«The PBOC will have to choose between allowing
significant currency appreciation and continuing to accumulate foreign assets,» Mark Williams, the firm's chief Asia economist, wrote in a research note Monday.
Not exact matches
Domestic inflationary pressures, associated with higher wages and incomes, will lead to higher inflation for non-tradable goods and services but, at the same time, the gradual pass through of the initial exchange rate
appreciation will lead to lower inflation for tradable goods and services (whose prices in foreign
currency terms depend to a
significant extent on global considerations).
Look closer though & there's a couple of mitigants: i) The government's rather silly prudence has probably been a negative, when most investors would prefer a focus on growth at all costs, and ii) the advantage of the pound's
significant decline vs. the US dollar (& other global
currencies) is offset by an equally
significant appreciation vs. the euro.