[8](see: Oil - storage trade) It was estimated that perhaps a $ 10 — 20 per barrel premium was added to
spot price of oil as a result of this.
Because the profitability of oil companies tends to move along with changes in
the spot price of oil, these securities often serve as effective trades on the related commodity.
On the flip side, your 25 cent per gallon «downside protection» means that the average daily
spot price of oil would need to dip below $ 2.00 / gal throughout the upcoming heating season before you broke even.
For an additional 25 cents per gallon you can purchase «downside protection» which gives you the benefit of lower priced oil in the event
the spot price of oil is lower than the $ 2.40 / gal on the day it was actually delivered.
Using the example above again, consider if
the spot price of oil was $ 50 per barrel, and the contract were physically settled.
Of course, if
the spot price of oil at delivery was $ 98 instead, you'd make $ 3 per barrel.
Not exact matches
On Thursday, again, the
price of oil tumbled with the
spot price slipping below $ 75 a barrel; that's a four - year low.
The
oil market remains in what's known as contango — with the future
price of crude trading at a higher level than today's
spot price.
The ETF tracks the
spot price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) light, sweet crude
oil.
First, it effectively takes excess
oil out
of an already glutted market, which alleviates downward pressure on
spot prices.
Now, aside from the usual nonsense in the Middle East, we have specific hot
spots which should see the risk premium in the
price of oil rise over the next few months.
Market Focus Middle East Investment Banking Although investment bankers remain cautious about Middle Eastern prospects in the wake
of falling
oil prices, M&A activity and debt issuance remain bright
spots.
Using daily
spot prices for platinum group metals, gold and crude
oil, daily levels
of a broad U.S. stock market index, monthly U.S. consumer and producer
price indexes and monthly U.S. industrial production levels during July 1992 through December 2011, they find that: Keep Reading
Specifically, they relate
spot West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude
oil price to: the U.S. dollar exchange rate versus a basket
of developed market currencies; Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) return; U.S. short - term interest rate; the S&P 500 options - implied volatility index (VIX); and, open interest in the NYMEX crude
oil futures (as an indication
of financialization
of the
oil market).
If there's a bright
spot for the province, however, it's that the ongoing disruption
of Alberta
oil sands production — estimated by the Conference Board
of Canada to be about 1.2 million barrels a day, comprising nearly $ 1 billion in economic activity — has contributed to a rally in global
oil prices that could give producers, and therefore the Alberta economy, a badly - needed lift once production is finally back on - line (assuming,
of course, the fires are eventually extinguished and
oil sands operations escape serious damage).
OPEC, especially its Middle Eastern producers, will be closely watching the futures contract because once established, the Chinese reference crude
price could act as a regional benchmark for negotiations
of spot or term crude
oil prices.
If this isn't the case and all the
oil being produced is needed for current consumption, then the
price of oil for future delivery can drop to an unusually low level relative to the
spot price and stay there.
Considering the case
of the
oil market, I mentioned above that the
spot price is currently about $ 59 and the
price for delivery in December - 2016 is about $ 64.
Before rushing to buy a futures contract or calling your broker about
spot prices, consult the following beginner's guide to investing in
oil (including which type
of investors are best suited to do it, and how much
of your portfolio
oil should comprise).
The investment seeks to replicate, net
of expenses, the daily changes in percentage terms
of the
spot price of Brent crude
oil as measured by the changes in the
price of the futures contract on Brent crude
oil as traded on the ICE Futures Exchange.
Some
of those now selling
oil stocks were among the people buying on July 3, 2008 — when the
spot price of West Texas Intermediate peaked at $ 145.31.
The energy and materials sectors have been the sore
spot for the high yield market, given the anxiety over credit quality, as current low
prices in
oil and commodities, along with a Fed increase in rates, may be a cause for concern for future earnings and the cost
of capital.
The investment seeks to reflect the performance, less expenses,
of the
spot price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) light, sweet crude
oil.
Commodity swaps involve the exchange
of a floating commodity
price, such as the Brent Crude
oil spot price, for a set
price over an agreed - upon period.
United States
Oil Fund (USO), for instance, tries to track the spot price of light, sweet crude oil by buying oil - futures contrac
Oil Fund (USO), for instance, tries to track the
spot price of light, sweet crude
oil by buying oil - futures contrac
oil by buying
oil - futures contrac
oil - futures contracts.
For example the
price of oil indexes based on
oil futures may differ from the «
spot price» for
oil.
This strategy also results in unanticipated, or «windfall» profits: If the contract is purchased forward twelve months at $ 100 and the actual
price is $ 150, the refiner will take delivery
of one barrel
of oil at $ 100 and the other at a
spot price of $ 150, or $ 125 averaged for two barrels: a gain
of $ 25 per barrel relative to
spot prices.
If such is the case, the premium may have ended when global
oil storage capacity became exhausted; the contango would have deepened as the lack
of storage supply to soak up excess
oil supply would have put further pressure on
spot prices.
Monthly average Brent crude
oil spot prices have increased in 9
of the past 10 months, most recently averaging $ 72 / b in April.
The Brent crude
oil spot price averaged $ 112 per barrel in 2012, and EIA's July 2013 Short - Term Energy Outlook projects averages
of $ 105 per barrel in 2013 and $ 100 per barrel in 2014.
Plus there is always the rationalizatio that «my prediction was correct except for...» (add any imagined or postulated event that was unforeseen, such as Chinese pollution, ENSO variability, solar cycle 24 inactivity, global recession, increased
price of oil on Rotterdam
spot market, etc., etc.).
Using the calculated average
spot price for crude
oil in 2008
of $ 94.81 per barrel, the total value
of exported crude
oil was approximately $ 1464 billion.
«Forecasting the conditional volatility
of oil spot and futures
prices with structural breaks and long memory models.»
When the ball dropped to announce the arrival
of 2015, the
price of oil did a
spot - on impression and dropped 51 % (to $ 53.45).