Over long periods during the 20th century they found a statistically significant correlation between
solar sunspot activity and the NAO Index.
Send me TWO links, one to the paper claiming the detection of
solar sunspot - cycle related effects on surface datasets that you think is the strongest evidence for your case, and the second to the actual data used in that study.
Now, the air waves are so quite that at times I think the antenna is disconnected, and we are still in the longest
solar sunspot minimum in 50 - 100 years.
a)
Solar sunspot number reconstruction from cosmogenic 10Be and 14C isotopes.
or even a sum of sine waves — and NOT a straight line — were extended through the average of the CET using an 11 year
solar sunspot as a smoothing interval, when would the MWP, LIA, Dark Ages, and RWP show up as high and low points?
Now, per Joseph D'Aleo, that accumulation is wiped out at the beginning of each century with
a solar sunspot minimum.
Climate change history is cyclic and the continuing downward trend of
the Solar sunspot cycle follows previous patterns foretelling a cooling trend similar to a Dalton or Maunder Minimum.
Instead we see Sea Surface Temperature climb, and at the same time
Solar Sunspot activity declined.
For example, suppose you suspect there is a relationship between increases in
solar sunspot activity and increases in earth's global temperature.
Other explanations, such as a link with
the solar sunspot cycle, remain tentative suggestions.
For example a low point in
the solar sunspot cycle correlates approximately with the so called little ice age of the 19th century, but was only part of the cause of this.
Do you think that in the same way that the Solanki et al paper on
solar sunspot reconstructions had a specific statement that their results did not contradict ideas of strong greenhouse warming in recent decades, this (the fact that climate sensitivity projections are not best estimates of possible future actual temperature increases) should be clearly noted in media releases put out by scientists when reporting climate sensitivity studies?
When Lockwood removed the overall brightening trend, he found that the planet showed peaks of brightness in phase with the minima of
the solar sunspot cycle.
Research suggests that solar variability accounts for up to 68 % of the increase in earths temperatures with strong association between
solar sunspots / irradiance and global temperature fluctuations.
Not exact matches
As telltale dark blotches on its surface called
sunspots multiply, indicating magnetic upswells,
solar flares and CMEs grow in frequency, peaking just after the
solar maximum.
These fluctuations correspond neatly to the 11 - year
solar cycle, in which the Sun's rotation gradually winds up its magnetic field into contorted coils, giving rise to flares and
sunspots that emit ultraviolet and X-ray light.
The sun goes through an 11 - year
solar cycle during which its luminosity varies according to the number of
sunspots appearing on its face.
Solar flares occur when the sun's magnetic field — which creates the dark sunspots on the star's surface — twists up and reconnects, blasting energy outward and superheating the solar sur
Solar flares occur when the sun's magnetic field — which creates the dark
sunspots on the star's surface — twists up and reconnects, blasting energy outward and superheating the
solar sur
solar surface.
It's also possible that the beginning of the next 11 - year
solar cycle — which is marked by the emergence of dark blemishes called
sunspots at high
solar latitudes — may simply be delayed by a few years, rather than shut down for decades.
At 5:10 a.m. EDT (0910 GMT), an X-class
solar flare — the most powerful sun - storm category — blasted from a large
sunspot on the sun's surface.
Sunspots are areas of intense magnetism, and
solar flares erupt when lines of magnetic energy intersect, break, and reconnect, releasing billions of tons of electrically charged particles.
The spot - confining mechanism may help solve another puzzle, says
solar theorist Douglas Gough of Cambridge University, United Kingdom: The sun is brighter overall when it has the most dark
sunspots on its surface.
However, in light of our substantiation of the effects of «grand
solar minima» upon past global climates, it could be speculated that the current pausing of «Global Warming», which is frequently referenced by those sceptical of climate projections by the IPCC, might relate at least in part to a countervailing effect of reduced
solar activity, as shown in the recent
sunspot cycle.»
This period was characterized by a reduction in
sunspots and other
solar activity, long winters, cool summers, and consequentially slow, even tree growth.
The bright spots show where
sunspots congregate and
solar flares explode.
A
solar satellite peering under a
sunspot has detected powerful flows of hot plasma, which squeeze the spot's tight bundle of magnetic fields together and explain why
sunspots remain stable.
The
Solar Dynamics Observatory, planned for 2008, will allow more complete study of the sun's interior and perhaps enable the prediction of
sunspots before they appear.
The most spectacular consequence of this discovery is the ability to detect
sunspots on the unseen side of the star — a possibility first broached by Douglas Braun and Charles Lindsey,
solar researchers at NorthWest Research Associates in Boulder, more than 10 years ago.
For example: What drives the 11 - year
sunspot cycle, what makes the corona so hot, and how big do
solar flares get?
When a
sunspot bursts onto the
solar surface, for example, it shines a broad beam of light at a wavelength known as Lyman - a.
In the original graph, there was a gap in the
solar activity line between 1600 and 1700 because there were no
sunspots at this time, as confirmed by
sunspot records.
But now new
sunspots are moving into view, and a new
solar cycle seems to have dawned this past December, which NOAA and other experts expect to be one of the weaker cycles since the 1750s.
The magnetic field that creates the
sunspots can also trigger large, explosive discharges of plasma, causing
solar storms to hit the Earth.
Just keeping count of the number of spots, for example, led to recognition of the 11 - year
sunspot cycle that waxes from «
solar minimum,» when very few spots are seen, to «
solar maximum,» when great conglomerations of planet - size splotches pockmark the photosphere, or visible surface of the sun.
At times of maximum
solar activity, the magnetic ferment represented by
sunspots frequently releases and leaps across space to Earth — to foment magnetic storms that disrupt communications networks and light the polar skies with auroral displays.
In November 1978, when I first started, we were at
solar maximum, and one day I had 23
sunspot groups to draw.
During their travels, the sound waves speed up when they cross regions where the strong magnetic fields that accompany
sunspots and other storm centers push down the
solar surface.
You had very few
sunspots [markings on the face of the sun that indicate heightened
solar activity] between 1650 and 1715, and for example, in Sweden in 1696, it caused the harvest to go wrong.
He sketched the
sunspot contours with scribble and crosshatch, intent mainly on mapping the locus (
solar latitude and longitude) of each magnetic outburst and gauging the polarity and field strength (in gauss) of every
sunspot.
As each cycle progresses, the movement of this plasma (black loop) shifts the
solar magnetic fields (gold strands)-- from which
sunspots erupt — from the sun's midlatitudes to its equator.
Lubin and other scientists predict a significant probability of a near - future grand minimum because the downward
sunspot pattern in recent
solar cycles resembles the run - ups to past grand minimum events.
Within a few years, automated
sunspot predictions could allow engineers to protect the grid and place satellites in safe mode ahead of a major
solar outburst.
Magnetic eruptions known as
solar flares, which can disrupt power lines and interfere with aeroplane navigation, are more frequent during the
sunspot maximum.
THE SUN appears to have started its next cycle of
sunspots two years ahead of schedule, heralding a period of
solar magnetic storms that could trigger radio interference and auroras in the night sky.
How do you figure out what powers
solar flares — the intense bursts of radiation coming from the release of magnetic energy associated with
sunspots — when you must rely on observing only the light and particles that make their way to near - Earth's orbit?
The astrophysicists knew what it was because the spot's magnetic polarity is the reverse of the previous
sunspots, says Hal Zirin, director of Caltech's Big Bear
Solar Observatory.
A team led by
solar physicist Haimin Wang of the New Jersey Institute of Technology in Newark tracked a batch of sunspots on 20 February with a telescope at the Big Bear Solar Observatory near San Bernardino, Califo
solar physicist Haimin Wang of the New Jersey Institute of Technology in Newark tracked a batch of
sunspots on 20 February with a telescope at the Big Bear
Solar Observatory near San Bernardino, Califo
Solar Observatory near San Bernardino, California.
It may also help researchers understand current processes in the sun, such as
sunspots and
solar storms.
Researchers are watching the earthquake - like shaking of stars to find out how old they are, what their structure is like, and where
sunspots and
solar storms come from.
For reasons still not understood, when the streams reach 22 degrees of latitude, north and south, they touch off a new
solar cycle, and the
sunspots reappear.