This was explicitly discussed in Hansen et al, 1997 where they predicted that over the last few decades of the 20th Century, there should have been
a significant increase in ocean heat content (OHC).
Not exact matches
We assess the
heat content change from both of the long time series (0 to 700 m layer and the 1961 to 2003 period) to be 8.11 ± 0.74 × 1022 J, corresponding to an average warming of 0.1 °C or 0.14 ± 0.04 W m — 2, and conclude that the available
heat content estimates from 1961 to 2003 show a
significant increasing trend
in ocean heat content.
Since the
heat capacity of the land surface is so small compared to the
ocean, any
significant imbalance
in the planetary radiation budget (the solar
in minus the longwave out) must end up
increasing the
heat content in the
ocean.
If a
significant fraction of this
heat lost from the
ocean went into the atmosphere one might have expected the surface air temperature to have
increased faster during this period than during the subsequent period of the 1990s when the
ocean heat content gained > 5 X 10 ^ 22 J, but this is not what was observed (see reference Figure 2.7 c
in the IPCC TAR Working group I).
The appearance of the first studies on
Ocean Heat Content during the 2000's would have been one of the
significant factors
in the IPCC
increasing its level of confidence that AGW was real
in its 4th report
in 2007.
We assess the
heat content change from both of the long time series (0 to 700 m layer and the 1961 to 2003 period) to be 8.11 ± 0.74 × 1022 J, corresponding to an average warming of 0.1 °C or 0.14 ± 0.04 W m — 2, and conclude that the available
heat content estimates from 1961 to 2003 show a
significant increasing trend
in ocean heat content.
I'm very convinced that the physical process of global warming is continuing, which appears as a statistically
significant increase of the global surface and tropospheric temperature anomaly over a time scale of about 20 years and longer and also as trends
in other climate variables (e.g., global
ocean heat content increase, Arctic and Antarctic ice decrease, mountain glacier decrease on average and others), and I don't see any scientific evidence according to which this trend has been broken, recently.
The spatial distribution of the 2006 — 2014 warming indicates that all of the
heat content increase during that period is
in the southern hemisphere
ocean (60 ° S to 20 ° S), with no
significant trend
in the tropics (20 ° S to 20 ° N) or the northern hemisphere (20 ° N to 60 ° N).
Natural variability
in air temperature (the lack of
significant warming
in the last decade) can be regarded as noise
in the monotonic
increase due to GHGs, but a one year total (
ocean)
heat content change can't.