Sentences with phrase «simple models show»

If this is the case, then one must answer some fundamental questions, such as why do simple models show much more warming in the last century than was actually observed?

Not exact matches

A simple stock pricing model shows that the impact of a corporate tax cut from 35 percent to 21 percent yields a one - time increase in equity values of 21.54 percent.

In this post, I'm going to show you how to use these simple inputs to ballpark your business model and test whether it's worth pursuing.

These computer simulations of an abstract model (closely related to the features which characterize self - organizing chemical and biological systems) clearly show that the origin of intrinsic capacity for self - definition can be understood in detail, at least in relatively simple cases.

Time for some brutal honesty... this team, as it stands, is in no better position to compete next season than they were 12 months ago, minus the fact that some fans have been easily snowed by the acquisition of Lacazette, the free transfer LB and the release of Sanogo... if you look at the facts carefully you will see a team that still has far more questions than answers... to better show what I mean by this statement I will briefly discuss the current state of affairs on a position - by - position basis... in goal we have 4 potential candidates, but in reality we have only 1 option with any real future and somehow he's the only one we have actively tried to get rid of for years because he and his father were a little too involved on social media and he got caught smoking (funny how people still defend Wiltshire under the same and far worse circumstances)... you would think we would want to keep any goaltender that Juventus had interest in, as they seem to have a pretty good history when it comes to that position... as far as the defenders on our current roster there are only a few individuals whom have the skill and / or youth worthy of our time and / or investment, as such we should get rid of anyone who doesn't meet those simple requirements, which means we should get rid of DeBouchy, Gibbs, Gabriel, Mertz and loan out Chambers to see if last seasons foray with Middlesborough was an anomaly or a prediction of things to come... some fans have lamented wildly about the return of Mertz to the starting lineup due to his FA Cup performance but these sort of pie in the sky meanderings are indicative of what's wrong with this club and it's wishy - washy fan - base... in addition to these moves the club should aggressively pursue the acquisition of dominant and mobile CB to stabilize an all too fragile defensive group that has self - destructed on numerous occasions over the past 5 seasons... moving forward and building on our need to re-establish our once dominant presence throughout the middle of the park we need to target a CDM then do whatever it takes to get that player into the fold without any of the usual nickel and diming we have become famous for (this kind of ruthless haggling has cost us numerous special players and certainly can't help make the player in question feel good about the way their future potential employer feels about them)... in order for us to become dominant again we need to be strong up the middle again from Goalkeeper to CB to DM to ACM to striker, like we did in our most glorious years before and during Wenger's reign... with this in mind, if we want Ozil to be that dominant attacking midfielder we can't keep leaving him exposed to constant ridicule about his lack of defensive prowess and provide him with the proper players in the final third... he was never a good defensive player in Real or with the German National squad and they certainly didn't suffer as a result of his presence on the pitch... as for the rest of the midfield the blame falls squarely in the hands of Wenger and Gazidis, the fact that Ramsey, Ox, Sanchez and even Ozil were allowed to regularly start when none of the aforementioned had more than a year left under contract is criminal for a club of this size and financial might... the fact that we could find money for Walcott and Xhaka, who weren't even guaranteed starters, means that our whole business model needs a complete overhaul... for me it's time to get rid of some serious deadweight, even if it means selling them below what you believe their market value is just to simply right this ship and change the stagnant culture that currently exists... this means saying goodbye to Wiltshire, Elneny, Carzola, Walcott and Ramsey... everyone, minus Elneny, have spent just as much time on the training table as on the field of play, which would be manageable if they weren't so inconsistent from a performance standpoint (excluding Carzola, who is like the recent version of Rosicky — too bad, both will be deeply missed)... in their places we need to bring in some proven performers with no history of injuries... up front, although I do like the possibilities that a player like Lacazette presents, the fact that we had to wait so many years to acquire some true quality at the striker position falls once again squarely at the feet of Wenger... this issue highlights the ultimate scam being perpetrated by this club since the arrival of Kroenke: pretend your a small market club when it comes to making purchases but milk your fans like a big market club when it comes to ticket prices and merchandising... I believe the reason why Wenger hasn't pursued someone of Henry's quality, minus a fairly inexpensive RVP, was that he knew that they would demand players of a similar ilk to be brought on board and that wasn't possible when the business model was that of a «selling» club... does it really make sense that we could only make a cheeky bid for Suarez, or that we couldn't get Higuain over the line when he was being offered up for half the price he eventually went to Juve for, or that we've only paid any interest to strikers who were clearly not going to press their current teams to let them go to Arsenal like Benzema or Cavani... just part of the facade that finally came crashing down when Sanchez finally called their bluff... the fact remains that no one wants to win more than Sanchez, including Wenger, and although I don't agree with everything that he has done off the field, I would much rather have Alexis front and center than a manager who has clearly bought into the Kroenke model in large part due to the fact that his enormous ego suggests that only he could accomplish great things without breaking the bank... unfortunately that isn't possible anymore as the game has changed quite dramatically in the last 15 years, which has left a largely complacent and complicit Wenger on the outside looking in... so don't blame those players who demanded more and were left wanting... don't blame those fans who have tried desperately to raise awareness for several years when cracks began to appear... place the blame at the feet of those who were well aware all along of the potential pitfalls of just such a plan but continued to follow it even when it was no longer a financial necessity, like it ever really was...

But I tried to avoid any discussion of whether it is or is not a good idea for voters to select based on religion by considering simply «a class that shares an opinion on any particular issue», and show that this simple model was already enough to explain non-proportional representation, before discussing any more complex model.

We show how a simple model can achieve this short amount of inflation in the early universe and account for the amount of dark matter we believe is out there.»

The UI study showed that adding thermometer data, which captures clinically relevant symptoms (temperature) likely even before a person goes to the doctor, to simple forecasting models, improved predictions of flu activity.

«Using simple forecasting models, we showed that thermometer data could be effectively used to predict influenza levels up to two to three weeks into the future.

«But what this shows is that simple affective reactions to helping and harming are sufficient to model group formation.»

The simple 2D Ising model, shown schematically on the left, can be made equivalent to any other more complicated spin model, such as those on the right.

They have developed a simple mathematical model that has helped them show how turbulent flows will evolve over intervals.

That simple fact shows not only the scale and power of a tropical cyclone, but the difficulty of modeling and forecasting its potential for coastal flooding on the fine scale needed to most effectively prepare a response.

While there is no simple «cure» for racism or other biases, «the research shows that integration of different sensory signals can allow the brain to update its model of the body and cause people to change their attitudes about others,» says Professor Slater.

A simple formula that describes the initial deformation of a droplet as it hits a solid surface is likely to help to model droplet behavior in a variety of different contexts, shows new research by A * STAR.

Gütig's model of aggregate - label learning could be used to streamline technologies such as automatic speech recognition by phones or processing of simple text to create subtitles for TV shows.

The CTD sections show that the deeper layers are also warmer and slightly saltier and the observed sea level can be explained by steric expansion over the upper 2000 m. ENSO variability impacts on the northern part of the section, and a simple Sverdrup transport model shows how large - scale changes in the wind forcing, related to the Southern Annular Mode, may contribute to the deeper warming to the south.

A comparison of results obtained with both methods shows that a simple two - dimensional linear - elasticity model is able to reproduce quantitatively the low - frequency part of the band structure obtained from computationally much more demanding molecular dynamics simulations of a three - dimensional atomistic model.

We previously showed that a simple linear ensemble - coding model of the SC motor map could fully account for the nonlinear properties of saccades [33].

Finally, we show how the tools we developed can be combined to solve ranked conjunctive and disjunctive multi-term queries under the simple [Formula: see text] model of relevance.

Sure, there are quite a few shows where the models don't wear makeup and their hair is thrown back into a simple ponytail, but for every show with snoozy beauty looks, there are three more that make you do a double take.

Irina Shayk: Showing an incredible amount of restraint, the model, who's known to wear many embellished gowns slit to the thigh, opted for a simple yet chic Misha Nonoo jumpsuit on this occasion.

When building routines for simple tasks like gathering materials, self - starting new tasks, taking risks, and rebounding from mistakes, I use Responsive Classroom's interactive modeling, a widely accepted practice for not only showing students how to perform routines, but also helping them understand why such routines are important.

This presentation informs you what Google Tour Creator is and I have created a simple model that can be used to show pupils as an example.

He uses a simple model of an administrator tasked with identifying high - quality teachers to show that empirical Bayes estimators, the most popular method to estimate teacher effectiveness for use in incentive (typically bonus) schemes, do not necessarily make the best use of available information as they are typically implemented.

Our research, which includes many detailed examples and tips for building a stronger learning culture, is built around a simple model (shown below).

3 - Making Drops of Rain: You students will build a simple model to show how raindrops form in the atmosphere Lab.

Still, we are not prepared, based on a single study and a simple path model, to discount the importance of the emotional side of leadership, which has been shown in studies in industry as well as education to have powerful effects on the way in which people engage with their work.

The second regression model shows that adding professional community to the simple instruction - achievement model barely raises the percentage of variance explained.

The blue dots show the cost per pupil in random schools; the red line shows the limitations of a simple funding model.

Finally, they show that the value added from simpler models is more strongly related to the background characteristics of the teachers» classes than the value added from more complex models.

The switchgear is now showing its age, particularly since Audi launched newer models like the A4 (now offering neat touches like the Virtual Cockpit display), but at least the quality is still good and the overall design still works well; Audi kept things commendably simple with the A1 and S1's cabin.

Dacia, one of the brands very famous for offering customers who consider a car as just a means of transportation a simple practical vehicle at a killer pricing has brought its new model, the Lodgy at the 2012 Geneva International Motor Show.

It even shows the savings of the two stage model over the simple model.

These are shown with the characters» 3D models rather than simple avatars.

He saw a simple project in the works showing a boxer with about ten frames of animations that utilized computer modeling techniques.

With the opening fast approaching, Kertess and Matthew Yokobosky began to huddle over three simple pieces of white foamcore that were as close to a model as the show ever had.

Regarding all these hypotheticals of Earth - ssytem timescale feedbacks, etc - before results are brought forward with high confidence and reach a level of minimal academic disagreement, they should be understood physically, be exhibited in a range of models from simple to complex, begin to emerge in observations against natural variability, are shown to be robust to methodological choices and interpretation, and are borne out paleoclimatically.

The model in F&R is elegantly simple and does a good job of showing that a linear trend due to CO2 + a few forcings that we know to be operant and important are sufficient to explain most of the variability in all of the temperature datasets.

In this simple model, the steady perturbation changes the climate in a highly linear manner — increasing r again to 30 would add the same change on top of that shown for 26 to 28, and r = 27 would sit half - way between the cases shown.

On a multi-century time - scale, results of simple models based on well - known carbon chemistry show that the ocean should take up 70 - 80 % of all the anthropogenic CO2 emitted to the atmosphere (22).

To make matters more difficult, even a simple mechanistic model (AFRC Wheat) containing good science in it sub-modules, struggles if fed less than perfect data : http://www.nottingham.ac.uk/environmental-modelling/Roger%20Payne.pdf Given the imperfect nature of real - world data, could AFRC wheat ever be shown to be wrong?

With reference to the «simple Energy Balance Model»; Why is there no arrow showing the reflection of the incoming insolation at the boundary with Ta?

A simple diffusive ocean model would be more appropriate as has been shown by many studies of the mixing of tracers or of anthropogenic carbon dioxide in the ocean.

Fig. 2 shows predictions with a simple model that predicts the number of tropical cyclones (NTC and n) in the North Atlantic based on the area of warm sea surface (A) and the NINO3.4 index.

I've been using the solar flux and planck's law and ground heat conductivity and capacitance to build a (very simple) «climate» simulation model that showed the energy exchanges over a day.

... the two biogeochemists at Jena report in the journal Earth System Dynamics that they used a simple energy balance model to show that the world doesn't work like that.

Psychological research shows that people often use simple, familiar mental models as analogies for complex phenomena.

The bars show the range of simple model results in 2100 for the seven AOGCM model tunings.

Figure B shows the response of the same simple model to the lowest of the emissions scenarios considered in 1992 by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).