As a closing example of the sloppiness of the Nordhaus and Shellenberger polemic, consider this sentence: «To be sure, the effort to reduce and
stabilize global greenhouse gas emissions will require a major regulatory effort to make sure that everyone is playing by the same rules, provide a stable investment environment for nations and businesses, and increase the cost of fossil fuels relative to cleaner energy sources.»
A study by McKinsey and Co. last year concluded that a quarter of the carbon reduction required to
stabilize global greenhouse gas emissions could come from energy efficiency and conservation.
Not exact matches
The draft report by the U.S.
Global Change Research Program says it is likely the world will forfeit its ability to meet «rapid emission reduction» scenarios needed to
stabilize greenhouse gas concentrations «within a few years.»
Perhaps an increasing number of teary - eyed, sneezing, sleep - deprived, wheezing people who are missing work and school will generate sufficient political will in the wealthiest nations to stop
greenhouse gas emissions and
stabilize the
global climate.
To derive the climate projections for this assessment, we employed 20 general circulation models to consider two scenarios of
global carbon emissions: one where atmospheric
greenhouse gases are
stabilized by the end of the century and the other where it grows on its current path (the stabilization [RCP4.5] and business - as - usual [RCP8.5] emission scenarios, respectively).
The science is clear:
Global warming and climate disruption will continue to accelerate until we
stabilize atmospheric concentrations of
greenhouse gases.
It informs us about the
global temperature change «in the pipeline» without further change of climate forcings and it defines how much
greenhouse gases must be reduced to restore Earth's energy balance, which, at least to a good approximation, must be the requirement for
stabilizing global climate.
Cooling sea - surface temperatures over the tropical Pacific Ocean — part of a natural warm and cold cycle — may explain why
global average temperatures have
stabilized in recent years, even as
greenhouse gas emissions have been warming the planet.
We are therefore committed to -LSB-...]
stabilize greenhouse gas concentrations at a level that would prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system -LSB-...] we will consider seriously the decisions made by the European Union, Canada and Japan which include at least a halving of
global emissions by 2050.
In time,
global greenhouse gas emissions will be slowed and
stabilized, forcing the CO2 curve to bend downward to acceptable permanent levels, simply because there is no other choice.
Of course, if you're serious about
stabilizing atmospheric concentrations of
greenhouse gases, achieving the American goal in 2020 is just step one in what would have to be a centurylong 12 - step (or more) program to completely decouple
global energy use from processes that generate heat - trapping emissions.
The ability to
stabilize global climate by controlling
greenhouse gas emissions has not yet been demonstrated, only hypothesized.
Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 is a scenario of long - term,
global emissions of
greenhouse gases, short - lived species, and land - use - land - cover which
stabilizes radiative forcing at 4.5 W m − 2 (approximately 650 ppm CO2 - equivalent) in the year 2100 without ever exceeding that value.
Stabilizing atmospheric concentrations of
greenhouse gas emissions will require a reduction in
global emissions of at least 80 % below 1990 levels by 2050.
If
greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere were to
stabilize in 2100 at levels projected in the B1 and A1B emission scenarios, a further increase in
global average temperature of about 0.5 °C would still be expected around 2200.
To counter this business - as - usual scenario, the Stern Review proposes a climate stabilization regime in which
greenhouse gas emissions would peak by 2015 and then drop 1 percent per year after that, so as to
stabilize at a 550 ppm CO2e (with a significant chance that the
global average temperature increase would thereby be kept down to 3 °C).
«Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 is a scenario of long - term,
global emissions of
greenhouse gases, short - lived species, and land - use - land - cover which
stabilizes radiative forcing at 4.5 Watts per meter squared (W m - 2, approximately 650 ppm CO2 - equivalent) in the year 2100 without ever exceeding that value.»
If
global greenhouse gas emissions peaked in 2010 the annual emissions reduction rate necessary to
stabilize atmospheric carbon at 450 ppm, the Stern Review suggests, would be 7 percent, with emissions dropping by about 70 percent below 2005 levels by 2050.
This would preclude any possibility of
stabilizing greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere at levels that would acceptably moderate the predicted rise in
global temperatures.
The SCC is the cost of
greenhouse gases in the atmosphere once the
global climate has
stabilized to the steady (not growing) concentration of these gases.
Stabilizing atmospheric concentrations of
greenhouse gases will require a radical transformation of the
global energy system over coming decades.
And to eventually stop
global warming, we have to
stabilize atmospheric
greenhouse gas levels first!
If
global greenhouse gasses were to
stabilize in this range long - term (for a period of hundreds of years), we would expect the Earth's climate and ocean states to become more and more like those experienced 15 - 17 million years ago.
Given the growing urgency of the need to rapidly reduce
global greenhouse gas emissions and the hard - to - imagine magnitude of
global emissions reductions needed to
stabilize atmospheric concentrations at reasonably safe levels, the failure of many engaged in climate change controversies to see the practical significance of understanding climate change as an ethical problem must be seen as a huge human tragedy.
Furthermore, the paleoclimate context is now pointing toward catastrophic levels of overall melt and sea level rise if
global greenhouse gasses aren't somehow
stabilized and then swiftly reduced.
It informs us about the
global temperature change «in the pipeline» without further change of climate forcings and it defines how much
greenhouse gases must be reduced to restore Earth's energy balance, which, at least to a good approximation, must be the requirement for
stabilizing global climate.
Nations have agreed on the goal of
stabilizing greenhouse gases at a level that keeps
global warming below 2 degrees C (3.6 F), compared with pre-industrial times, but a legally binding agreement that puts that into action has remained elusive.
«EPA's analysis that
global greenhouse gas emission levels can only be
stabilized with meaningful, mandatory action by China and India is widely accepted.
The science is clear:
Global warming and climate disruption will continue to accelerate until we
stabilize atmospheric concentrations of
greenhouse gases.
The promise will begin to take concrete form as soon as all 196 UN members submit their «intended nationally determined commitments» (INDCs), which will determine whether the world can
stabilize greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere and limit
global temperature rise to 2 degrees Centigrade in order to prevent the worst impacts of climate change.
Most attention in the debate over climate change has been based on the assumption of a gradual increase in mean
global temperatures, equilibrating to a new higher level some decades after concentrations of
greenhouse gases have
stabilized, with effects that will then play out for centuries.
In the first study of its kind, scientists in the project used a variety of the latest
global climate models to determine the reductions needed to
stabilize levels of
greenhouse gases, termed CO2 equivalents, at 450 parts per million.
To achieve the ultimate objective of the Convention to
stabilize greenhouse gas concentration in the atmosphere at a level that would prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system, we shall, recognizing the scientific view that the increase in
global temperature below 2 degrees, on the basis of equity and in the context of sustainable development, enhance our long - term cooperative action to combat climate change.
Eventually other earth processes offset these positive feedbacks,
stabilizing the
global temperature at a new equilibrium and preventing the loss of Earth's water through a Venus - like runaway
greenhouse effect.