This is unfortunate for sportsbooks
since public bettors love taking Tiger, but now those bets have been refunded.
However,
since public bettors almost always take the over, I'm sure oddsmakers are getting fed up.
Not exact matches
Minnesota hasn't received more than 69 % of spread bets
since hiring Zimmer, which is amazing considering they have played against many teams that are typically avoided by
public bettors including Miami, Oakland, Tampa Bay and Tennessee.
These artificially inflated lines have historically created value for opportunistic contrarian
bettors since they're getting a better line purely based on the
public perception.
Since Georgia Tech is receiving overwhelming
public support and are ranked 20th in the most recent AP poll, Duke could be offering value to
bettors this weekend.
Since the start of the 2005 season, the majority of
public bettors have taken the underdog in just 22.65 % of all college basketball games.
Since there's limited
public money in the marketplace, sharp
bettors are mainly responsible for moving lines.
Overs: 38 - 25 (just 4 - 8
since Round of 32 when betting tickets for O / U really increase) Majority of
public bettors has been on the Over in 60 of 64 games
Since the general
public believes that underdogs coming off a loss would offer value to
bettors, we hypothesized that the exact opposite would be true.
Since sportsbooks know that they will receive
public money on the favorite in nearly every game, many
bettors believe that it's best to wait until the last moment before placing a wager on the underdog.
Since we already knew that a majority of
public bettors routinely take ranked teams against ranked opposition, I believed that we could exploit this tendency by focusing on heavily bet games where shading would be more prevalent.
Since 2003, a majority of
public bettors have taken the over in 86.64 % of all regular season games.
Public bettors also must like the fact that Auburn has looked very impressive
since losing to Clemson, earning blowout wins over Ole Miss, Mississippi State, and Missouri in SEC conference play.
Bettors have been steadily pounding Golden State
since the line opened on Wednesday afternoon, which makes it look like
public money is solely responsible for this 2 - point line move.
Since a majority of
public bets will take the favorite in most games,
bettors looking to take the underdog can simply wait until the line has been artificially inflated and place their wager at a more favorable number.
Since oddsmakers can easily anticipate this one - sided action on the Cubs, they typically respond by shading their opening lines and forcing
public bettors to take a bad number.
Typically I would encourage
bettors to fade the
public, especially in these heavily bet playoff games, but
bettors need to pursue other contrarian strategies
since both teams are receiving roughly half of
public support.
Since a majority of
bettors are long - term losers, we have found a betting edge when betting against the
public in the NFL.
Since 2005, Major League Baseball has arguably been the best sport for Betting Against the
Public and the first half of the 2012 season was certainly no different, earning
bettors +26.55 units.
This could be partially due to
public money
since 81 % of spread
bettors have taken the Pack.
The Patriots are still listed as 3.5 - point favorites at Pinnacle despite this lopsided
public betting, however,
bettors should be sure to shop for the best line
since many oddsmakers are hanging New England -3.
Since 2003, the majority of
public bettors have taken the under in just 11.8 % of regular season games and 7.2 % of playoff games which makes this an incredibly rare occurrence.
Clearly
bettors are being affected by the Vikings surprising loss to the Bears in Monday night's nationally televised game, as they are receiving their lowest level of
public support
since Week 2 against the Packers.
However, their early season success hasn't attracted
public bettors toward them
since that Arizona game.
Since square
bettors typically overreact to recent events, one of the easiest ways to take advantage of
public perception is by taking teams following a loss or fading teams following a win.
In fact, past research found that a majority of
public bettors have backed the favorite in more than 80 % of all NFL regular season games
since the start of the 2003 season.
Since this article was initially published on Tuesday,
public betting has started to even out and the percentage of spread
bettors taking Carolina has dipped from 73 % to 70 %.
The
public backed Tampa against Chicago (65 % of spread tickets) and their following game vs. Minnesota (76 %), but
bettors haven't shown the Bucs much love
since, as they've closed with the majority of tickets in just one other game this season (56 % vs. Arizona in Week 6).
Since oddsmakers can easily predict this behavior, sportsbooks react by shading their lines and forcing
public bettors to lay extra points when betting on favorites and overs.
Since the start of the 2003 season, the majority of
public bettors have taken the over in 86.6 % of all regular season games.
Since most of the teams at the top of the standings have been there all season long,
public bettors feel good about putting some cash down on them and sportsbooks are juicing up the lines big time.
The majority of
public bettors (57 %) are taking big underdog Seattle to win straight up, but their odds have drifted from +355 to +411
since opening.
Since 2005, NBA road teams have gone 7,053 - 6,776 ATS (51.0 %) and that record improves tremendously when they're being ignored by
public bettors.
Often bargains can be found on series plays where you're laying -400 or greater,
since these types of bets mainly attract underdog money from
public bettors.
Getting 78 % of spread tickets and 85 % of spread dollars, Georgia has been attracting
public bettors since it opened as a 2.5 - point favorite.
Why the
public loves OKC: The Thunder have been a
public favorite all season because of the talent packed into their starting five, but,
since bettors often make decisions based on the last thing they see, today's
public support is probably due in large part to their impressive win in Houston on Saturday.