Scientists believe that dust has profound and somewhat mysterious influences on atmospheric chemistry,
solar heat exchange and nutrient supply to the oceans and rain forests.
Not exact matches
that some level of statistical significance can be achieved for periods shorter than 30 years, but not 15 years because fluctuations in things like
solar + ocean - atmosphere
heat exchange make it hard to say with high confidence what's signal and what's noise.
I've been using the
solar flux and planck's law and ground
heat conductivity and capacitance to build a (very simple) «climate» simulation model that showed the energy
exchanges over a day.
Sea ice is an important component of the Earth system; it is highly reflective, altering the amount of
solar radiation that is absorbed; it changes the salinity of the ocean where it forms and melts, and it acts as a barrier to the
exchange of
heat and momentum fluxes between the atmosphere and ocean.
Over land, you have a surface energy balance that includes downwelling IR, upwelling IR (Stefan Boltzmann), downwelling
solar radiation minus what is reflected back from the surface, latent
heat flux and sensible
heat flux (these are turbulent fluxes associated with
exchange with the atmosphere), and conductive flux from the ground (below the surface).
The cryosphere derives its importance to the climate system from a variety of effects, including its high reflectivity (albedo) for
solar radiation, its low thermal conductivity, its large thermal inertia, its potential for affecting ocean circulation (through
exchange of freshwater and
heat) and atmospheric circulation (through topographic changes), its large potential for affecting sea level (through growth and melt of land ice), and its potential for affecting greenhouse gases (through changes in permafrost)(Chapter 4).
In some way, that's the engine where all the other variations must be hanged (specially variations in albedo because of clouds - maybe connected with
solar cycles as other authors are trying to prove -, variations in albedo because of sea ice extention, linked with the oceanic currents - as in the «stadium wave» that was presented by Curry and others, etc., variations in
heat exchange between atmosphere and oceans, and so on.
The IPCC model suggests that the
heat and latent energy
exchange between the underlying surface and the atmosphere is a direct response to the imbalance of
solar energy and terrestrial radiation at the surface.
«This is a consequence of variations in
heat exchange between the atmosphere and the oceans, and other decade - to - decade changes like variations in
solar forcing and the
solar dimming effects of pollution and volcanic eruptions,» BoM says.
It is not «conduction» but
exchange of radiation; if you keep your hands parallel at a distance of some cm the right hand does not (radiatively) «warm» the left hand or vice versa albeit at 33 °C skin temperature they
exchange some hundreds of W / m ² (about 500 W / m ²) The
solar radiation reaching the surface (for 71 % of the surface, the oceans) is lost by evaporation (or evapotranspiration of the vegetation), plus some convection (20 W / ²) and some radiation reaching the cosmos directly through the window 8µm to 12 µm (about 20 W / m ² «global» average); only the radiative
heat flow surface to air (absorbed by the air) is negligible (plus or minus); the non radiative (latent
heat, sensible
heat) are transferred for surface to air and compensate for a part of the
heat lost to the cosmos by the upper layer of the water vapour displayed on figure 6 - C.
Although geo -
exchange is the main source of
heating and cooling for West Cambie residents, newer neighbourhoods like Oval Village and City Centre are looking into sources like sewage
heat and
solar.
So to claim «its a natural cycle», then you need to be pointing to either an externality (eg change in volcano screening or change in
solar input), or an internal variation - ocean - atmosphere
heat exchange.
The house has four
heating systems:
solar hot water, a hydronic boiler, and a geo -
exchange (geothermal or GSHP).
Designed using a computer algorithm to mimic the veining of leaves and butterfly wings, the complex would be
heated and cooled by a ground source
heat exchange system and its air would be cleaned by
solar - powered filters.
Solar and geoexchange systems operate on much the same principle as a refrigerator, using a fluid - filled loop of pipes to
exchange heat energy with its surroundings.
There are
solar panels for providing
heating and hot water, triple glazing, a wood - pellet fire and a
heat exchange system.