Earth's surface tempe
changes to Earth's
surface temperature.
While
surface temperature show a
significant warming over western Himalayas
in the last few decades, the observed regional precipitation
changes are irregular and not spatially coherent.
The bottom line is that the long - term statistically
significant trend
in surface temperature has not
changed.
No
changes in the physical structure of the firn required consideration:
surface temperature and accumulation are the main parameters determining firn structure, and their limited evolution at Summit during the last century (22, 23) did not induce
significant changes in either density or porosity of the firn.
Overall,
in the absence of major volcanic eruptions and, assuming no
significant future long term
changes in solar irradiance, it is likely (> 66 % probability) that the GMST -LCB- global mean
surface temperature -RCB- anomaly for the period 2016 — 2035, relative to the reference period of 1986 — 2005 will be
in the range 0.3 °C — 0.7 °C -LCB- 0.5 °F — 1.3 °F -RCB-(expert assessment, to one
significant figure; medium confidence).
Although historical records indicate that atmospheric CO2 concentrations and sea
surface temperatures have undergone
significant oscillations and have exceeded present - day levels
in the past [3,4], it is the unprecedented rates of
change that are fuelling concerns over whether organisms will retain the capacity to mediate vital ecosystem functions and services [5,6].
How can you tell that the TOA perspective, accurate to «first - order», is accurate enough to calculate the
change in the mean
surface temperature (following an increase
in forcing at the
surface) to the first
significant figure?
The space - time structure of natural climate variability needed to determine the optimal fingerprint pattern and the resultant signal - to - noise ratio of the detection variable is estimated from several multi-century control simulations with different CGCMs and from instrumental data over the last 136 y. Applying the combined greenhouse gas - plus - aerosol fingerprint
in the same way as the greenhouse gas only fingerprint
in a previous work, the recent 30 - y trends (1966 — 1995) of annual mean near
surface temperature are again found to represent a
significant climate
change at the 97.5 % confidence level.