Some are betting on further declines;
speculative short positioning is at three - and - a-half year highs in the futures market.
That said, anybody attempting to speculate on the short side of coffee should respect the fact that the Arabica futures traded on the ICE exchange in New York currently have the largest
speculative short position seen in over a year.
While there has been a substantial scaling back in
speculative short positions against the US currency in recent months, especially vis - à - vis the euro, there is little sign that long positions in the Australian dollar have been trimmed.
Among the main risks affecting the funds, ProShares warns of inherent volatility associated with futures markets as well as the risk of holding
speculative short positions in the portfolios, which could expose the investor to losses.
The company suggests that investors could use its lending capacity to «hedge total portfolio risk or take
speculative short positions,» but it also envisions other use cases for the service.
Not exact matches
Therefore we expect the decline in interest rate futures, specifically the 10 - year Treasury Notes and 30 - year Treasury Bonds to be a temporary effect of
speculative exuberance, and for interest rate futures to rally through the end of the month as the heavily
short speculators are forced out of their
positions.
That means that a significantly invested
position in stocks is out of the question for us, regardless of any
speculative prospect for a
short term bounce.
As an aside, the biggest ever
speculative net
short position in silver futures (of more than 10,000 contracts) was recorded in late July 1997 — with silver trading at $ 4.43, then the low of the year.
This is because the
speculative net -
short position in Yen futures is not far from an all - time high.
Even any
speculative positions investors contemplate would be best executed on a
short - term market decline that clears the current overbought condition of the market.
In May of this year the total
speculative net -
short position in Canadian dollar (C$) futures hit an all - time high, meaning that the C$'s sentiment situation was more bullish than it had ever been.
These changes coincide with
speculative COMEX
short positions at record levels, as indicated in the Meridian Macro chart below:
However, the Australian dollar remains one of the few currencies in which market participants continue to have long
speculative positions relative to the US dollar (Graph 24); in the case of the Japanese yen, Canadian dollar and Swiss franc,
speculative positions against the US dollar are
short.
For Pattern Day Trading accounts, a
short option that is opened and closed in the same day is considered to be a
speculative trade; therefore, the account will be held to the naked requirement on the
position.
Speculative investors mainly added dollar
shorts against the yen resulting in an increase in net long JPY
positions to 39 percent of open interest.
Repos are used to finance long
positions, borrow money to fund
speculative investments, and cover
short positions in securities.
Positions on that
short a time scale are inherently
speculative.
As such, there is a strong chance that the inflow of
speculative buy activity that comes about as a result of barriers to entry into the market being removed will outweigh the impact of bitcoin futures allowing certain parties to take up
short side
positions on the asset's future.