Not exact matches
The stock is well above its 200 - week
simple moving average at $ 630.66 and has been above this «
reversion to the
mean» since the March 2009 low, when the average was $ 55.92.
Valuation - based tactical asset allocation has proven very hard
to execute over time, for a
simple reason: Asset - class valuations do not exhibit much
mean reversion.
In additon
to outperforming most of his peers, his qaurterly letter reveal him
to be a smart quantitative investor, who relies on the
simple mathematical concept of
mean reversion.
A
simple way
to stay patient when entering a trade is
to use a
mean reversion tool like the 10 and 20 EMAs.
At the
simplest level, Hussman's arguments are about
mean reversion of earnings yields, something that even diehard bulls like Siegel admit
to.
Unlike in the case of the
simple return or the return relative
to the market, we do not find
mean reversion in performance once we control for manager peer - group performance.
There is a
simple statistical rule —
reversion to the
mean — that suggests that the energy gain in the 20th century from this system will be reversed over centuries
to come.