Writing in Nature Climate Change, two scientists from the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) say the melting of quite
a small volume of ice on the East Antarctic shore could ultimately trigger a discharge of ice into the ocean which would result in unstoppable sea - level rise for thousands of years ahead.
Not exact matches
So, what tourism is impacting and actually what climate change is impacting is a relatively very
small piece
of that peninsula; but you know the impact on the peninsula if all that
ice melts could be huge; when they talk about sea levels rising, you know, by inches and feet, you know if that
ice along the peninsula melts they will add to the
volume of the sea very quickly.
The melting
of a rather
small ice volume on East Antarctica's shore could trigger a persistent
ice discharge into the ocean, resulting in unstoppable sea - level rise for thousands
of years to come.
According to the latest Piomas data, a combination
of the
smallest sea
ice extent and the second - thinnest
ice cover on record puts total
volume of sea
ice in November 2016 at a record low for this time
of year.
At close to 8,000 cubic kilometres (cubic km), total sea
ice volume in November stood at just 48 %
of the long - term average and the
smallest of any November in the satellite record stretching back to 1979.
Its simple, winter was much
smaller in extent, mimicking directly the lesser
volume of Arctic sea
ice.
So unless the perimeter
of the Greenland
ice sheet is the exact same thickness as the entire
ice sheet (say 3 km on average), an area loss there,
of 15 %, will produce a much
smaller %
volume loss, than say if this area loss were smack dab in the middle
of the Greenland
ice sheet.
Another possibility might be a slowing
of deep circulation (not sure how much there is, mind), in which case the opposite occurs, and the surface waters heat up even faster, leading to yet more rapid surface melt,
smaller winter
ice volumes and so on.
At face value their numbers suggest the Arctic will be left with an extensive cover (> 4 million km ^ 2)
of ice but only a
small volume (< 2 million km ^ 3): i.e. on average the
ice will be less than half a metre thick.
However, because they are partly submerged, their direct contribution to sea level rise is much
smaller than the contribution made by the melting
of an equivalent
volume of (land - based)
ice sheets.
Jackson, R.C., G.M. McFarquhar, A. Fridlind, and R. Atlas, 2015: The dependence
of cirrus gamma size distributions expressed as
volumes in N0 - λ - μ phase space and bulk cloud properties on environmental conditions: Results from
Small Ice Particles in Cirrus Experiment (SPARTICUS).
Poitou & Bréon do not explain why the
ice pack
volume would be relevant for the albedo; according to Haas (2005)[47] the changes
of the thickness
of the sea
ice are
small since they are correctly measured by an airborne radio apparatus, only over the Arctic.
The two - day FAMOS workshop will include sessions on 2017 sea
ice highlights and sea
ice / ocean predictions, reports
of working groups conducting collaborative projects, large - scale arctic climate modeling (
ice - ocean, regional coupled, global coupled),
small (eddies) and very
small (mixing) processes and their representation and / or parameterization in models, and new hypotheses, data sets, intriguing findings, proposals for new experiments and plans for 2018 FAMOS special
volume of publications.
The
ice cube warms up by maybe a hundred degrees F but the coffee only cools by maybe 10 degrees because the
volume of the cold
ice cube is
small compared to the
volume of the hot coffee.
The land itself has not changed significantly (at least not in the context
of this research), but the effective surface area and
volume of the
ice associated with that land is now significantly
smaller.
Explaining the 100,000 yr recurrence period
of ice ages is difficult because although the 100,000 yr cycle dominates the
ice -
volume record, it is
small in the insolation spectrum.