Look at the Kaufman et al. temperature graph in my article.It shows a couple of slight warmings as well as
a slight cooling for LIA but a straight line for 2000 years is a reasonable overall approximation to it.
And you are still hung up on saying that you can claim there is
slight cooling for the past 15 years when that is not statistically significant, try 30 year trends which are statistically significant and in line with the IPCC's about 0.2 C per decade trend.
Not exact matches
There is also evidence that the warming trend has stopped,
for example, a
slight cooling trend in the last decade, and that the sun's cycles have more to do with climate warming and
cooling than anything we are capable of doing But none of that matters.
Fortunately, we had enough drinks and
cool - downs
for everyone, and although some tables had a
slight delay because the judging 600 + products took a while, when it was all said and done, every product got tasted by more judges than usual.
Remove from the oven and allow to
cool for 5 minutes before using a serrated knife to cut at a
slight diagonal into 1 / 2 - inch thick slices.
Looks like we're getting a
slight cool - off this weekend, with beautiful weather
for taking the kiddos outdoors.
The latest study also found that
for the period 1969 to 2000, there has been
slight cooling over East Antarctica.
Researchers think these bubbles drag trails of relatively
cooler gas (about 1 million degrees), and as the bubbles detach from the jets and drift farther out into the galaxy, the
cooler gas trails become even
cooler, becoming extremely cold (just
slight above absolute zero), and rain back on the black hole as fuel
for star formation.
Like Foster and Rahmstorf, Lean and Rind (2008) performed a multiple linear regression on the temperature data, and found that while solar activity can account
for about 11 % of the global warming from 1889 to 2006, it can only account
for 1.6 % of the warming from 1955 to 2005, and had a
slight cooling effect -LRB--0.004 °C per decade) from 1979 to 2005.
Restricting their analysis to 1969 to 2000, a period
for which other studies have found a net
cooling trend, Steig's study found
slight cooling in east Antarctica, but net warming over west Antarctica.
A
slight tingling or itching sensation and a little flushing is very common, and it's important not to leave it on
for too long before removing with
cool water.
The
slight warmth of this lipstick, when offset by a
cool skin tone, will actually make it stand out in a very flattering way — something that isn't always true
for lighter skin tones.
For example, if your home is filled with warm furniture, then if you pick gray paint with even
slight blue undertones, it will look far more blue than in a home with white or
cool - toned furniture.
I've often said to Tony that while I love and appreciate the vastness of Canada (so much of which I have not seen yet in the
slightest), sometimes it would be really
cool to have more countries around us to visit (without the need
for epic amounts of, usually very pricey, travel).
I'm pretty sure this is going to become a uniform of sorts
for the rest of Spring, The pants are still warm enough
for the
cool weather, the cropped style makes it a good transition piece with the
slight bearing of the ankle.
There's a
slight power increase of 4kW on last year's model as aerodynamic performance has been improved, boosting
cooling efficiency
for the engine.
Restored in the
slightest respect of the traditions boasting... Read more elegance and sobriety, this small house is home
for 5 exquisite rooms giving way to a
cooling patio teeming with the finest sounds merging from the fountain and its environment.
The nameless kid you control frequently gets lost in animation loops that can't be broken, every change of direction or
slight incline another excuse
for the animation team to show you something they think is
cool when all you really want is to carry on playing a game without being shown another Vine of a kid falling over.
As described in a previous post earlier this year, Mann et al., 2012 (pdf), postulated that
for extreme volcanoes, the
cooling would be sufficient to saturate the growth response, and that some trees might «skip» a ring
for that year leading to a
slight slippage in tree - ring dating, a potential smearing of the composite chronologies, and a further underestimate of the
cooling in tree - ring based large - scale reconstructions.
They tend to have a reputation
for being regional, but during the mid-century
slight cooling, the Northern Hemisphere as a whole seemed to be effected.
It is to be noted here that there is no necessary contradiction between forecast expectations of (a) some renewed (or continuation of)
slight cooling of world climate
for a few decades to come, e.g., from volcanic or solar activity variations; (b) an abrupt warming due to the effect of increasing carbon dioxide, lasting some centuries until fossil fuels are exhausted and a while thereafter; and this followed in turn by (c) a glaciation lasting (like the previous ones)
for many thousands of years.»
Some models actually show a
slight cooling of the southern oceans
for a while, and all show it not keeping up with the rate at which the waters to the north warm —
for a somewhat longer period of time.
w.r.t. «the
cooling would be sufficient to saturate the growth response, and that SOME trees might «skip» a ring
for that year leading to a
slight slippage in tree - ring dating».
But the time period
for your graph includes the 1940 to 1970 period of
slight cooling between warming episodes before and after it.
What is happening here is that the two (Hansen and Trenberth) whom you describe as «not, in fact, fanatics blinded by dogma» were surprised by the recent «lack of warming» (i.e.
slight cooling) of the atmosphere as well as the upper ocean, despite CO2 increase to record levels, as this does not provide much support
for the premise that human CO2 is driving our climate.
But the Antarctic temperature trend
for that period indicates a
slight cooling.
This shift and the subsequent
slight cooling trend provides a rationale
for inferring a
slight cooling trend over the next decade or so, rather than a flat trend from the 15 yr «pause».
If the «pause» continues into the 2030s, as predicted by Wyatt / Curry, then the «stadium wave» hypothesis has been corroborated as a plausible explanation
for (at least) a significant portion of the past warming and current
slight cooling — and, while not falsifying AGW itself, it will most likely have falsified the IPCC hypothesis of CAGW (as outlined specifically in its AR4 and AR5 reports).
There are two main explanations
for the 1940s to 1970s global temperature stagnation (or
slight cooling): aerosol forcing and the negative phase of an ocean cycle known as the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation (AMO), with the former contributing more than the latter.
-- The same goes
for the earlier multi-decadal period of
slight cooling (~ 1940 - 1970) and especially
for the early 20thC period of rapid warming (1910 - 1940), which occurred prior to significant human GHG emissions.
There's been no surface warming
for over 15 years and
slight cooling over the last decade.
Yea, Edim, except a
slight warm push from El Niño gave us significant warming while a stronger
cool push only managed to nearly flatten temps
for awhile.
«In fact, as NASA's Dr Gavin Schmidt has pointed out, the IPCC's implied best guess was that humans were responsible
for around 110 % of observed warming (ranging from 72 % to 146 %), with natural factors in isolation leading to a
slight cooling over the past 50 years.»
-- First ARGO results showed
slight cooling from 2003 to 2008 (Willis» «speed bump»); the ARGO data was then «corrected» to show
slight warming instead (I have not seen a publication where the reason and extent of the «corrections» made is made transparent
for all to see)
But, hey, that last 30 year «accelerated» warming cycle ended after 2000 — since then we are seeing a
slight cooling cycle (as we did
for the 30 years or so before 1970).
If a small parcel of air rises by a
slight amount,
for any random reason, it will
cool at the adiabatic lapse rate.
In two previous postings, we discussed how both satellite and thermometer measurements document the extremely cold regions of Antarctic that are covered by ice sheets, and the fact that
for the lost 30 years those areas have experienced a
slight cooling.
Clearly, as this plot of modern temperatures reveals,
for 25 years the CE region has had a
slight cooling trend.
Can you provide a single plausible physical reason
for an adjustment that turns a real measured
slight cooling into a massive warming
for Kathmandu??
If the
slight cooling trend continues
for another few more years (say to a total of 20 + years) despite unabated human GHG emissions, we will have falsified the CAGW hypothesis of IPCC.
In any event, it would not be surprising to find a
slight downward trend
for sea ice as the late 1970s came at the end of a decades - long period of
slight global
cooling.
I believe it, rather than the enhanced solar forcing, is considered to be the primary reason
for the rapid increase in temperature during that interval, just as the reintroduction of stratospheric aerosols is a significant factor in the
slight cooling from the mid 1940s to the late 1960s.
The unanswered question remains: will the current trend of
slight cooling continue
for another 19 years or so to become another 30 - year
cooling cycle, or will it reverse to a new warming cycle?
For example the raw data for minimum temperatures at Mt Shasta suggested a slight cooling trend since the 193
For example the raw data
for minimum temperatures at Mt Shasta suggested a slight cooling trend since the 193
for minimum temperatures at Mt Shasta suggested a
slight cooling trend since the 1930s.
My general line is this:
For the last century, we've had ever - so -
slight warming trends and ever - so -
slight cooling trends every 30 years or so, and I don't think either are anything worth collapsing the global economy over.
The natural physical phenomena (with the atmospheric CO2 increases included) imply there is no inherent requirement that the current
slight sub-decadal
cooling should not be constantly accelerating
for multi-decadal scales.
«This shift and the subsequent
slight cooling trend provides a rationale
for inferring a
slight cooling trend over the next decade or so, rather than a flat trend from the 15 [year] «pause»,» she added.
Implication: As SST - SH has been showing a
cooling trend
for 17 years, whereas SST - NH shows a warming trend, the global SST trend should be a (
slight)
cooling but not a flat / slightly warming one.
Apart from a
slight cooling of temperatures prior to 1910, the trend is unchanged by QC adjustments
for the remainder of the record (e.g. the red line in Figure 5).
Professor Mark Steyn just over five years ago:... «If you mean the argument on «global warming,» my general line is this:
For the last century, we've had ever - so -
slight warming trends and ever - so -
slight cooling trends every 30 years or so, and I don't think either are anything worth collapsing the global economy over... «Then from 1940 to 1970 there was a
slight cooling trend.