Dr. George Woodwell, director of the Woods Hole Research Center in Woods Hole, Mass., said that while
a slow warming trend would give human society time to respond, the rate of warming is uncertain.
It has identified a widespread change in the climate dating from a peak reached around 1550 with a subsequent decline to a low point around 1607, that was the precursor of a sporadic period of intense cold throughout much of the 17th century, with the coldest decade of all being the 1690's which was the subsequent genesis of a long
slow warming trend towards the present day.
The campaign released it just as Mr. McCain was planning to give a major speech on energy policy today, and a day after Al Gore, the public face of efforts to
slow the warming trend, formally endorsed Senator Barack Obama.
No one knows for sure what caused the little ice age or for how many more centuries
the slow warming trend will continue.
«If we went all out to
slow the warming trend, we might stall sea level rise at three to six feet,» says Robert Buddemeier of Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, who is studying the impact of sea - level rise on coral reefs, «But that's the very best you could hope for.»
Working Group III assessed options for limiting heat - trapping emissions, evaluated methods for removing them from the atmosphere, and examined other means of
slowing the warming trend, as well as related economic issues.
we noted the rapid warming during 1990 - 2006, naming as the first reason «intrinsic variability within the climate system» — which is also the prime reason for
the slower warming trend when looking at the period starting in the hot outlier year 1998.
Not exact matches
«Such decadal climate fluctuations are superimposed on the general
warming trend, so that at times it seems as if the
warming trend slowed or even stopped.
«Having said all that,» said Larsen, «the current climate could
slow down the advance of Yahtse or it could stop it a lot sooner than it would if we didn't have this
warming trend going on right now.»
A
slow - down in global
warming is not a sign that climate change is ending, but a natural blip in an otherwise long - term upwards
trend, research shows.
The team found that the previously detected
warming trend has continued, though at a somewhat
slower pace.
The findings show a slight but notable increase in that average temperature, putting a dent in the idea that global
warming has
slowed over the past 15 years, a
trend highlighted in the most recent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report.
Peter Stott, the head of climate monitoring at the U.K. Met Office, agreed, noting in an email that, «The slowdown hasn't gone away, however, the results of this study still show the
warming trend over the past 15 years has been
slower than previous 15 year periods.
If so, it may even help
slow — but not stop — the progression of the climate's general
warming trend.
to declare during the hearing that «Congress must begin to consider how we are going to
slow or halt that
warming trend.»
While at single buoys the water may have
warmed faster or
slower than other locations, globally, there is a clear
trend toward higher sea surface temperatures.
It appears that the climate changes according to a repeating 60 year or so pattern with 30 years of general
warming and 30 years of general cooling, this pattern superimposed, we hope, on a very
slow longer term
warming trend.
Interglacial
trends over the past 400,000 years exhibit steep
warming onsets,
slower cooling rates and nearly flat plateaus.
I'm
slow to
warm up to
trends.
And the temperature signal, if analyzed properly, is a whole lot steadier in favor of a
slow but non stopping
warming trend.
One finds that both the red El Niño years and the blue La Niña years are getting
warmer, but given that we have lately experienced a cluster of La Niña years the overall
warming trend over the last ten years is
slower.
«Note: LOTI provides a more realistic representation of the global mean
trends than dTs below; it slightly underestimates
warming or cooling
trends, since the much larger heat capacity of water compared to air causes a
slower and diminished reaction to changes.»
«I just came across an interesting way to eliminate the impression of
slowing of the
warming trend.
What does happen in a giben month, year and sometimes decades is faster or
slower warming for the given time period, but this does not reverse the
warming trend or do anything to refute the dangers to health that GHG's present with.
A
slower warming rate will occur in the second half of the century, assuming that the climate forcing growth rate begins to
trend downward before 2050.
However, at least with NASA GISS, it would appear that there is no statistical basis as of yet to claim that the
trend in
warming has reversed itself,
slowed or accelerated from what it was beginning in 1975.
«In a scenario of zeroed CO2 and sulfate aerosol emissions, whether the
warming induced by specified constant concentrations of non-CO2 greenhouse gases could
slow the CO2 decline following zero emissions or even reverse this
trend and cause CO2 to increase over time is assessed.
With this prediction, and the
trend toward the
slowing down of the jet stream, is it time to consider / advocate geoengineering as a response to global
warming?
Even an apparent global dimming
trend in the last decade has been unable to
slow the inexorable
warming of the global oceans.
Although the rate of
warming of surface air and lower troposphere temperatures appear to have
slowed over the past few years, the same could be said at any virtually any point in time by cherrypicking short - term noise and ignoring the long - term
trend (Figure 2).
Lolwot is trying to show that the
trend hardly changes at all if you include / exclude the data after 2000, despite the very obvious «kink» in the graph, and trying to assert from this that the
warming trend has not
slowed down.
In fact what happens is the
trend near the end point gets affected by the fitting algorithm (hence 15 years of
slow warming gets ramped up in WHTs analysis).
But if you're studying a 75 - year cycle, or a
slow trend like global
warming, then only global temperature matters.
My opinion expressed elsewhere is that almost all the temperature changes we observe over periods of less than a century are caused by cyclical changes in the rate of energy emission from the oceans with the solar effect only providing a
slow background
trend of
warming or cooling for several centuries at a time.
The remarkably cold modified Arctic airmass that has brought bitterly cold air to much of North America has now shifted eastward, and the West Coast is in the midst of a
slow but substantial
warming trend that will continue at least through the coming weekend.
And they analyse the double standards used when discussing the so - called «pause» as compared to an equally long period of rapid
warming, which in fact deviated more from the long - term
trend than the recent phase of
slower warming.
These new models predict that while
warming will
slow over the next few years due to internal variability, the
warming trend will resume in the long term.
The last decade hasn't been cooling btw, though a
slower upward
trend or even standstill in the
trend (of one would deem it meaningful over such a short timeframe) is of course helped by the dampening effect of natural factors having a cooling effect, offsetting some of the
warming effect of GHG.
As described in the paper, climate
warming specifically refers to the
slow time evolution of the local July temperature as described by a smooth non-linear
trend line, which reveals a significant climatic
warming over the last three decades.
If
warming stopped, or even
slowed down, since 1997 then it would have reduced the
warming trend.
But we can reject as vanishingly unlikely David Rose's claims, and even Dr. Curry's claims of
slowing of GMT
warming trend is only 1 / 6th likely.
Long - term climate change since the Little Ice Age has been dominated by a very
slow warming, which the chart's «average» and «maximum» temperature
trends reveal.
If the DATA were falling off that extension of the linear
trend line from 1975 to 1997, then that might be evidence that the
warming was really
slowing down.
Thus it's not unexpected that surface temperature
warming has
slowed, and when we account for these factors, we see that the underlying long - term
warming trend continues.
To point out just a couple of things: — oceans
warming slower (or cooling
slower) than lands on long - time
trends is absolutely normal, because water is more difficult both to
warm or to cool (I mean, we require both a bigger heat flow and more time); at the contrary, I see as a non-sense theory (made by some serrist, but don't know who) that oceans are storing up heat, and that suddenly they will release such heat as a positive feedback: or the water
warms than no heat can be considered ad «stored» (we have no phase change inside oceans, so no latent heat) or oceans begin to release heat but in the same time they have to cool (because they are losing heat); so, I don't feel strange that in last years land temperatures for some series (NCDC and GISS) can be heating up while oceans are slightly cooling, but I feel strange that they are heating up so much to reverse global
trend from slightly negative / stable to slightly positive; but, in the end, all this is not an evidence that lands»
warming is led by UHI (but, this effect, I would not exclude it from having a small part in temperature
trends for some regional area, but just small); both because, as writtend, it is normal to have waters
warming slower than lands, and because lands» temperatures are often measured in a not so precise way (despite they continue to give us a global uncertainity in TT values which is barely the instrumental's one)-- but, to point out, HadCRU and MSU of last years (I mean always 2002 - 2006) follow much better waters» temperatures
trend; — metropolis and larger cities temperature
trends actually show an increase in UHI effect, but I think the sites are few, and the covered area is very small worldwide, so the global effect is very poor (but it still can be sensible for regional effects); but I would not run out a small
warming trend for airport measurements due mainly to three things: increasing jet planes traffic, enlarging airports (then more buildings and more asphalt — if you follow motor sports, or simply live in a town / city, you will know how easy they get very
warmer than air during day, and how much it can
slow night - time cooling) and overall having airports nearer to cities (if not becoming an area inside the city after some decade of hurban growth, e.g. Milan - Linate); — I found no point about UHI in towns and villages; you will tell me they are not large cities; but, in comparison with 20-40-60 years ago when they were «countryside», many small towns and villages have become part of larger hurban areas (at least in Europe and Asia) so examining just larger cities would not be enough in my opinion to get a full view of UHI effect (still remembering that it has a small global effect: we can say many matters are due to UHI instead of GW, maybe even that a small part of measured GW is due to UHI, and that GW measurements are not so precise to make us able to make good analisyses and predictions, but not that GW is due to UHI).
We also include in the category of
slow feedbacks the global
warming spikes, or «hyperthermals», that have occurred a number of times in Earth's history during the course of
slower global
warming trends.
If you're talking about a change in the rate,
trend of
warming, or even just say that «
warming has
slowed» in the context of the general discussion about global temperature records, you are implying something about a change in
trend.
A full reading of Tsonis and Swanson's research shows that internal variability from climate shifts merely cause temporary
slow downs or speeding up of the long - term
warming trend.
Just like the
slow retreat of Alpine glaciers since 1850 has likely had something to do with
warmer long - term temperature
trends over Europe, since we have been emerging from a generally colder period, called the Little Ice Age.
Responding to and in the manner of KK Tung's UPDATE (and, you can quote me): globally speaking the
slowing of the rapidity of the
warming, were it absent an enhanced hiatus compared to prior hiatuses, must at the least be interpreted as nothing more than a slowdown of the positive
trend of uninterrupted global
warming coming out of the Little Ice Age that has been «juiced» by AGW as evidenced by rapid
warming during the last three decades of the 20th Century, irrespective of the fact that, «the modern Grand maximum (which occurred during solar cycles 19 — 23, i.e., 1950 - 2009),» according to Ilya Usoskin, «was a rare or even unique event, in both magnitude and duration, in the past three millennia [that's, 3,000 years].»