Not exact matches
His
model also makes
specific predictions
about the effect these clouds will have on the planet's
climate and the types of information that future telescopes, like the James Webb Space Telescope, will be able to gather.
However, since a number of these estimates use simplified
climate models as their input (for obvious reasons), there remain questions
about whether any
specific model's scope is adequate.
I'm surprised you weren't a little more
specific about what it is the
climate models are trying to predict.
More likely, the solar - astronomical forcings have been misinterpreted by the IPCC and by the
climate models given the fact that those
models made
specific assumptions
about solar forcings that are quite reductive and contradicted by alternative solar proposals also available in the scientific literature but ignored.
But yes, if you had bothered to read the editorial, you would see that he is very explicit
about showing that
modeling does an extremely poor job of making
specific predictions
about the impacts of
climate changes.
You also ignored the multiple errors you made in claiming that certain effects were not included in
climate models, including one that I referred you to peer - reviewed literature for proof, If I was one of your design reviewers and you'd completely ignored multiple
specific and documented criticisms
about your design, I'd go out of my way to make sure that your annual performance review indicated that you were not meeting my expectations for an engineering intern, never mind an engineer with 46 years of experience.
In contrast,
climate models, useless as they may be in other respects, can at least pretend to indicate
specific impacts on the world, from which direct inferences may be made
about effects on humans and the environment.
By picking one
specific area of only one of the spheres (surface temperatures), while it might be one piece of interesting information and it certainly it is quite true that surface temperatures have been flat at or near record high levels, focusing on this fact alone and the fact that
climate models failed to have forecast it, does very little overall good if the goal is to educate the public
about the bigger picture, i.e. anthropogenic
climate change as an energy imbalance affecting the whole Earth energy system, including all the spheres discussed above.
Using high - powered
models and complex statistical analysis of observations, credible scientific statements can now be made
about how
climate change affect the frequency or intensity of a
specific weather event.
The researchers ran
about 800 computer
models to complete the most comprehensive and
specific analysis to date of how personal experience and perceptions of local
climate anomalies affect beliefs
about climate change.
Modern predictive
models require data
about the
specific mechanisms of change too, in order to better project the response to
climate change.
In response to the demonstration that the
climate models make
specific predictions
about the behaviour of the tropical troposphere that run counter to the conventional data sets, the modelers» defence was: but we all know the
models are actually so uncertain and tunable that they could generate any outcome, therefore they can not conflict with the data, so there's no need to doubt the hypothesis of strong CO2 warming.