Yet, with key economies in
different stages of the business cycle, «the risk of the global economy, or any of its major constituents, running too hot over the next 12 months is contained,» says Elga Bartsch, Co-Head of Global Economics.
The U.S., which is in the most
advanced stage of the business cycle, may be the critical link, in part, because it tends to have an outsized influence on the global cycle, particularly for emerging markets.
For instance, a 60/40 stock / bond portfolio is riskier in the
latter stages of the business cycle than it is early in the business cycle primarily because stocks become riskier relative to bonds as the cycle plays out.
Meanwhile, exports and investment are still weaker than one would expect at
this stage of the business cycle, even though growth in the global economy has also surprised on the upside.
At the same time, Canadian exports and business spending are still weaker than you would expect to see at
this stage of the business cycle.
Given the importance of young company growth at
this stage of the business cycle, the Bank is monitoring data on company formation and credit flows carefully.
Despite this strength, we think it is unlikely that the global economy will overheat at
this stage of the business cycle and spark a sustained rise in inflation.
We provide a unique perspective to women at
every stage of the business cycle, coming alongside with capital, resources and connections.
Funds can be used by businesses at
every stage of the business cycle, from start - up costs and acquisition, to expansion.
At
this stage of the business cycle, risks appear heightened, although investor complacency continues to characterize equity and fixed income markets.
JPMorgan analysts aren't the first to declare commodities a good investment at
this stage of the business cycle.
For over 40 years, GVM has advised clients in
all stages of the business cycle: formation, debt and equity financing, vineyard and winery acquisitions, grape purchase agreements, vineyard leases, distribution and brokerage agreements, sales and marketing agreements, mergers and acquisitions and troubled debt restructures.
Today Kleinbard maintains a robust roster of manufacturing clients and understands the issues and legal concerns they face at
every stage of the business cycle, particularly in the current complex economic environment.
While there is an obvious demand for talent, most organisations are themselves still in growth mode and therefore the development, retention and training of staff will be paramount at
this stage of the business cycle.