Researchers start the model simulations using the
current state of the climate system, in particular ocean conditions, «and by doing that, we can potentially predict any kind of natural variability in the climate system» as well as the background warming signal, Smith said.
Such small remaining budgets seem quite difficult to square with our understanding of the
present state of the climate system and would require a substantial and rapid changes in the remarkably constant relationship between observed warming and observed cumulative emissions that we have seen so far.
The CRU is one of the world's leading research bodies on natural and human - induced climate change and has developed a number of the data sets widely used in climate research, including the global temperature record used to monitor
the state of the climate system.
Throughout 2013 and 2014, the group will release its Fifth Assessment Report in four installments, highlighting the current
state of the climate system and climate change, its environmental and socio - economic impacts, and mitigation strategies that can limit emissions.
In case you haven't heard, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change is releasing another set of reports, outlining the latest scientific findings on
the state of our climate system.
Notice that the feedback we have just calculated in not constant but depends on
the state of the climate system (i.e. the surface temperature).
We have to be clear that the average surface temperature is just a proxy for
the state of the climate system, just as the temperature of your body is a proxy for the state of your body.