Whereas the appearance of
similar warming events to the 1920 / 30s event at different times, with that warming event not being consistenly present in all ensemble members at the same times is evidence that it was an outcome of internal variability, not a forced response.
Not exact matches
Other researchers have used computer models to estimate what an
event similar to a Maunder Minimum, if it were to occur in coming decades, might mean for our current climate, which is now rapidly
warming.
Connie Woodhouse, a professor at the University of Arizona specializing in the climatology of western North America, said the records indicate that a
similar event could happen in the future, with the added exacerbation of human - induced global
warming.
Last year, Cooper spotted a
similar pattern in North America, with megafauna going extinct during ancient
warming events (which occurred at slightly different times in the Northern Hemisphere).
A proper
warm - up period is 5 to 15 minutes of light walking or trotting on a surface
similar to the
event surface.
As a starting point, we explore what the traces of the Anthropocene will be in millions of years — carbon isotope changes, global
warming, increased sedimentation, spikes in heavy metal concentrations, plastics and more — and then look at previous examples of
similar events in the geological record.
In a
similar way the IPCC have found a
warming climate increases the intensity of some weather
events, and the numbers of others.
«We now have evidence from the Earth's history that a
similar event happened fifty - five million years ago when a geological accident released into the air more than a terraton of gaseous carbon compounds... we have already put more than half this quantity of carbon gas into the air... and as a consequence the Earth is now returning to the hot state it was in before, millions of years ago, and as it
warms, most living things will die.»
The implication is that
events such as the early century
warming are not as significant as when the a
warming of
similar magnitude is seen in the zonal mean profile at lower latitudes»
But with the shift in the Southern Oscillation from El Nino to La Nina and the long - term effects of global
warming starting to become apparent, we can expect more severe cyclones for at least the next few years, and a general increase in the severity of storms and
similar events.
Ultimately, we show that present temperature abnormalities are given undue weight and lead to an overestimation of the frequency of
similar past
events, thereby increasing belief in and concern for global
warming.
Sorry paper gets a bit fat ZERO due this statement (below) obviously forced on anyone trying to get something worthwhile published in that garbage Journal NATURE «though
similar decadal hiatus
events may occur in the future, the multi-decadal
warming trend is very likely to continue with greenhouse gas increase.»
P.S. «Although
similar decadal hiatus
events may occur in the future, the multi-decadal
warming trend is very likely to continue with greenhouse gas increase.»
The «
warming period» was, like
similar events in the Bronze Age and Roman Empire times, just a moderate
warming of around 0.5 ºC.
This down - and - up
event, called the Younger Dryas, is only the most recent of dozens of
similar flips between
warm - and - wet to cool - and - dry, usually recurring every several thousand years.
The δ18O of M. californianus showed a different pattern, with midden and modern shells having
similar means, while the archival shells had a lower mean δ18O (Fig 2a, ANOVA and Tukey HSD, F2, 289 = 11.77, p < 0.001), perhaps recording
warming during the 1983 — 1984 ENSO
event.
This result means more than a doubling of strong hurricanes for every °C of
warming,
similar to that of Grinsted et al. (2 — 7 times more Katrina - like
events), though a bit lower.
If one had to develop a fictional narrative to accompany scientific projections of a
warming world, perhaps the writers might have come up with a story of extreme weather
events similar to what we have seen over the past month.
The models heavily relied upon by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) had not projected this multidecadal stasis in «global
warming»; nor (until trained ex post facto) the fall in TS from 1940 - 1975; nor 50 years» cooling in Antarctica (Doran et al., 2002) and the Arctic (Soon, 2005); nor the absence of ocean
warming since 2003 (Lyman et al., 2006; Gouretski & Koltermann, 2007); nor the onset, duration, or intensity of the Madden - Julian intraseasonal oscillation, the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation in the tropical stratosphere, El Nino / La Nina oscillations, the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, or the Pacific Decadal Oscillation that has recently transited from its
warming to its cooling phase (oceanic oscillations which, on their own, may account for all of the observed
warmings and coolings over the past half - century: Tsoniset al., 2007); nor the magnitude nor duration of multi-century
events such as the Mediaeval
Warm Period or the Little Ice Age; nor the cessation since 2000 of the previously - observed growth in atmospheric methane concentration (IPCC, 2007); nor the active 2004 hurricane season; nor the inactive subsequent seasons; nor the UK flooding of 2007 (the Met Office had forecast a summer of prolonged droughts only six weeks previously); nor the solar Grand Maximum of the past 70 years, during which the Sun was more active, for longer, than at almost any
similar period in the past 11,400 years (Hathaway, 2004; Solankiet al., 2005); nor the consequent surface «global
warming» on Mars, Jupiter, Neptune's largest moon, and even distant Pluto; nor the eerily - continuing 2006 solar minimum; nor the consequent, precipitate decline of ~ 0.8 °C in TS from January 2007 to May 2008 that has canceled out almost all of the observed
warming of the 20th century.
Although it ended by something
similar to a DO
warming, the YD is somewhat special and could have a unique explanation different from the regular DO
events.
«For example, one can quantify the odds of a typical heatwave happening and estimate how much a
warmer world would load the dice toward the more frequent occurrence of a
similar event.