Not exact matches
Forecasts without systematic
errors: climate
models, such as the
model MPI - ESM LR of the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, predict a
significant increase in temperature by the end of this century, especially at the Earth's poles.
«What Munk didn't realize at the time... is that the
model he used for the ice age made a very
significant error about the Earth's internal structure,» Mitrovica said, suggesting that the
model Munk used didn't accurately reflect how viscous the Earth's internal structure actually is.
When a regression
model does not include important variables then the
model is prone to
significant error — thus all the complaints that the VAM scores are inconsistent and highly variable.
with «fair value» accounting, there is no way to avoid mark - to -
model, but there are
significant possibilities for
error.
[Response: At the dawn of coupled
modelling,
errors that arose in separate developments of ocean and atmospheric
models lead to
significant inconsistencies between the fluxes that each component needed from the other, and the ones they were getting.
But the potentially severe impacts of a quickly warming world up the ante; therefore, though the
model predictions have
significant error bars, a risk management perspective demands that
significant mitigations steps be taken immediately.
This could have a number of different reasons, and the discrepancy could be considered not
significant given the
error ranges of observations and
models.
Our study implies that the use of a global relationship between pCO2 and temperature independent of the geography in long time scale carbon cycle
model [37] and [38] may induce
significant errors.»
Despite the fact that an average of
models may or may not be physically realistic, the fact that their average and
error bars all run so much higher than observation, and are so statistically
significant, should not be overlooked with a hand wave.
For example, contrasting the development improvements or setbacks from different
model versions in relation to the distribution of structural
errors in the CMIP multimodel ensemble can provide an objective assessment as to whether
model performance changes are
significant.
Previously reported discrepancies between the amount of warming near the surface and higher in the atmosphere have been used to challenge the reliability of climate
models and the reality of human - induced global warming... This
significant discrepancy no longer exists because
errors in the satellite and radiosonde data have been identified and corrected.
I'll bet he uses one of the NWS or other studies which claims the
errors from the erroneous observations are negligible and not a
significant factor in the
error range of the climate
models.
Since becoming operational in 1995, the GFDL hurricane
model has played a major role in improving hurricane prediction, resulting in a
significant reduction in track forecast
error.
• These results could arise due to
errors common to all
models; to
significant non-climatic influences remaining within some or all of the observational data sets, leading to biased long - term trend estimates; or a combination of these factors.
I'll stick with the rest of my comment — that if you want to argue that the
models have
significant error bars, then we need to have just as much discussion about the side where the actual results have a HIGHER impact than the
model.
If there are indeed
significant flaws in the
models, as we should acknowledge, what about the possibility that the
error is on the optimistic side?
The AR1 and AR3 coefficients are less than twice their standard
error, so they aren't
significant and the
model is misspecified.
First, we ran the hypothesized
model (χ2 = 133.01, df = 108, p =.05, root mean square
error of approximation [RMSEA] =.09, confirmatory fit index [CFI] =.91, Tucker — Lewis Index [TLI] =.91) and determined whether all predicted paths were
significant.
To account for this
significant correlation, a covariance path between the
error term of these two variables was added when estimating the hypothesized
model presented in Figure 1.
Entering both moderators in one
model with robust standard
errors did not change the study findings; entering both moderators in one
model without robust standard
errors slightly changed the study findings, such that only children's emotional problems remained a
significant moderator.
While many players have invested in developing more accurate AVMs (automated valuation
models), the margin of
error is still too
significant.