If there was
significant ocean warming or ice melting the planet would be slowing down like someone put the brakes on.
Recent observations suggest
significant ocean warming is already underway in this region, yet we have little understanding of the underlying processes.
Not exact matches
«Using a numerical climate model we found that sulfate reductions over Europe between 1980 and 2005 could explain a
significant fraction of the amplified
warming in the Arctic region during that period due to changes in long - range transport, atmospheric winds and
ocean currents.
«If the winds continue to increase as a result of global
warming, then we will continue to see increased energy in eddies and jets that will have
significant implications for the ability of the Southern
Ocean to store carbon dioxide and heat,» said Dr Hogg.
In a statement published after the experiment was completed, the Alfred Wegener Institute, where Smetacek works, said the results «dampened hopes on the potential of the Southern
Ocean to sequester
significant amounts of carbon dioxide and thus mitigate global
warming.»
Not so long ago, it was thought
warmer air would be the main cause of melting, but now it seems
warming ocean waters are already having a
significant effect.
The glacier is currently experiencing
significant acceleration, thinning and retreat that is thought to be caused by «
ocean - driven» melting; an increase in
warm ocean water finding its way under the ice shelf.
Because existing phenomena — such as thermal expansion of water from
warming — do not fully explain the corrected sea - level - rise number of 3.3 millimeters, stored heat in the deep
ocean may be making a
significant contribution, Cazenave said.
The findings, published yesterday in the journal Nature, show that during the past 11,000 years, wind patterns have driven relatively
warm waters from the deep
ocean onto Antarctica's continental shelf, leading to
significant and sustained ice loss.
As the largest contributor is
ocean thermal expansion,
warmer than expected temperatures would be a
significant part of the discrepancy.
These processes included dust deposition, and
ocean acidification and
warming, which were shown to have a
significant impact on oceanic phytoplankton growth, cell size and primary productivity, biological N2 fixation, phytoplankton distribution and community composition.
This
warming is largely focused on the equatorial and South Atlantic and is driven by a
significant reduction in deep - water formation from the Southern
Ocean.
This kind of
significant change could increase the rate of
warming already in progress, affect further sea ice loss in the Arctic and alter shipping access to the Arctic
Ocean.
We assess the heat content change from both of the long time series (0 to 700 m layer and the 1961 to 2003 period) to be 8.11 ± 0.74 × 1022 J, corresponding to an average
warming of 0.1 °C or 0.14 ± 0.04 W m — 2, and conclude that the available heat content estimates from 1961 to 2003 show a
significant increasing trend in
ocean heat content.
Significant changes in the circulation of the
ocean could likewise impact fisheries in the United States that can be devastated by
warming waters, thereby affecting livelihood and food source.
There are other factors (changes in the natural sources of emissions in a
warmed environment, changes in the function of traditional carbon sinks in a
warmed environment, tipping points like increase forest fire activity in a
warmed environment, etc.) that also play a
significant role in the truly important number, which is accumulation of CO2 / e in the atmosphere and
ocean acidification.
«Borehole temperatures in the ice sheets spanning the last 6000 years show Antarctica repeatedly
warming when Greenland cooled, and vice versa... The phenomena has been called the polar see - saw... Attempts to account for it have included the hypothesis of a south - flowing
warm ocean current with a built in time lag... There is (however) no
significant delay in the Anarctica climate anomaly...
Temperature tends to respond so that, depending on optical properties, LW emission will tend to reduce the vertical differential heating by cooling
warmer parts more than cooler parts (for the surface and atmosphere); also (not
significant within the atmosphere and
ocean in general, but
significant at the interface betwen the surface and the air, and also
significant (in part due to the small heat fluxes involved, viscosity in the crust and somewhat in the mantle (where there are thick boundary layers with superadiabatic lapse rates) and thermal conductivity of the core) in parts of the Earth's interior) temperature changes will cause conduction / diffusion of heat that partly balances the differential heating.
Only the organized TCs take
significant heat out of the
ocean ameliorating global
warming of the
oceans.
But there do seem to be
significant discrepancies in differential rates of
warming between land and
ocean in the three surface data sets.
[Response: I would point out that if you look at the combined
ocean and land data for the tropics (available at the GISS web site), the
ocean (still part of the surface after all) shows
significant and widespread
warming.
Subsidary question: as the
ocean is quite a big part of the climate system, are it's temperature variations sufficiently constraint to corroborate the very interesting conclusion of Gavin's note: «It's interesting to note that
significant solar forcing would have exactly the opposite effect (it would cause a
warming)-- yet another reason to doubt that solar forcing is a
significant factor in recent decades.»
«But it has dampened hopes on the potential of the Southern
Ocean to sequester
significant amounts of carbon dioxide (CO2) and thus mitigate global
warming.»
Lastly, there is
significant independent evidence for
warming in the
oceans, snow cover and sea ice extent changes.
In contrast, current global
warming is occuring in both hemispheres and particularly throughout the world's
oceans, indicating a
significant energy imbalance.
With biased profiles discarded, no
significant warming or cooling is observed in upper -
ocean heat content between 2003 and 2006.
A one - degree global change is
significant because it takes a vast amount of heat to
warm all the
oceans, atmosphere, and land by that much.
This latest research is
significant, because it involves the use of 19 advanced computer climate models, ones that have had the effect of these
warming tongues of the
oceans, built in.
A main control on atmospheric CO2 appears to be the
ocean surface temperature, and remains a possibility that a
significant part of the overall increase of atmospheric CO2 since at least 1958 (start of Mauna Loa observations) simply relflects the gradual
warming of the
oceans as a result of the prolonged period of high solar activity since 1920 (Solanki et al., 2004).
The post (maybe part of the press release) states: «The simulations showed that diminishing Arctic sea ice induced a
significant surface
warming in the Arctic
Ocean /... and cooling over northern North America.
Now if someone were to dsay, as Judith clearly did not although she had many opportunities to do so, that «concurrent with
warming of our
oceans there has been a relatively short - term hiatus in the trend of
significant increase in global surface temperatures,» then I would not have a problem with the logic.
The study concludes
significant correlation to global
warming ocean temperatures continue to increase, and that further studies «this decline will need to be considered in future studies of marine ecosystems, geochemical cycling,
ocean circulation and fisheries.»
** I note that an analysis of
ocean data has shown no
significant warming during the period of 1978 -2000.
As for sea temperatures, they are less
significant for analyzing «global
warming» than estimated total
ocean heat content.
Warm ocean water plays a
significant role in melting glacial ice from below, and a better mapping of Antarctica's and Greenland's landforms beneath the ice suggests that
ocean melting of the glacier fronts may play a more
significant role than previously thought as the ice sheets retreat (under a global
warming scenario).
The thing is that for the World
Ocean to rise any
significant amount then it would need all the frozen fresh water to melt, and even though the fear mongers keep saying this is happening, its not, JP Lovecraft was the flag bearer of the CAGW movement, he coined the word Gaia, he said that mankind would only be able to breed in those areas of the
warm arctic and Antarctic, the rest of us would be dead, he said that and many other scaremongering things but close to the end of his life then he recanted it all, he said that «enough time had passed had passed for the models to be proved correct, and that all that the passing of time had proved was that all the models were not correct» me I think that he did not want to die with his horses still hitched to this faulty wagon.
As discussed in the following section, the absence of
significant warming in the Circumpolar
Ocean of the Southern hemisphere is attributable mainly to the large thermal inertia of the ocean, which results from very effective mixing between the surface layer and the deeper layers of ocean in this re
Ocean of the Southern hemisphere is attributable mainly to the large thermal inertia of the
ocean, which results from very effective mixing between the surface layer and the deeper layers of ocean in this re
ocean, which results from very effective mixing between the surface layer and the deeper layers of
ocean in this re
ocean in this region.
I think
warmer oceans is far more
significant in term of some kind of buffer against cooling.
«There simply isn't enough energy being delivered to the
ocean to cause
significant warming.»
It is not possible to
warm the deep
oceans (below the thermocline) from above in
significant numbers.
We assess the heat content change from both of the long time series (0 to 700 m layer and the 1961 to 2003 period) to be 8.11 ± 0.74 × 1022 J, corresponding to an average
warming of 0.1 °C or 0.14 ± 0.04 W m — 2, and conclude that the available heat content estimates from 1961 to 2003 show a
significant increasing trend in
ocean heat content.
The lack of a statistically
significant warming trend in GMST does not mean that the planet isn't
warming, firstly because GMST doesn't include the
warming of the
oceans (see many posts on
ocean heat content) and secondly because a lack of a statistically
significant warming trend doesn't mean that it isn't
warming, just that it isn't
warming at a sufficiently high rate to rule out the possibility of there being no
warming over that period.
Also, wouldn't there need to be data showing much more
ocean cooling if the AMO PDO were a
significant factor in recent
warming?
The retreat of glaciers and shrinking of the Greenland ice sheet in the Arctic, for example, is predicted to cause
significant sea - level rise, changes in the salinity of our
oceans, and altered feedback loops that will make the Arctic
warm up even faster.
The environmental changes brought on by
ocean acidification could pose a
significant threat to Arctic ecosystems that are already facing challenges from changes in sea ice distribution,
warming and increased freshwater discharge.
If the
oceans can sequester
significant amounts of heat that would otherwise have
warmed Earth and prevented «the pause,» the next questions are «how much» and «how long?
Significant changes in the circulation of the
ocean could likewise impact fisheries in the United States that can be devastated by
warming waters, thereby affecting livelihood and food source.
Personally I don't believe there's any
significant greenhouse
warming going on over the
ocean and failure of ARGO to detect the energy passing through the mixed layer corroborates that.
El Niños result in unusually
warm temperatures in the eastern Pacific
Ocean, and this warmth is
significant enough to elevate overall global temperatures.
Previous research has shown that global
warming will cause changes in
ocean temperatures, sea ice extent, salinity, and oxygen levels, among other impacts, that are likely to lead to
significant shifts in the distribution range and productivity of marine species, the study notes.