Surface temperature data shows
a similar pause in warming for the last 10 to 15 years.
Not exact matches
Dr. Swanson: Another question — This prediction of a
pause in the
warming seems somewhat
similar to the prediction of Keenlyside et al., although, as I understand it, theirs is based simply on a direct model prediction (with an attempt, whether successful or not, to use realistic initial conditions
in initializing their model).
It argues that Global Climate Models (GCMs) that show decadal - scale
pauses in surface temperature
warming tend to exhibit sea surface temperature patterns
similar to those of the PDO
in a cold phase.
But «equally likely» is not a basis to say that
warming has stopped — particularly when the past record shows that there have been
similar «
pauses»
in warming, and when the underlying physics haven't changed.