NOHRSC measures the water equivalent of
a snowpack by making many flights above hundreds of established flight lines.
Sustainable groundwater management is essential to adapt to this massive loss of water storage and continued decline in snowpack — California is projected to lose up to 80 percent of its historic
snowpack by the end of the century as temperatures continue to rise.
While we have long range climate predictions that show a decline of
snowpack by the end of the century and short - range rain and snow forecasts, until now there has been little information on what to expect in the next two months to two years.
Not exact matches
The reasons for this are many: less cold water from Sierra
snowpack, less cold freshwater being released from the Delta due to farming needs and other water policies, warm waters caused
by El Nino flowing into the Bay, and other variables.
Seems like just a few short weeks ago that we were placing wagers around the office about if the historic Boston Winter of 2015
snowpack would recede
by Mother's Day or the Fourth of July.
Roughly 210 million people live in the region, and another 1.3 billion people who live downstream depend on rivers fed in part
by glaciers and mountain
snowpack.
«West Coast record low
snowpack in 2015 influenced
by high temperatures.»
Since 1915, the average
snowpack in western states has declined
by between 15 and 30 percent, the researchers say, and the amount of water lost from that
snowpack reduction is comparable in volume to Lake Mead, the West's largest manmade reservoir.
«The
snowpack we had this year was below average — around 70 percent of average towards the end of February, followed
by one of the driest, warmest Marches on record,» said Tim Mathews, a fire meteorologist with the Rocky Mountain Coordination Center.
The Sierra Nevada
snowpack, which provides about 65 percent of the state's water, has been declining since 1950, and a quarter of the snow is projected to disappear
by 2050.
Driven
by drought and low
snowpack, 2015 broke all the records in Washington state.
The Sierra Nevada normally hits maximum
snowpack for the year in early April, but
by April 1, alpine meadows usually buried in 5 feet of snow were bare.
The excessive heat increased the rate of water loss
by evaporation and caused precipitation to shift from snow to rain, leaving a meager
snowpack and parched reservoirs.
When the researchers took density of snow into account, they found that ice shelves lost about five times more ice
by submarine melting than they gained from new surface
snowpack.
«Increased runoff caused
by dust on
snowpack acts as a major leak in the reservoir system,» says Thomas Painter, a professor of geography at the University of Utah.
That glimpse into the past was provided
by 66 tree - ring data sets scientists used to stitch together an annual record of
snowpack far older than modern observations, which began in the early 20th century.
As for the
snowpack, the models show it decreasing
by at least 30 percent.
The researchers then went to an intermediate elevation and simulated climate change
by reducing the
snowpack, which made the plants flower seven days early, similar in magnitude to flowering time shifts over 20 to 30 years of climate change.
Of course, long before climate change threatened the
snowpacks, unbridled trapping and poisoning had driven most wolverines from the continental U.S. Wolverines hung on in the northern Rockies, but the thin populations in Colorado, Michigan, Minnesota and the Northeast were gone
by the middle of the 20th century.
By summer, the Sierra Nevada
snowpack — L.A.'s lifeblood — was half of normal.
This year, heavy
snowpack and spring precipitation have brought the region some relief
by partially refilling the reservoirs.
In addition, the structure of the
snowpack is changing: it is being transformed
by increasingly warmer air temperatures and / or altered
by rain - on - snow events.
A 2016 report
by the Bureau of Reclamation predicts that the basin's
snowpack is likely to decrease, stemming the flow of runoff in spring and early summer.
«But the snow is darkened
by other things as well, like organics, and also
by dust and soil that can get in the
snowpack.»
stories,» says Musselman, who used historical
snowpack measurements and computer models to predict how the melting rate will change
by the end of the century (Nature Climate Change, DOI: 10.1038 / NCLIMATE3225).
First, because Albright illustrates the supposed lack of a trend
by comparing specific periods (e.g. 1940 - 1949 vs. 1997 - 2006), in which
snowpack has increased in some locations.
Conversely, particularly high -
snowpack years may effectively compensate for warming temperatures
by offsetting rapid snowmelt.
Topography can also influence fire behavior
by determining local microclimates — for example, variations in local
snowpack, temperature, and humidity (Holden and Jolly 2011)-- or alignment with prevailing winds (Sharples 2009) which increase fire spread.
A new study shows that the climate simulated
by a numerical climate model can depend surprisingly much of what is assumed about the snow grain shapes when computing the reflection of solar radiation
by the
snowpack.
This varies from year to year, and the onset of the fire season can be delayed
by abundant mountain
snowpack or a cool and wet start to summer.
Also, the link between more precipitation and El Niño really only holds for Southern California, while it is the northern half of the state where the main reservoirs, supplied
by mountain
snowpack, are situated.
No
snowpack, no hay: In the northern Nevada, cattle feed is getting hard to come
by, as sources of water diminish in supply.
With the Central Valley barren, underground aquifer drained, and Sierra
snowpack entirely depleted, most «Mojavs,» prevented
by both armed vigilantes and an indifferent bureaucracy from freely crossing borders to lusher regions, have allowed themselves to be evacuated to internment camps.
Fernie Alpine Resort boasts
by far the deepest
snowpack of any ski area in the Rockies, with an average nine metres of annual snowfall.
«If water from moist air condenses on a
snowpack, 590 calories of heat are released
by each gram of condensate.
Results show that anthropogenic warming reduced average
snowpack levels
by 25 %, with middle - to - low elevations experiencing reductions between 26 and 43 %
James Taylor of the Heartland Institute penned a Forbes article where he claimed that Christy's findings «refute frequent assertions
by global warming alarmists that global warming is adversely affecting Sierra Nevada snowfall and
snowpack.»
Accumulation is measured
by either probing or crevasse stratigraphy to determine the annual
snowpack thickness at many locations.
By early July
snowpack beyond the glacier margins is limited, Snotel sites have lost their snowcover, and yet streamflow is still heavily dependent on snow and ice melt from glaciers (Fountain and Tangborn, 1985; Pelto, 1996).
A rise in precipitation and a fall in
snowpack can only be accounted for
by greater melting or rainfall during the winter.
2)
Snowpack ablation from 1984 - 2002 on four glaciers (3
by NCGCP and 1
by USGS).
The Lyman Glacier monitored
by the North Cascade Glacier Climate Project is three kilometers away and at 6400 feet the
snowpack remains until early August the July - August melt rate is 5.6 cm / day.
April 1
snowpack at moderate elevations is assessed from seven long - term Snow Course and now SNOTEL stations; Rainy Pass, Lyman Lake, Stevens Pass, Miners Ridge, Stampede Pass and Park Creek and Fish Lake monitored
by the USDA.
However, the average
snowpack within a specific elevation band is determined
by regional climate variations.
Snowpack ablation is reduced somewhat for the Snotel sites are that more protected
by surrounding forest (Wells Creek and Thunder Basin).
High elevation
snowpack is assessed from winter mass balance measurements on the South Cascade Glacier from 1960 - 2005 and on Easton Glacier 1990 - 2007 monitored
by the North Cascade Glacier Climate Project.
They simulated winter warming
by insulating vegetation with increased
snowpack and summer warming
by covering plants with open - topped greenhouses.
A new study reveales that the record low
snowpack levels in the western-most region of the continental U.S. last 2015 were most likely caused
by high temperature.
Attribution is supported
by the detection of human influence on the cold - season temperatures that drive the
snowpack reductions.
Species that live downslope will also be hurt
by changes on mountaintops; the Sierra Nevada mountain yellow - legged frog, for example, depends on runoff from
snowpack year - round to support its three - to four - year life stage as a tadpole, and earlier spring snowmelt runoff caused
by global warming may leave this hardy, once - abundant creature high and dry in the summertime.