The first library that I went to had the Financial Post newspapers on microfilm all the way back to 1972, the very beginning of the last Gold and
Silver bull market.
I've been pounding the table since late January that the third leg of the gold and
silver bull market had started in mid-December.
Not exact matches
Silver's annual average in the final year of the 1970s
bull market was $ 21.79.
Remember, I last worked in the commercial banking and investment industry over a decade ago, when the
bull market for gold and
silver was just getting started and the best gold and
silver mining stocks were soaring in share price.
Gold
Bulls express frustration with the lack of exposure to the obvious and deliberate manipulation of the gold and
silver markets.
These occasions are rather memorable, because they marked the beginning of the biggest
bull market in
silver since the blow - off move of 1979 — 1980.
Clearly,
silver underperformed gold during the first two years of each of the last three cyclical precious - metals
bull markets that occurred within secular
bull markets.
In particular, in gold terms
silver is now almost as cheap as it was in early - 2003 (2 years into the most recent previous
bull market), which means that it is close to its lowest price of the past 20 years.
In summary, history tells us to expect continuing weakness in
silver relative to gold during the first two years of the next precious - metals
bull market (which has possibly just begun), whereas the unusually - depressed current level of the
silver / gold ratio suggests that the historical precedents might not apply this time around.
That is, it's true that
silver has in the past achieved a greater percentage gain than gold from
bull -
market start to
bull -
market end.
It's analysis like this that gives gold and
silver bulls a bad name, because anyone with knowledge of how
markets work will immediately see that it is complete nonsense.
Jason Hamlin is the founder of Gold Stock
Bull and publishes a highly - rated investment newsletter focused on strategies for profiting in the bull markets in gold, silver, energy, agriculture and emerging technolog
Bull and publishes a highly - rated investment newsletter focused on strategies for profiting in the
bull markets in gold, silver, energy, agriculture and emerging technolog
bull markets in gold,
silver, energy, agriculture and emerging technologies.
As long as central banks around the world continue to print money and expand their balance sheets gold and
silver will remain in a long - term
bull market.»
The
silver prices have been very buoyant and the breakout through the $ 17 region should prove to be an important development in this
market as the
bulls try to hold the break and if they manage to, then we should see the prices moving much higher in the medium term.
According to Google Trends, although
silver sentiment has reached levels approaching those not seen since before the metal began its current
bull market in, arguably, 2005, for the search term «
silver,» Google users are still engaging the search term «buy
silver» on a long - term growth trend, with Google even forecasting that the trend will continue its recent uptick.
Interest rates may stay low longer than expected but there's a
silver lining: the bond
bull market may not be dead yet.
But if my timing is wrong and I'm too early on the
bull market call, I can easily lose 80 % of my money first before
silver and USLV bottom.
Silver will go up at least 10x if the
bull market plays out (to e.g. $ 160 - $ 170 an ounce).
Silver will soar much more than gold in a precious metals
bull market.
The gold:
silver ratio should fall over the next few years, which means that precious metals are going up (because
silver always goes up more than gold in a
bull market).
Vermeulen argues regarding gold and
silver (SLV) «the intermediate to longer term it is unlikely that we have seen the highs of this
bull market for either metal.
As long as central banks around the world continue to print money and expand their balance sheets gold and
silver will remain in a long - term
bull market.»
The commodities family (gold,
silver, oil) is in a
bull market.
With
silver at decades - long highs, an obvious question one has to consider is whether this is a bubble ready to burst, a continuation of a secular
bull trend, or simply that this is another efficient
market example where prices do reflect the appropriate value based on all
market information known at this time.
That's why it's better to invest in
silver than gold during a commodities and precious metals
bull market.
The
silver lining for bitcoin
bulls now might be an opportunity to enter the
market at lows that haven't been seen since November 2013, before the cryptocurrency's historic
bull - run.