Sentences with phrase «spread in climate projections»

In fact, uncertainties in how clouds change with warming are the primary source of the large spread in climate projections for the next century (Bony and Dufresne 2005; Vial et al. 2013; Brient and Schneider 2016).

Projections differ widely among climate models, and differences in the solar reflection by low clouds over tropical oceans account for much of the spread in climate projections across current models.

Not exact matches

The analysis of processes contributing to climate feedbacks in models and recent studies based on large ensembles of models suggest that in the future it may be possible to use observations to narrow the current spread in model projections of climate change.

Global climate model projections (in CMIP3 at least) appear to underestimate sea ice extent losses with respect to observations, though this is not universally true for all models and some of them actually have ensemble spreads that are compatible with PIOMAS ice volume estimates and satellite observations of sea ice extent.

Contribution from working group I to the fifth assessment report by IPCC TS.5.4.1 Projected Near - term Changes in Climate Projections of near - term climate show small sensitivity to Green House Gas scenarios compared to model spread, but substantial sensitivity to uncertainties in aerosol emissions, especially on regional scales and for hydrological cycle varClimate Projections of near - term climate show small sensitivity to Green House Gas scenarios compared to model spread, but substantial sensitivity to uncertainties in aerosol emissions, especially on regional scales and for hydrological cycle varclimate show small sensitivity to Green House Gas scenarios compared to model spread, but substantial sensitivity to uncertainties in aerosol emissions, especially on regional scales and for hydrological cycle variables.

The vertical lines, where they exist, indicate the «spread» in projections of the additional PAR due to climate change.

In particular, we find that the observationally informed warming projection for the end of the twenty - first century for the steepest radiative forcing scenario is about 15 per cent warmer (+0.5 degrees Celsius) with a reduction of about a third in the two - standard - deviation spread (− 1.2 degrees Celsius) relative to the raw model projections reported by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.&raquIn particular, we find that the observationally informed warming projection for the end of the twenty - first century for the steepest radiative forcing scenario is about 15 per cent warmer (+0.5 degrees Celsius) with a reduction of about a third in the two - standard - deviation spread (− 1.2 degrees Celsius) relative to the raw model projections reported by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.&raquin the two - standard - deviation spread (− 1.2 degrees Celsius) relative to the raw model projections reported by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.»

However the projections in the FAR were not very dependent on the spread of model sensitivites — the «best estimate» was produced by comparing model experiments with observations and scaling to infer a climate sensitivity of 2.5 ºC (2.1 ºC if compared to current 2xCO2 RF formulation).

These uncertainties may partly explain the typically weak correlations found between paleoclimate indices and climate projections, and the difficulty in narrowing the spread in models» climate sensitivity estimates from paleoclimate - based emergent constraints (Schmidt et.

«Climate sensitivity is a metric used to characterise the response of the global climate system to a given forcing» and «'' Spread in model climate sensitivity is a major factor contributing to the range in projections of future climate changes» both suggest to me that CS is anClimate sensitivity is a metric used to characterise the response of the global climate system to a given forcing» and «'' Spread in model climate sensitivity is a major factor contributing to the range in projections of future climate changes» both suggest to me that CS is anclimate system to a given forcing» and «'' Spread in model climate sensitivity is a major factor contributing to the range in projections of future climate changes» both suggest to me that CS is anclimate sensitivity is a major factor contributing to the range in projections of future climate changes» both suggest to me that CS is anclimate changes» both suggest to me that CS is an input.

But the sentence reading «Spread in model climate sensitivity is a major factor contributing to the range in projections of future climate changes,» strongly suggests it is an input.

The tropospheric energy budget, for example, is why precipitation spreads in model projections are much smaller than the temperature spreads associated with unknown climate sensitivity, as the trop.

Climate change is likely to spread malaria to new areas in the Indian Himalayas, and lengthen the periods in which the infection is spread in a number of districts, according to projections from malaria researchers in India.But the country's east coast could see fewer malaria cases by 2030, because of rising temperatures which affect mosquitoes» [continue reading...]