We are also collaborating with other research groups who are interested in using our simulations to perform
similar attribution studies, for snowmelt in western North America, and heatwaves in South Africa and India.
The result still remains counter-intuitive, and most other
similar attribution studies (like those referenced above) generally estimate between 0.65 and 0.85 °C warming over the past 100 - 150 years.
Not exact matches
I don't see a
similar «point of contact» between models and reality as far as
attribution studies of extreme events are concerned, given that what we need to compare are modeled statistics (which we can always have by making many model runs) and meaningful real statistics, (which are hard to get)?
In another new global warming
attribution study (we will soon do an overview of the results of this and
similar studies), Gillett et al. (2012) perform a number of interesting analyses.
Those
attribution studies, such as Foster & Rahmstorf 2011 and others have aptly noted this, and, though they might not admit it, McKitrick & Tole 2012 are saying something
similar... include the change in the amount of coal burned along with some of the GCM's and you can be much better at having a better model of the surface climate trends.
If discussed as such, the results appear a high outlier relative to
similar - looking
attribution studies.