Not exact matches
Since 1950, the volcanic forcing has been negative due to a few
significant eruptions, and has offset the modestly positive solar forcing, such that the net natural external forcing contribution to
global warming over the past 50 years is approximately zero (more specifically, the authors estimate the natural forcing contribution since 1950 at -10 to +13 %, with a most likely value of 1 %).
The Sun has both direct and indirect influences
over the Earth's temperature, and we can evaluate whether these effects could be responsible for a
significant amount of the recent
global warming.
According to the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, the greenhouse gas methane is highly efficient at trapping heat in the atmosphere and a
significant contributor to
global warming,
over 80 times more potent than carbon dioxide.
Thus it appears that, provided further satellite cloud data confirms the cosmic ray flux low cloud seeding hypothesis, and no other factors were involved
over the past 150 years (e.g., variability of other cloud layers) then there is a potential for solar activity induced changes in cloudiness and irradiance to account for a
significant part of the
global warming experienced during the 20th century, with the possible exception of the last two decades.
On the contrary, roughly 80 percent of HOT is devoted to on - the - ground reporting that focuses on solutions — not just the relatively well known options for reducing greenhouse gas emissions and otherwise limiting
global warming, but especially the related but much less recognized imperative of preparing our societies for the many
significant climate impacts (e.g., stronger storms, deeper droughts, harsher heat waves, etc.,) that, alas, are now unavoidable
over the years ahead.
Over 400 prominent scientists from more than two dozen countries recently voiced
significant objections to major aspects of the so - called «consensus» on man - made
global warming.
The paper was accompanied by a press release entitled «
Global Warming not a Man - made Phenomenon», in which Shaviv was quoted as stating, «The operative significance of our research is that a significant reduction of the release of greenhouse gases will not significantly lower the global temperature, since only about a third of the warming over the past century should be attributed to man&r
Global Warming not a Man - made Phenomenon», in which Shaviv was quoted as stating, «The operative significance of our research is that a significant reduction of the release of greenhouse gases will not significantly lower the global temperature, since only about a third of the warming over the past century should be attributed to man&
Warming not a Man - made Phenomenon», in which Shaviv was quoted as stating, «The operative significance of our research is that a
significant reduction of the release of greenhouse gases will not significantly lower the
global temperature, since only about a third of the warming over the past century should be attributed to man&r
global temperature, since only about a third of the
warming over the past century should be attributed to man&
warming over the past century should be attributed to man».
He said U.S. intelligence agencies accepted the consensual scientific view of
global warming, including the conclusion that it is too late to avert
significant disruption
over the next two decades.
The earth has had
significant Global Warming for some 20,000 years now... The only real argument is to the degree that mans activity has augmented that... We just came out of one - point - five - million years of continuous glaciation with sheets of two mile thick ice down past the 44th parallel... I will cheerfully deal with warming issues over that, any
Warming for some 20,000 years now... The only real argument is to the degree that mans activity has augmented that... We just came out of one - point - five - million years of continuous glaciation with sheets of two mile thick ice down past the 44th parallel... I will cheerfully deal with
warming issues over that, any
warming issues
over that, any day...
The relationship is not perfect but it represents a
significant improvement
over the incredibly lame human - CO2 and
global warming / climate change relationship claimed by the IPCC's anti-CO2 Climategate scientists and alarmists.
Again, no
significant trend of the
global averaged Gaa [atmospheric greenhouse effect] is found from 2003 to 2014 (Fig. 2) because the enhanced
warming effect
over the western tropical Pacific is largely counteracted by the weakened
warming influence on the central tropical Pacific.
Interestingly, the paper «Climate Trends and
Global food production since 1980» (Lobell, Schlenker, Costa - Roberts, in Sciencexpress, 5 May, Science 1204531) confirms my finding of the absence of climate change in the USA: «A notable exception to the [global] warming pattern is the United States, which produces c. 40 % of global maize and soybean and experienced a slight cooling over the period... the country with largest overall share of crop production (United States) showed no [adverse] effect due to the lack of significant climate trends&r
Global food production since 1980» (Lobell, Schlenker, Costa - Roberts, in Sciencexpress, 5 May, Science 1204531) confirms my finding of the absence of climate change in the USA: «A notable exception to the [
global] warming pattern is the United States, which produces c. 40 % of global maize and soybean and experienced a slight cooling over the period... the country with largest overall share of crop production (United States) showed no [adverse] effect due to the lack of significant climate trends&r
global]
warming pattern is the United States, which produces c. 40 % of
global maize and soybean and experienced a slight cooling over the period... the country with largest overall share of crop production (United States) showed no [adverse] effect due to the lack of significant climate trends&r
global maize and soybean and experienced a slight cooling
over the period... the country with largest overall share of crop production (United States) showed no [adverse] effect due to the lack of
significant climate trends».
A failure to appreciate the role clouds play in regulating the Earth's temperature means that a
significant number of climate change predictions underestimate the likely extent of
global warming over the coming years, scientists have claimed.
First, Happer mentions statistical significance, but
global surface temperature trends are rarely if ever statistically
significant (at a 95 % confidence level)
over periods as short as a decade, even in the presence of an underlying long - term
warming trend, because of the natural variability and noise in the climate system.
PRINCETON, NJ — The slight upward trend in Americans» concern about
global warming over the past decade masks a more
significant trend: the growing gap between Republicans and Democrats
over global warming.
«It claimed that «simply proceeding to the discovery phase of a
global warming case» — during which the oil corporations would be required to turn
over internal documents — «would be
significant» for activists...
If current trends in
global warming continue unmitigated, some of the world's most well - known and historically
significant cultural landmarks — including the Statue of Liberty in New York City, the Tower of London in the United Kingdom, and the archaeological sites of Pompeii in Italy — could be destroyed by rising
global sea levels
over the next 2,000 years, according to new research.
Resolved There is
significant (or discernible) evidence of anthropogenic
global warming, distinct from land use effects and natural variability,
over the past
It would have to be shown that the recent temperature record can be statistically significantly distinguished from the statistically
significant warming signal, which can be detected when performing an analysis that uses data
over multiple decades, from the mid-1970ies to present, or from the mid-1970ies up to the time, when the alleged change in the behavior of the
global atmospheric temperature is supposed to have occurred.
P1: There is
significant (or discernible) evidence of anthropogenic
global warming over the past 16 32 years.
If
warming over the past 15 years has been so marginal that even people who believe firmly in human - caused
global warming admit it isn't
significant, what's all the fuss about?
Although Lawson and his
Global Warming Policy Foundation have been discredited and attacked by numerous scientists and senior politicians, his thinktank continues to receive
significant coverage, wrongfully distorting the public and policy debate
over climate change.
Based on previously reported analysis of the observations and modelling studies this is neither inconsistent with a
warming planet nor unexpected; and computation of
global temperature trends
over longer periods does exhibit statistically
significant warming.
Other scientists argue that there has been some man - made
global warming, but that most of the
global warming is natural in origin, and that man - made
global warming will only gradually become
significant over the next century or so.
As I predicted two weeks ago, there has been a media and blog frenzy
over the statement by climatologist Phil Jones that
global warming since 1995 has not been «statistically
significant».
I'm very convinced that the physical process of
global warming is continuing, which appears as a statistically
significant increase of the
global surface and tropospheric temperature anomaly
over a time scale of about 20 years and longer and also as trends in other climate variables (e.g.,
global ocean heat content increase, Arctic and Antarctic ice decrease, mountain glacier decrease on average and others), and I don't see any scientific evidence according to which this trend has been broken, recently.
Anomalies in the volcanic - aerosol induced
global radiative heating distribution can force
significant changes in atmospheric circulation, for example, perturbing the equator - to - pole heating gradient (Stenchikov et al., 2002; Ramaswamy et al., 2006a; see Section 9.2) and forcing a positive phase of the Arctic Oscillation that in turn causes a counterintuitive boreal winter
warming at middle and high latitudes
over Eurasia and North America (Perlwitz and Graf, 2001; Stenchikov et al., 2002, 2004, 2006; Shindell et al., 2003b, 2004; Perlwitz and Harnik, 2003; Rind et al., 2005; Miller et al., 2006).
Jin et al. (2004) show that zonal mean UHI has 1 - 3 degree
warming over the Northern Hemisphere latitudes, implying that the collective UHI may be a
significant contributing factor in the overall
global warming signal
For instance, Emanuel, 2011 (Abstract; Google Scholar access) suggests that a
global warming signal could become statistical
significant sometime
over the next century or two, and that there could be some indications on time scales as short as 25 years.
Shaviv and Veizer's paper was accompanied by a press release titled «
Global warming not a man - made phenomenon», in which Shaviv is quoted stating: «The operative significance of our research is that a significant reduction of the release of greenhouse gases will not significantly lower the global temperature, since only about a third of the warming over the past century should be attributed to man&r
Global warming not a man - made phenomenon», in which Shaviv is quoted stating: «The operative significance of our research is that a
significant reduction of the release of greenhouse gases will not significantly lower the
global temperature, since only about a third of the warming over the past century should be attributed to man&r
global temperature, since only about a third of the
warming over the past century should be attributed to man».
Interestingly, Penner et al. find that whether the climate sensitivity parameter is on the low or high end, reducing anthropogenic emissions of the short - lived
warming pollutants would achieve a
significant reduction in
global warming over the next 50 - 100 years.
The
global temperature empirical evidence is so clear cut, and verified, that two of the most prominent climate scientists on opposing sides of the
global warming issue agree on the science fundamentals: there has been no statistically
significant warming over the last 15 years.
iii)
Over the last 3 decades, every individual station north of 70o indicates
warming, 13 of 17 are
significant at 95 % confidence, all estimated trend rates are faster than the
global average, some are more than five times as fast.
And I assume the Sierra Club would issue a public retraction if confronted with the facts that the data are precisely as I described that
over the last 18 years there has been no
significant warming and indeed that is why
global warming alarmists invented the term «the pause» to explain what they called the pause in
global warming because the data demonstrate what you just said, that the Earth is cooking and
warming, is not back up by the data.
The variation in the sun's energy
over the course of the 20th century just isn't
significant enough to account for the rapid
global warming we're experiencing now.
I have used a hybrid version of the Cowtan Way
global temperature data set and it definitely shows a
significant difference in
warming in the Arctic region
over the past quarter century when compared to other data sets and most climate models.
Though SAG and SRM can achieve
significant cooling anomalies
over large areas, it comes at a cost of a far worse overall
global warming.
However, on a more local level,
global warming may have a
significant impact, as original and newly introduced species spread faster from one place to another and take
over new patches of habitat.
«Because the effects of volcanic eruptions and of ENSO are very short - term and that of solar variability very small, none of these factors can be expected to exert a
significant influence on the continuation of
global warming over the coming decades.
«In light of these
significant errors and omissions, the conclusions reached by S&O are not sound and should not be relied upon,» Neuendorf wrote of Oreskes» report showing Exxon used advertisements to gloss
over internal records on
global warming.
This mirrors the
significant rise in
global temperatures detected
over the past 30 years, supporting the conclusion that there is a
global trend toward enhanced glacier frontal recession in recent decades and providing support for the assertion that glacier recession can be attributed to recent
warming.»
The updated data shows a statistically
significant global warming trend
over the 1998 - 2012 period and the authors note that their results «do not support the notion of a «slowdown» in the increase of
global surface temperature.»
The blue 1 - year (12 - month) trends show the dramatic
global warming trend reversal
over the most recent months - from a peak in March 2016 to what now amounts to being a
significant cooling trend by October 2016.
Australian Poll (from David Spratt's blog - ClimateCodeRed): «In the last six years, support in Australia for the view that
global warming is a serious and pressing problems that requires taking steps now, even if it involves
significant costs, fell from
over 60 % to under 40 %, according to Lowy Institute polling (below).
Indeed, rainfall data reveal
significant increases of heavy precipitation
over much of Northern Hemisphere land and in the tropics (27) and attribution studies link this intensification of rainfall and floods to human - made
global warming (28 ⇓ — 30).
Global surface temperature data shows a lack of statistically
significant warming over the last 15 years — a development that has baffled climate scientists.
If a trend, comparable to the one found in this study, persisted throughout the 20th century, it would have provided a
significant component of the
global warming the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change reports to have occurred
over the past 100 years,» he said.»
Not all climate expert are in complete denial, some have stopped denying that natural variability has been a
significant factor in
global warming over the last century.
Casual readers may have thought this is a relatively recent obsession of his (3 articles and responses
over the last month), however, Cockburn has
significant form * and has a fairly long history of ill - informed commentary on the subject of
global warming.
As illustrated above, neither direct nor indirect solar influences can explain a
significant amount of the
global warming over the past century, and certainly not
over the past 30 years.