The bars show the range of
simple model results in 2100.
The bars show the range of
simple model results in 2100 for the seven AOGCM model tunings.
If you assume
the simple model result comes from skill rather than luck then it would suggest GMT is almost exclusively governed by thermodynamics.
Not exact matches
The
results are consistent with a
simple experience good
model where biomedical misconceptions decrease consumers» ability to infer quality, which retailers exploit by selling lower quality medicines.»
We believe that its significant capital base and relatively
simple business
model should enable Wells Fargo to continue to produce strong
results.
CDR --- your projection for your end
result is probably correct.The wealth of switzerland will be the value of its international portfolio.If it is so easy why doesn't everyone do this.It is similar to the perpetual money machine of the U.S. Fed — they build a massive balance sheet of U.S. treasury debt and then clip the coupons and pass the «earnings» back to the Treasury filling the gap of an ever expanding deficit.Following the Swiss
model the Treasury should just issue more debt and sell it to the FED and collect the annual interest income —
simple
Time for some brutal honesty... this team, as it stands, is in no better position to compete next season than they were 12 months ago, minus the fact that some fans have been easily snowed by the acquisition of Lacazette, the free transfer LB and the release of Sanogo... if you look at the facts carefully you will see a team that still has far more questions than answers... to better show what I mean by this statement I will briefly discuss the current state of affairs on a position - by - position basis... in goal we have 4 potential candidates, but in reality we have only 1 option with any real future and somehow he's the only one we have actively tried to get rid of for years because he and his father were a little too involved on social media and he got caught smoking (funny how people still defend Wiltshire under the same and far worse circumstances)... you would think we would want to keep any goaltender that Juventus had interest in, as they seem to have a pretty good history when it comes to that position... as far as the defenders on our current roster there are only a few individuals whom have the skill and / or youth worthy of our time and / or investment, as such we should get rid of anyone who doesn't meet those
simple requirements, which means we should get rid of DeBouchy, Gibbs, Gabriel, Mertz and loan out Chambers to see if last seasons foray with Middlesborough was an anomaly or a prediction of things to come... some fans have lamented wildly about the return of Mertz to the starting lineup due to his FA Cup performance but these sort of pie in the sky meanderings are indicative of what's wrong with this club and it's wishy - washy fan - base... in addition to these moves the club should aggressively pursue the acquisition of dominant and mobile CB to stabilize an all too fragile defensive group that has self - destructed on numerous occasions over the past 5 seasons... moving forward and building on our need to re-establish our once dominant presence throughout the middle of the park we need to target a CDM then do whatever it takes to get that player into the fold without any of the usual nickel and diming we have become famous for (this kind of ruthless haggling has cost us numerous special players and certainly can't help make the player in question feel good about the way their future potential employer feels about them)... in order for us to become dominant again we need to be strong up the middle again from Goalkeeper to CB to DM to ACM to striker, like we did in our most glorious years before and during Wenger's reign... with this in mind, if we want Ozil to be that dominant attacking midfielder we can't keep leaving him exposed to constant ridicule about his lack of defensive prowess and provide him with the proper players in the final third... he was never a good defensive player in Real or with the German National squad and they certainly didn't suffer as a
result of his presence on the pitch... as for the rest of the midfield the blame falls squarely in the hands of Wenger and Gazidis, the fact that Ramsey, Ox, Sanchez and even Ozil were allowed to regularly start when none of the aforementioned had more than a year left under contract is criminal for a club of this size and financial might... the fact that we could find money for Walcott and Xhaka, who weren't even guaranteed starters, means that our whole business
model needs a complete overhaul... for me it's time to get rid of some serious deadweight, even if it means selling them below what you believe their market value is just to simply right this ship and change the stagnant culture that currently exists... this means saying goodbye to Wiltshire, Elneny, Carzola, Walcott and Ramsey... everyone, minus Elneny, have spent just as much time on the training table as on the field of play, which would be manageable if they weren't so inconsistent from a performance standpoint (excluding Carzola, who is like the recent version of Rosicky — too bad, both will be deeply missed)... in their places we need to bring in some proven performers with no history of injuries... up front, although I do like the possibilities that a player like Lacazette presents, the fact that we had to wait so many years to acquire some true quality at the striker position falls once again squarely at the feet of Wenger... this issue highlights the ultimate scam being perpetrated by this club since the arrival of Kroenke: pretend your a small market club when it comes to making purchases but milk your fans like a big market club when it comes to ticket prices and merchandising... I believe the reason why Wenger hasn't pursued someone of Henry's quality, minus a fairly inexpensive RVP, was that he knew that they would demand players of a similar ilk to be brought on board and that wasn't possible when the business
model was that of a «selling» club... does it really make sense that we could only make a cheeky bid for Suarez, or that we couldn't get Higuain over the line when he was being offered up for half the price he eventually went to Juve for, or that we've only paid any interest to strikers who were clearly not going to press their current teams to let them go to Arsenal like Benzema or Cavani... just part of the facade that finally came crashing down when Sanchez finally called their bluff... the fact remains that no one wants to win more than Sanchez, including Wenger, and although I don't agree with everything that he has done off the field, I would much rather have Alexis front and center than a manager who has clearly bought into the Kroenke
model in large part due to the fact that his enormous ego suggests that only he could accomplish great things without breaking the bank... unfortunately that isn't possible anymore as the game has changed quite dramatically in the last 15 years, which has left a largely complacent and complicit Wenger on the outside looking in... so don't blame those players who demanded more and were left wanting... don't blame those fans who have tried desperately to raise awareness for several years when cracks began to appear... place the blame at the feet of those who were well aware all along of the potential pitfalls of just such a plan but continued to follow it even when it was no longer a financial necessity, like it ever really was...
Two years ago I developed a
simple statistical
model that tries to predict the outcome of general elections from local election
results.
In short, for a very
simple model, it fits the data remarkably well, explaining 88.5 % of the variance in English by - election
results (an R2 of 0.885 in stats parlance).
«This conclusion is the
result of us using a
model that was far too focused on reseach tractability and a method that was too
simple,» says Emil Björnson.
In past studies, scientists using
simple 1D
models of Earth would have found that 16 high - voltage electrical transmission lines were disturbed in the mid-Atlantic region during the storm,
resulting in the blackout.
The researchers are now working with other collaborators to benchmark their experimental
results against numerical simulations of the plating process in
simple model systems.
People who are open - minded are beginning to realise that the
results of our paper are beautiful:
simple mathematical
models based on standard natural selection are sufficient to explain the evolution of eusociality or other phenomena in social evolution.
According to study co-author Larry J. Young of Emory University, the
results provide evidence in a comparatively
simple animal
model that changes in the activity of a single gene profoundly can change a fundamental social behavior of animals within a species.
The researchers, including postgraduate students Miaolin Chen at Shanghai Jiao Tong University and Deborah Devis at the University of Adelaide's Waite campus, performed a genome - wide analysis of potential pollen allergens in two
model plants, Arabidopsis thaliana (thale cress) and rice by comparing those
results among 25 species of plants ranging from
simple alga to complex flowering plants.
Swapping out coal for natural gas in a
simple model would cut greenhouse gas emissions, a
result many people expected to see.
They used these factors to derive a
simple model for
resulting temperature change caused by the carbon dioxide and methane released by a particular plant.
That
result quickly faded as theorists found a
simple math mistake in the standard
model prediction (Science, 21 December 2001, p. 2449).
The HMS study challenges the traditional, decades - old
model, which proposes that making a
simple spatial decision is the
result of an outright competition between two or more distinct neural pathways, with one signal prevailing to suppress the others.
Having said that, Prof. Schlesinger's comments refer to
results in his very
simple model, which is not a full GCM.
A comparison of
results obtained with both methods shows that a
simple two - dimensional linear - elasticity
model is able to reproduce quantitatively the low - frequency part of the band structure obtained from computationally much more demanding molecular dynamics simulations of a three - dimensional atomistic
model.
When you apply a statistical method to a complex
model, you'd want to first check that the method gives sensible
results on
simple models.
Another approach uses the response of climate
models, most often simple climate models or Earth System Models of Intermediate Complexity (EMICs, Table 8.3) to explore the range of forcings and climate parameters that yield results consistent with observations (Andronova and Schlesinger, 2001; Forest et al., 2002; Harvey and Kaufmann, 2002; Knutti et al., 2002, 2003; Forest et al.,
models, most often
simple climate
models or Earth System Models of Intermediate Complexity (EMICs, Table 8.3) to explore the range of forcings and climate parameters that yield results consistent with observations (Andronova and Schlesinger, 2001; Forest et al., 2002; Harvey and Kaufmann, 2002; Knutti et al., 2002, 2003; Forest et al.,
models or Earth System
Models of Intermediate Complexity (EMICs, Table 8.3) to explore the range of forcings and climate parameters that yield results consistent with observations (Andronova and Schlesinger, 2001; Forest et al., 2002; Harvey and Kaufmann, 2002; Knutti et al., 2002, 2003; Forest et al.,
Models of Intermediate Complexity (EMICs, Table 8.3) to explore the range of forcings and climate parameters that yield
results consistent with observations (Andronova and Schlesinger, 2001; Forest et al., 2002; Harvey and Kaufmann, 2002; Knutti et al., 2002, 2003; Forest et al., 2006).
The
model is smart and
simple: Enthusiastic, experienced instructors plus a heart - rate monitored cardio and strength session equals max
results in just an hour.
On the basis of these survey
results, we created three measures: (1) the principal's overall assessment of the teacher's effectiveness, which is a single item from the survey; (2) the teacher's ability to improve student academic performance, which is a
simple average of the organization, classroom management, reading achievement, and math achievement survey items; and (3) the teacher's ability to increase student satisfaction, which is a
simple average of the role
model and student satisfaction survey items.
Some researchers have compared the
results obtained from complex statistical
models with those obtained from much
simpler models.
It must
result from the failure of
simple models to fully control for differences among the students taught by different teachers.
In fact, after a
simple Google search, one can find the
results of a somewhat similar
model that was implemented on a regional basis in California through Special Education Local Planning Areas (SELPA).
As such, the X1 avoided the complication and bloat that BMW builds into so many of its
models these days and offered a
simpler, more connected driving experience as a
result.
The S
models were essentially road - going versions of the XJ220 - C racer, and as a
result featured a much
simpler race - orientated interior with kevlar seats and the removal of the leather trim.
The original Nook
Simple Touch had suffered from contrast issues, and that
model got a firmware update in November 2011 that greatly improved the contrast of text and graphics; as a
result, blacks appeared darker, and text and graphics jumped off the screen.
So whether you're a newbie just starting to build a portfolio or a veteran investor looking to improve
results in a challenging market like today's, ignore the complicated - is - better
model that passes for wisdom on Wall Street and instead follow these three tips for creating a
simple - but - sophisticated investing strategy.
The
result of these tweaks and upgrades is
simple; F1 2011's handling
model is absolutely brilliant, allowing for on - the - limit racing and plenty of fun.
Regarding all these hypotheticals of Earth - ssytem timescale feedbacks, etc - before
results are brought forward with high confidence and reach a level of minimal academic disagreement, they should be understood physically, be exhibited in a range of
models from
simple to complex, begin to emerge in observations against natural variability, are shown to be robust to methodological choices and interpretation, and are borne out paleoclimatically.
If the mathematics of
simple climate
models fail to provide us with robust solutions and if the arithmatic of complex climate
models produce similar outcomes (roughly the same
results but still non-robust), why not solve the climate issue with philosophy.
Three IPCC climate
models, recent NASA Aqua satellite data, and a
simple 3 - layer climate
model are used together to demonstrate that the IPCC climate
models are far too sensitive,
resulting in their prediction of too much global warming in response to anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions.
On a multi-century time - scale,
results of
simple models based on well - known carbon chemistry show that the ocean should take up 70 - 80 % of all the anthropogenic CO2 emitted to the atmosphere (22).
Interestingly, our
results are actually pretty consistent with a lot of the recent literature on sensitivity: All studies comparing
simple models with recent climate change (from Andronova and Schlesinger, 2001, onwards) find high sensitivities (more than 8K, say) are consistent (at the few - percent level) with the observed record unless they are ruled out a priori.
I would guess that you would get 90 percent of the intuition and
results out of a very
simple model.
Similar
results can be found in
simple models (Crowley, 2000) and in more up to date
models (Meehl et al, 2004).
Another example would be to explain why Arrhenius, who as a Swede was reportedly in favor of a little warming, obtained ECS
results from his
simple, laboriously hand - calculated
model of CO2 - driven global warming that are only a factor of two higher than estimates by the current ensemble of coupled GCMs.
In many cases this is true, but some
results (like lapse rate) derive from
simple physics built into the
models (this doesn't mean it's correct, but means the implications are greater if it is wrong).
I give Romps et al lots of credit for stepping away from
simple equilibrium concepts, and I think that their
modeling approach has merit apart from the particular
result concerning lightning strike rate.
This paper published in 1974, is similar to previous
results from a much
simpler model done by Plass in the late 1950's.
The current press campaign against Dr Soon began after he had co-authored a paper titled Why
models run hot:
results from an irreducibly
simple climate
model, published in January 2015 in China's leading learned journal of scientific research, the Science Bulletin of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, co-sponsored by the National Natural Science Foundation of China.
Experiments with coupled ocean - atmosphere general circulation
models (which represent the complexity of the climate system much more realistically than this
simple model) give similar
results.
That's the journal that published «Why
models run hot:
results from an irreducibly
simple climate
model» for Monckton, Soon, & Legates.
Authors concludes that — to the extent that we have
simple plausible physical arguments that support the
model consensus — we believe that one should have nearly as much confidence in these
results as one has in the increase in temperature itself
BBD said, «Schlesinger's
model is too
simple to yield valuable
results.
The dark blue shading represents the envelope of the full set of 35 SRES scenarios using the
simple model ensemble mean
results.