And the greater the precision of the data (represented by
smaller uncertainty bounds), the higher the consensus.
Osborn can not see how Mann got such
small uncertainty bounds.
Not exact matches
«
Uncertainty about the economy is
bound to increase stress levels for both managers and employees at retail stores,» says Jon Schallert, president of The Schallert Group, a
small business consulting firm in Longmont, Colo. (www.DestinationUBlog.com).
The
bounds in West Antarctica (loss of between 128 and 103 Gt / yr) reflect a much
smaller GIA
uncertainty together with a much
small surface area.
However, taking account of sampling
uncertainty (as most more recent detection and attribution studies do, including those shown in Figure 9.9) makes relatively little difference to estimates of attributable warming rates, particularly those due to greenhouse gases; the largest differences occur in estimates of upper
bounds for
small signals, such as the response to solar forcing (Allen and Stott, 2003; Stott et al., 2003a).
However, posterior CDF points using a uniform prior don't provide very good matching, particularly for
small values of the CDF (corresponding to the lower
bound of two - sided
uncertainty ranges).
My nominal ECS range is very close to yours, though slightly
smaller and with similar
uncertainty bounds.