These natural frozen reservoirs have been part of our water resource management system in the western US and now this system is changing from glacier and
snowpack changes and summer evaporation.
Freshly fallen snow reflects up to 84 percent of incoming sunlight, but during the warm season the reflectivity declines as the ice grains within
the snowpack change shape and size.
In this computer simulation, the regional climate and
snowpack changed significantly, and not in a simply predictable way.
Not exact matches
Climate
change will decrease the volume of precipitation in the Southwest while decreasing the
snowpack in the Rockies.
Changes in flow patterns of warm Pacific Ocean air from the south were driving earlier spring snowmelt, while decreasing summer sea ice had the greatest influence on later onset of
snowpack in the fall.
Now, scientists are increasingly aware that mountain glaciers — like mountain
snowpack — are growing more vulnerable to the influence of climate
change.
Researchers have evaluated different mechanisms that could account for declining
snowpack in a warming world: earlier onset of snowmelt, a
change in melt rates and shifts from snow to rain under certain conditions.
The researchers then went to an intermediate elevation and simulated climate
change by reducing the
snowpack, which made the plants flower seven days early, similar in magnitude to flowering time shifts over 20 to 30 years of climate
change.
Of course, long before climate
change threatened the
snowpacks, unbridled trapping and poisoning had driven most wolverines from the continental U.S. Wolverines hung on in the northern Rockies, but the thin populations in Colorado, Michigan, Minnesota and the Northeast were gone by the middle of the 20th century.
According to the first report under the SECURE Water Act, «As the effects of climate
change and
snowpack are realized throughout the Colorado River Basin, these effects will drive
changes in the availability of natural water supplies.»
Also like California, Stevens said, climate
change modeling predicts a future of hotter summers, accentuated droughts, and shrinking winter
snowpacks in Turkey's Taurus Mountains, where the Tigris and Euphrates rivers arise.
In addition, the structure of the
snowpack is
changing: it is being transformed by increasingly warmer air temperatures and / or altered by rain - on - snow events.
Changes come even with lower warming What was most surprising, Diffenbaugh said, is that the accelerated melting of the
snowpack would occur even if the world were able to limit warming to the target of a 2 - degree - Celsius increase agreed upon in international climate negotiations in Copenhagen, Denmark.
stories,» says Musselman, who used historical
snowpack measurements and computer models to predict how the melting rate will
change by the end of the century (Nature Climate Change, DOI: 10.1038 / NCLIMATE
change by the end of the century (Nature Climate
Change, DOI: 10.1038 / NCLIMATE
Change, DOI: 10.1038 / NCLIMATE3225).
The average
snowpack in the Cascades has declined 50 percent since 1950 and will be cut in half again in 30 years if we don't start addressing the problems of climate
change now.
However, it is expected that — given the combination of
changes in precipitation variability,
changed snowpack, and rising temperatures — future droughts will be more severe when they do occur.
He added that climate
change is already reducing water supplies from the Sierra Nevada
snowpack and the Colorado River watershed.
Given that the long - term trend in early spring
snowpack is down, Climate Central recently examined how the type of precipitation is
changing during the winter months nationwide.
While it is often occurring in remote regions, ongoing
change with the cryosphere has impacts on people all around the world: sea level rise affects coastlines globally, billions of people rely on water from
snowpack, and the diminishing sea ice that covers the Arctic Ocean plays a significant role in Earth's climate and weather patterns.
Hall's research team found that 2016 — 17 winter
snowpack was about 20 percent smaller than it would have been without climate
change that has already happened.
Fires in the West, droughts in the Southwest, melting
snowpack in the Northwest, flooding and heavy rainfall in the Northeast, the much stronger coastal storms and hurricanes that we've seen in the Gulf: we've gotten to the point where we can all point to something that's happening and say: «This is what climate
change is doing to our region.»
For example if Seager and Battisti are correct than a
change in atmospheric ciruculation occurs, this would alter the moisture source and potentially the isotope signature of the
snowpack falling on the GIS.
Three different types of data sets are utilized to identify the
changes in
snowpack across the North Cascades since 1946 with time and elevation:
Three
changes are evident with respect to
snowpack and they are robust occurring regardless of time period or stations analyzed.
Snowpack density in April and May measurements show a significant range in density, which
changes with time and must be considered in winter balance measurements.
A new University of Colorado Boulder - led study that ties forest «greenness» in the western United States to fluctuating year - to - year
snowpack indicates mid-elevation mountain ecosystems are most sensitive to rising temperatures and
changes in precipitation and snowmelt.
«If
snowpack declines, forests become more stressed, which can lead to ecological
changes that include alterations in the distribution and abundance of plant and animal species as well as vulnerability to perturbations like fire and beetle kill.»
As the
snowpack diminishes from climate
change, we'll need rainwater catchment, reforested watersheds, and efficient irrigation systems.
I am going to talk about how
changes with local temperature, pikas, whitebark park pines, and
snowpack, may be an indication global climate
change is impacting Crater Lake.»
The magnitude of observed declines in
snowpack in the Southwest, in the range of 20 %, is similar to the increases in runoff associated with thinning from this study, suggesting that accelerated thinning may at least offset or ameliorate runoff losses due to climate
change.
A new study has found that the warming of Greenland is speeding
changes to the crystalline structure of the fallen snow there in such a way that the
snowpack more readily absorbs solar energy.
In this episode of Deeply Talks, Ian Evans, Water Deeply's community editor, speaks with Tara Lohan, Water Deeply's managing editor and John Fleck, director of water resources at the University of New Mexico, about the status of this year's
snowpack, what it can tell us about the water year to come and how that fits with long - term climate
change trends.
Species that live downslope will also be hurt by
changes on mountaintops; the Sierra Nevada mountain yellow - legged frog, for example, depends on runoff from
snowpack year - round to support its three - to four - year life stage as a tadpole, and earlier spring snowmelt runoff caused by global warming may leave this hardy, once - abundant creature high and dry in the summertime.
While Mass was not involved with the new study, his prior research reached similar conclusions regarding a strong influence of Pacific Ocean cycles on
changes in annual
snowpack levels in the Cascade mountains.
Ibid., pp. 393 — 96; Yun Qian et al., «Effects of Soot - Induced Snow Albedo
Change on
Snowpack and Hydrological Cycle in Western United States Based on Weather Research and Forecasting Chemistry and Regional Climate Simulations,» Journal of Geophysical Research, vol.
In the coming decades, warmer temperatures, declining
snowpack, and
changes in soil moisture are expected to lead to a long - term transformation of the state's forest landscapes.
That
change is going to be an issue for people out West because a lot of people depend on water from the
snowpack in the mountains.
As the climate of the Pacific Northwest warms, more winter precipitation is falling as rain, compared with historical averages.2 With declining
snowpack in Oregon's Cascade Mountains, peak stream flows are occurring earlier, and summer flows are declining.2 These
changes are expected to continue as heat - trapping emissions grow, putting more stress on already endangered salmon that return to the Columbia and other rivers in the region to spawn.2
The reason for the
change is warmer
snowpack winter temperatures, +4 oC above the long term mean at the Juneau Airport seven miles from the glacier at sea level in 1997 and 1998.
For us in Colorado, the
changes are not yet as obvious as in the Arctic, but the basic physics of the atmosphere tells us that a warming world will have serious consequences for our
snowpack and water supply.
Infrastructure across the U.S. is being adversely affected by phenomena associated with climate
change, including sea level rise, storm surge, heavy downpours, and extreme heat... Floods along the nation's rivers, inside cities, and on lakes following heavy downpours, prolonged rains, and rapid melting of
snowpack are damaging infrastructure in towns and cities, farmlands, and a variety of other places across the nation.
As climate
change shrinks mountain
snowpack and causes more intense floods and droughts, our work to protect the Northwest's rivers and fresh water is more important than ever.
«[C] ommunities across the Nation are already experiencing a range of climatic
changes, including more frequent and extreme precipitation events, longer wildfire seasons, reduced
snowpack, extreme heat events, increasing ocean temperatures, and rising sea levels,» the report says.
These include increased average land and ocean temperatures that lead to reduced
snowpack levels, hydrological
changes, and sea level rise;
changing precipitation patterns that will create both drought and extreme rain events; and increasing atmospheric CO2 that will contribute to ocean acidification,
changes in species composition, and increased risk of fires.
The 10 - year period ending in 2007 witnessed fewer severe cold snaps than any other 10 - year period since record keeping began in 1895.2 These
changes can not be explained by natural variation, and correspond very well with computer simulations that include human influences on climate.3 Snow cover has decreased in most regions, especially in the spring, and mountain
snowpack has also decreased in several regions.4
Such
changes are observed in many places, especially over land in middle and high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere, leading to increased rains but reduced
snowpacks, and consequently diminished water resources in summer, when they are most needed.
The data to support this theory includes
changing stream flow patterns across the Southwest, diminishing
snowpack, increasing winter temperatures and the current drought, estimated to be the worst ever in California's recorded history.
That's all fine and good, but a new report from the National Academy of Sciences says that
changes in the monsoon and the melting
snowpack will be much more an immediate threat to the region.
Changes in sea surface temperatures (SST), wind patterns, and decreased
snowpack and snow cover have also been linked to droughts.
The average
snowpack in the Cascades has declined 50 percent since 1950 and will be cut in half again in 30 years if we don't start addressing the problems of climate
change now.