When the onset
of stagflation in the 1970s undermined Keynesianism, social democrats had no alternatives to hand.
To head off a tough bout
with stagflation — slow growth and high inflation — the Federal Reserve should start raising interest rates soon.
Judging from the S&P 500 index
during stagflation, you can always expect the (nominal) dividend amount to grow, but not necessarily as fast as inflation.
The broad fundamentals - particularly an enormous current account deficit and reasonable prospects
for stagflation - continue to be favorable for this group.
If President Donald Trump is able to enact the trade policy he wants, the US economy could be blasted to a very uncomfortable part of its past — a period during the 1970s when it suffered from something
called stagflation.
During the
last stagflation, I was aged 13 to 22, from junior high through my Master's Degree in Economics at Johns Hopkins.
The remainder of the Carter administration in the late 70's experienced sideways action on the Dow brought on
by Stagflation (1978 — 1979), Three Mile Island (March 1979), and the Iran Hostage Crisis (November 1979).
That's because if there is one area of the economy that's bulletproof in regards to a recession, inflation, or
worse stagflation, it has to be health care.
Uncertainty shock = lower US GDP estimates; markets will price in EU fragmentation; Fed likely to pass in Dec; ultimate growth impact of Trump will depend on whether his protectionism or Keynesianism triumphs; either way Trump will boost inflation /
stagflation expectations as electorates say end wage deflation via immigration controls, trade protectionism, fiscal spending.
If you believe that the inflation rate is higher than the CPI put out by the government, then we're in mild
stagflation now.
We have seen this time and time again,
from stagflation in the 1970s to the Zimbabwe hyperinflation.
«The US economy had effectively moved
into stagflation around five years before global oil prices were raised in 1973.
«There's fear of
secular stagflation, deficient demand and these conditions lead to deflation,» said Rupkey.
Just as the events of the 1970s and emergence of
stagflation throughout the industrial world, led to new policy paradigms, I believe that recent events will force us to develop new approaches to thinking about economic fluctuations and inflation which will, in turn, drive major changes in thinking about fiscal and monetary policy.
Alan Greenspan says U.S. interest rates have been too low for too long, resulting in a bond market bubble, low productivity growth and
possible stagflation.
«We are moving towards stagflation and in the process of moving in that direction, it feels good, but it's a false dawn,» Greenspan told Maria Bartiromo on...
It is perfectly possible to believe that some of the supply - side reforms introduced by the Reagan (and Thatcher) administrations were successful in helping
tame stagflation, while also being sceptical about whether the tax cut elements were.
Phase 4:
Stagflation phase: GDP growth slows but inflation remains high (side note: most bear markets are preceded by a 100 % + increase in the price of oil which drives inflation up and causes central banks to tighten).
Tags: foreclosure, interest rates, mortgage, mortgage rates, recession, refinance,
stagflation Posted in Weekly Wrap - Up No Comments»
CFO of $ UPS talks about two scenarios for rises in interest rates: good: improvement in productivity, bad:
stagflation #BBwash #duh Apr 30, 2013
Economists didn't
expect stagflation in»70s; did not tag the great moderation properly, or call the bust $ $ Sep 21, 2012
If we don't get
stagflation RT @OVVOFinancial @Vermeer1097 Martingale works for Fed playing w / o table limits and unlimited balance sheet.
All of this has elements of the great depression (contending with deflation) and the
great Stagflation of the 1960s and 1970s.
Since peak real estate (2013), we have been suffering with
major stagflation, setting up for the upcoming rounds of deflation.
Some market participants
feared stagflation, which is a situation in which inflation rises while the U.S. economy slows down.
I would not try to assume that stocks are a good inflation hedge... Corporations have to buy raw materials and have to feed hungry workers... When the price of oil and foold go up it is very hard for corporations to improve on earnings, so if you think about it, much of the benefits of a rise in CPI are negated by a rise in raw materials prices... Put more bluntly, we are in a period of
stagflation right now.
The US Government is in a tough spot financially, and if inflation rises (which is not impossible,
consider stagflation in the 70s), its ability to continue to finance itself cheaply will erode.
When do we hit the tipping point, and what nations / sectors will have the worst of it once deflation or
stagflation takes hold?
People can't agree on what
causes stagflation but the two main theories are a supply shock (usually oil) or poorly made economic policy.