Sentences with phrase «simple energy balance model»

As we said in the paper there is a huge gulf between the original simple energy balance model from Budyko and the one we use.
What I hear Gavin saying is that the complex models aren't really the basis for the 3 - 4 degrees but much simpler energy balance models and empirical evidence from paleoclimate.
But we also speak of «forcing» and «feedback» when emulating GCMs with simple energy balance models.
The former goes out on a limb; the latter should be easy to demonstrate as a statistical exercise with a simple energy balance model.
Terry: As far as I know you can recreate the IPCC uncertainty range for a response to CO2 doubling by using a simple energy balance model.
With reference to the «simple Energy Balance Model»; Why is there no arrow showing the reflection of the incoming insolation at the boundary with Ta?
We employed two different climate model simulations: (1) the simulation of the NCAR CSM 1.4 coupled atmosphere - ocean General Circulation Model (GCM) analyzed by Ammann et al (2007) and (2) simulations of a simple Energy Balance Model (EBM).
The study finds significant differences between the three assessments and also finds that the independent assessments of forcing and climate sensitivity within AR5 are not consistent if one assumes the simple energy balance model to be a perfect description of reality.
Of course, how much we warm in reality will vary with latitude and be much more complex than a simple energy balance model can possibly indicate.
Robock used a simple energy balance model to investigate how various forcings, both natural and anthropogenic, may have influenced global temperatures from about the 1880s to the 1960s.
Even if the climate system really was a simple energy balance model, the estimation method gives highly inaccurate and strongly biased answers anyway!
They used a simple energy balance model.
Axel Kleidon and Maik Renner of the Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry in Jena, Germany, used a simple energy balance model to determine how sensitive the water cycle is to an increase in surface temperature due to a stronger greenhouse effect and to an increase in solar radiation.
An array of climate models is used to quantify expectations in this way, ranging from simple energy balance models to models of intermediate complexity to comprehensive coupled climate models (Chapter 8) such as those that contributed to the multi-model data set (MMD) archive at the Program for Climate Model Diagnosis and Intercomparison (PCMDI).
We show that this occurs in spite of a decline in radiative forcing that exceeds the decline in ocean heat uptake — a circumstance that would otherwise be expected to lead to a decline in global temperature when using the simple energy balance model described in the post.
Given that those projections were done with a simple energy balance model though, it would be trivial to add Pinatubo in as an extra forcing and see what difference it made.
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